1.9.09

Picture Documentary of IDP Rally

Picture Documentary:

State of the Bakwit (IDP) Address and Peace Convoy

July 23, 2009



A Muslim civic leader reads a prayer while behind him are members of Cotabato’s Catholic Church who likewise followed in reading a prayer.






Incumbent North Cotabato Provincial Governor Sacdalan giving his message of support for the IDP’s prayer rally.










Participants of the inter-faith multi-sectoral prayer rally held at the gym of the Notre Dame University of Cotabato City








Some of the IDPs along the Datu Saudi Ampatuan – Datu Piang Provincial Road. At least 2 dozen times, the convoy of rallyists were met by IDPs along the road. Everytime the convoy neared a cluster of IDP tents, IDPs came out on the highway and blocked the road for a few minutes to call the attention of the media contingent to their plight. At one point in Guindulungan, the IDPs managed to block the path of a convoy of military vehicles.



With the assistance of NGO support groups, the IDPs prepared placards that read “stop the war”, “safe return for IDPs”, “respect rights of IDPs”, “resume peace talks”, “rebuild homes destroyed by soldiers”.

11.9.08

Initial Findings: Deaths of Moro Children from Military Aerial Bombing



(WARNING: GRAPHIC PICTURES OF VICTIMS ATTACHED!)




Accompanied by a team from an International NGO (Non Violent Peace Force), I managed to interview one of the survivors today (September 10), a 13 year old boy, at the hospital. Multiple shrapnel wounds on both legs. Also proceeded to the place where the incident happened and managed to interview the boy's mother who, all in all, lost her husband and 5 of her children, the youngest being 3 years old. One of her children who died was pregnant.

The latest statements from the government military (AFP) say that the airplanes were fired at from the victims' boat and that the military was only retaliating. Here's the version of the civilian survivors and witnesses.

The Manungal family were on board two boats. They had just returned to their home in Barangay Tee, Municipality of Datu Piang, Maguindanao when they noticed that there was a lull in the military offensive and bombing.

However, once they saw planes and helicopters hovering again and bombs started to fall around their village, they hurriedly boarded the boats and made their way along the marsh towards the bank that was straddling the highway. Other residents in the village also boarded their own boats and thus a convoy of boats made their way to the safety of the highway. The Manungal boats were at the rear of the convoy.

When they were around 200 meters away from the bank of the marsh right next to the highway, they were forced to stop to prevent the boat from sinking. Besides the seven passengers (the father and 6 of his children), the front of the boat was also loaded with rice. At that point, helicopter were seen hovering overhead. Soon thereafter, another aircraft (a plane) shot a rocket at the boat which exploded around a meter from the boat. It was that rocket which led to the immediate deaths of the father and 4 of his children. The fifth one died at the town hospital. Only one child survived. The passengers of the other boat at the rear of the convoy of boats tried to rescue the passengers of the boat that got hit and brought them to the bank next to the highway.

The incident happened around 10a.m. There were people on the highway right beside the bank of the marsh who were witnessing the event as it was transpiring. Barangay officials and a member of the civilian militia tried to appeal to the military officials stationed along the bank to tell the air force men not to fire at the boats because on board were civilians trying to escape the military offensive. However, moments later, an order was overheard on the radio "birahin na yan" ("fire at them"). The witnesses along the highway said that it was impossible for the pilots or the military men on the highway not to notice that the passengers of the boats were civilians. Most of the victims were young and small children. Besides, the boats were only 200 meters away from the highway when they were fired upon.

Both the survivors and civilian witnesses say that there were no boats in the vicinity of the victims that were firing at the military aircrafts. This is to belie the military's claim that they were merely retaliating upon receiving fire from one of the boats in the convoy.

After we visited the mother to interview her, we proceeded to conduct an ocular inspection of the portion of the highway from which the place of incident could be clearly seen. However, we noticed the arrival of the military personnel at the house of the mother. When we inquired later on what the military men told her, she said they gave her P5thousand plus three bags of rice. A day earlier, they gave her P10 thousand.

Incidentally, the military initially claimed that it did not fire any ordinance or ammunition at the boats. But one of the attending physicians at the hospital where the survivor is confined said on TV tonight that his wounds are shrapnel wounds, meaning, it came from military ordinance.

On the way back to Cotabato City, we passed by several refugee encampments. It seems the civilians have occupied whatever public place available. From the very nature of their temporary structures, it does not seem to offer any protection from the elements. It is now monsoon season and there's heavy rain everyday, particularly late in the afternoon and in the evening.

I inquired if and how they are able to observe fasting during Ramadan while staying in the refugee centers. Their response was that some of them can no longer observe it due to the difficult conditions at the centers.

The interviews of the survivors of the bombing incident were videotaped although they were conducted in the vernacular (Maguindanon).

Attached are pictures of three of the victims. CAUTION: THE PICTURES ARE GRAPHIC!

Again, law groups are reiterating their earlier appeals to both sides of the conflict to respect and uphold Protocol II of the Geneva Convention on Non-International Armed Conflicts, particularly as it relates to the protection of civilians.

Again, we reiterate that the humanitarian crisis we see now is a direct offshoot of the scuttling of the peace process. We therefore call on everyone, particularly those who have been very vocal in their opposition to the peace process to be more circumspect about the consequences of their opposition to the MOA. The cavalier attitude of many people towards the peace process may proceed from the fact that it is not they who bear the brunt of such consequences. Rather, it is the people residing in the conflict affected areas. The least that we owe them is to educate ourself about the conflict and its roots and how the peace process is trying to provide a long-term and sustainable solution. Knee-jerk reactions without such self-education all too often leads to rash decisions, all too often provide a fertile ground to foment and perpetuate the conflict.

Atty. Zainudin Malang




URGENT APPEAL: RESPECT RULES OF WAR IN MINDANAO

RESPECT RULES OF WAR IN MINDANAO!

 

Even as people are still reeling from events in Lanao del Norte, field reports from our colleagues in civil society continue to be disturbing.  Now that fighting has shifted to Moro areas, we hear of insufficient time given to civilians to vacate their villages before AFP bombardment begins.  We hear of food blockades against internally displaced people.  We hear of NGOs being prevented from delivering urgently needed relief items and media personalities being prevented from covering the humanitarian crisis.  We hear of a high ranking national official of DSWD complaining about the assistance to displaced families (25 kilos of rice, per family, per month) as being too “big”!

 

Therefore, we remind ALL PARTIES AND COMBATANTS of the Protocol II of the Geneva Conventions on the Protection of Victims of Non-International Armed Conflicts, particularly on the protection of civilian populations.   Civilians enjoy protection from dangers arising from military operations (Art. 13-1).  Neither should they be subjected to attack (Art. 13-2), nor should acts of hostility be directed at places of worship (Art. 16).  Starvation of civilians as a method of combat is prohibited (Art. 14).

 

We call on United Nations humanitarian agencies, international organizations such as the International Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, and other members of the international community to insist upon their mandate and duty to deliver aid to the victims of conflict.  The concept of Right to Protect (R2P) necessarily includes the duty to protect.

 

We call on our friends in the media to equally report suffering by ALL communities.  We wish to remind them that 85% of the civilian victims of the 2000 and 2003 all out wars were Moros.   We remind them further of the public's need to be provided with ACCURATE AND COMPREHENSIVE reports from ALL SIDES to the conflict.  Recall too the writings of Noam Chomsky on manufacturing public consent to support a war by playing up unchallenged claims of successful military operations and attrocities of enemies.


Impartiality!  Neutrality! Non-Discrimination!  These are the basics of International Humanitarian Law.


ALLIANCE OF MUSLIM ADVOCATES OF LAW

BANGSAMORO LAWYERS’ NETWORK

MUSLIM LEGAL AID FOUNDATION, INC.

BANGSAMORO CENTER FOR LAW AND POLICY

UP MUSLIM STUDENTS ASSOCIATION (COLLEGE OF LAW)

ATENEO DE MANILA MUSLIM LAW STUDENTS

26.8.08

"We Might End Up Becoming The Darfur Of Southeast Asia"

Malang: We might end up becoming the Darfur of southeast Asia

http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/storypage.aspx?StoryID=128716

(ANC's Tony Velasquez interviewed on August 18, Zainudin Malang, executive director of the Bangsamoro Center for Law and Policy, on the clashes that have erupted in parts of Mindanao and on the prospects for peace in the south. Malang has been a close observer of the peace process with Muslim separatists.)

Q. What was your expectation after the signing of the Memorandum of Agreement on Ancestral Domain (MOA-AD) in Malaysia, had it pushed through?

A. I was expecting optimism on the ground, not what we are seeing here, not what we saw today. I was expecting the complete opposite after they had signed the MOA.

Q. Are these recent clashes in North Cotabato and Lanao del Norte an offshoot of the failure to sign the MOA-AD?

A. I cannot help but arrive at that conclusion. You know, there are only two ways to resolve the conflict: either through military means or through negotiations. And apparently, after the cancellation of the signing of the MOA, the product of a dozen years of long and hard bargaining on both sides, perhaps, there are armed groups who feel it will already be hard to resolve the conflict by way of negotiations.

Q. Do you think the government and military should have anticipated that this would be the backlash from the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF)?

A. I’m sure they’ve always been aware of the possibility of this happening. This situation is not new to them.

Q. Does it help the MILF if they undertake this kind of hostilities granted that they may have been frustrated?

A. I have to go back to the sentiments on the ground, both civil society as well as sentiments of people within the MILF as well as the other revolutionary movement, the MNLF. You have to bear in mind that the Mindanao peace process is three decades old. This started in 1976. The feeling on the ground is that, they had this 1976 Tripoli agreement, there was a 1996 peace agreement, but where did these end up? It ended up in failed implementation. When the MILF leadership undertook negotiations with the government, many in their ranks were already asking: why negotiate with the government when all the past peace agreements have never been implemented? So there’s always been skepticism among the [MILF] ranks in the peace process. And then at each stage of the peace process, each stage of the exploratory talks and formal talks, there has always been good results that both the MILF and government could present to their respective constituencies. But after all of those hard bargaining, those long years of negotiations, after they arrived at an agreement on how to resolve the conflict, suddenly, the Memorandum of Agreement on Ancestral Domain (MOA-AD) was blocked. So the skepticism that was present before is alive again. I think that’s what we’re seeing now.

Q. Were you privy to the details of the MOA-AD that was to be signed in KL?

A. There were several instances when I had attended very public forums where members of the GRP [government of the Republic of the Philippines] as well as members of the MILF gave the audience updates on what was going on.

Q. What about the contents of the draft MOA-AD?

A. We were given updates on what were the pending issues they discussed, they had resolved. My friends in the Mindanao People’s Caucus, for instance, organized several of these forums in Davao City , in Marawi City , and these very public consultations. And I also recalled that every time that the GRP and the MILF panels are about to meet, they always announce, they make a public announcement that we are about to meet.

Q. I guess the people back then should have already known about the more contentious issues such as the resource sharing agreement with the GRP-MILF, the inclusion of 700 barangays in an expanded Bangsamoro homeland. All of these were made public.

A. Some of these were made public. The forums I attended, these were staggered. They occurred over time. So depending on what the status of the negotiations at that time, that was what was divulged.

Q. Sen. Mar Roxas and Frank Drilon actually have an initialed copy of the MOA-AD, and they’re taking exceptions to several provisions there. For example, that the Bangsamoro Juridical Entity can now enter into separate treaties with foreign governments. And now, they’re saying that that’s totally unheard of for an autonomous homeland, to have that kind of sovereign power. Was that ever included in the consultations?

A. I think they refer not to treaties or all kinds of treaties. They referring to economic treaties, and this is not entirely unheard of. This is the kind of arrangement that they have in Belgium . For example, the Flemish region in Belgium is allowed to set up trade missions or enter into economic treaties with other countries.

Q. Like Quebec in Canada .

A. Yes, so let us bear in mind that the Philippines is not the only one that has an internal conflict in the whole world. So maybe we should learn at how this kind of problem has been tackled in other parts of the world. So I think that’s what the GRP and the MILF panels have borne in mind. And if I’m not mistaken, they’ve also mentioned Northern Ireland , for example, when it comes to a need to reexamine the Constitutional framework to resolve the conflict.

Q. It’s good you mentioned the Flemish territory in Belgium . But doesn’t it cause a lot of tension within Belgium ?

A. The tension that I’ve heard in Belgium is actually being managed by these sort of accommodations or arrangements. Because the Waloon region [of Belgium] can always tell the Flemish, why go for separation when you already enjoying these sovereign privileges? And I guess that’s what both the GRP and MILF panels had in mind when they agreed on this MOA-AD. I suppose what they were thinking was that, there would be no use, for now, to secede because all of these genuine...sort of tools would now be afforded or accorded to you rather than paper autonomy.

Q. But look at what’s happening now, when you see the MILF acting in a belligerent way, just because they’re frustrated, ,maybe this, to them, hopefully a hiccup in the peace talks, and then they finally give up all hope and resort to violence again. What does it say about giving a group like this the kind of powers that are contained in a MOA-AD? Isn’t it dangerous?

A. I will be frank with you. We ourselves are finding it hard to pacify these armed forces. We need to appeal for them to hold back, all the armed groups because, as they were saying, ‘We thought you said we should give negotiations a chance. We’ve been talking already for 12 years. We’ve already faced two all-out offensives already and then it ends up nowhere.’ We in civil society are finding it hard to pacify these armed groups. And I’m not just talking about the MILF, I’m also talking about the AFP. Our work is made much harder when we hear about much-publicized statements from our political leaders who say, if the MOA-AD is signed, there will be bloodshed, which we find completely illogical. Because what they’re saying is, if there’s a peace agreement, there won’t be peace. There will not be any peace. Whereas we are saying, if there’s a peace agreement, there will be peace.

Q. Let me play devil’s advocate. If you say it’s hard to pacify these groups, what we’ve seen is it’s the MILF that has been provoking these all-out wars. So it’s the MILF that is more difficult to restrain than the AFP.

A. I don’t want to take sides. I just want to say that when it comes to military solutions…we hear so many people say now, it’s time to go all out against the MILF. What I want to remind everyone is that every time we adopt a military solution, it never works. Remember that in the 1970s, we were under martial law, and President Marcos, with all the resources and powers he had in his hand, could not crush a hastily organized rebel army with very little training, with no battlefield experience, with very minimal equipment. And the military went against them during martial law. Here we are, three decades later, they are far more experienced, they have more equipment, what makes us think that they cannot put up a fight? What I’m afraid of is, they fought for two weeks in North Cotabato , we already have 160,000 internally-displaced refugees, extrapolate then. Let’s assume they continue fighting for two or three months. How many thousands or millions of refugees will we have? Remember, in year 2000, we had one million internally-displaced people, and these were World Bank and government figures. In comparison, Bosnia only had 600,000, East Timor only had 300,000. What I’m trying to say is, if we do not deescalate the situation, we might end up becoming the Darfur [in Sudan] of southeast Asia.

Q. Right now, we have a Coordinating Committee on the Cessation of Hostilities (CCCH). So far, we haven’t heard from it. If that committee does its job, then it should defuse the situation.

A. I remember one instance when I talked to a member of the CCCH. This was about Cotabato. This was when a Civilian Volunteer Organization and the MILF were fighting. The MILF were farmers in that area; the CVO members were also farmers in the barangay. There was fighting and it was reported to the Joint Ceasefire Committee. The committee came in and it was told by the CVOs, “We don’t recognize any captain. We don’t recognize any ceasefire committee.” So, the problem is, the public in Manila who don’t know any better, who are not immersed on the ground, who don’t know what’s happening, it’s very easy for them to be manipulated. It’s very easy for public opinion to be manipulated nowadays. Because we know that in times of war, the first casualty is truth. I would advise our friends in media to get a direct line to the CCCH so we will know what’s really happening. Let’s not rely…our sources of information should not depend on groups that are taking advantage of the conflict. We have so many groups who feel that their interests, whether economic or political, will be affected negatively by the peace process. I’ve always said the reason why there’s still no signing of a peace agreement is that….I’ve always said that if the government panel, as well as the MILF panel were left on their own to decide if they should sign the agreement, they would have done that two years ago. They just couldn’t sign it because they’re afraid. There are powerful economic and political forces who genuinely feel that their interests, political and economic may be adversely affected by the Mindanao peace process. Because we are talking here of returning the ancestral domain of the Moros themselves. Now, let’s ask ourselves: who are enjoying now the fruits of these ancestral domain? Who owns the mineral rights? Who has tens of thousands of hectares per DENR records in Mindanao ? How would you think they feel, now that the government is about to return the ancestral domain back to the Moros?

Q. But were they consulted in the first place?

A. If they had been consulted, what do you think they would say? Our friends in Zamboanga are complaining, they’re saying they were not consulted. But later, they said, they were. And they’ve said no. Apparently, what they mean by consultation is, to them, they are consulted if the government takes their position. In layman’s term, when we ask, what do you think? It doesn’t necessarily mean that I would have to adopt your position. But to them, they say that since they have already expressed their views in a public forum, albeit informally, their position is, the government should adopt their position. The problem is, if you’re in the GRP or MILF panel, if you try to accommodate everyone’s interest into this agreement, without asking anyone to make sacrifices or compromises, we will never arrive at any peace agreement. And what we saw today, it will continue to grow.

Q. How can this be resolved? The President has already ordered an all-out offensive. The military says it’s not going to stop because it’s already got the upper hand. Even local officials say it’s got to stop now. When do you think it’s going to stop?

A. I myself am hoping everything dies down, everbody calms down. How is it going to stop? There has to be…we have to show to everyone that there is a big constituency for peace. As of now, what’s being given air space and print space are the anti-MOA and the MILF. And both of them are either saying, if there’s no MOA, there’s going to be war. Or if there’s MOA, there’s going to be war. Right? Perhaps, it’s about time, the silent majority, if there is really a silent majority in support of the peace process, or the peaceful resolution of the conflict, maybe now is the time, now more than ever is the time for us to come out and say to everyone, say to these groups, say to those who would rather resolve the conflict by armed means, ‘Wait, there’s a big constituency in support of a peaceful resolution of whatever grievances, Bangsamoro grievances you have there.'

28.7.08

GRP-MILF JOINT STATEMENT ON THE MEMORANDUM OF AGREEMENT ON ANCESTRAL DOMAIN

JOINT STATEMENT


With the facilitation of the Malaysian Government, the Government of Republic of Philippines (GRP) and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) Panels have initialed today the final draft of Memorandum of Agreement on Ancestral Domain (MOA-AD). Having restarted the talks today, relying on the deep reservoir of goodwill and cooperation on both sides, the two Panels have crafted an important document that would contribute immeasurably to peace in Mindanao, progress and prosperity for the Philippines, and strong affirmation of Malaysia-Philippine bilateral relations and multilateral cooperation for peace.


The conclusion of today's session marks the end of the negotiations on the third aspect of the Tripoli Agreement on Peace of 2001. Both sides reached a consensus to initial the final draft pending its official signing by the Chairmen of the two Peace Panels in early August 2008, in Putrajaya, Malaysia. The ceremony will be witnessed by the Secreatary of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of the Philippines and the Foreign Affairs Minister of Malaysia.


The Parties look forward to continue the negotiation on the Comprehensive Compact and finally address the Bangsamoro problem and conflict in Mindanao.


The Panels conveyed their appreciation to H.E. Prime Minister Dato' Seri Abdullah bin Haji Ahmad Badawi for the Malaysian Government's continued assistance in keeping the peace process on track, and to H.E. President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo's unwavering commitment in pushing forward the Mindanao peace process.


Done on the 27th of July 2008 at Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.


FOR THE GRP: FOR THE MILF:



RODOLFO C. GARCIA (sgd) MOHAGHER IQBAL (sgd)
Panel Chair Panel Chair



WITNESSED BY:


DATUK OTHMAN ABDUL RAZAK (sgd)
Special Adviser to the Prime Minister

Collapse of GRP-MILF Negotiations Most Serious Threat to Peace

Collapse of gov’t-MILF talks on Moro homeland ‘most serious threat to peace’

By ISAGANI DE CASTRO, JR. abs-cbnNEWS.com/Newsbreak

http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/topofthehour.aspx?StoryId=126527

The collapse of the talks between the Arroyo government and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) on an expanded Moro homeland is “the most serious threat” to the peace process and may eventually lead to war, according to an analyst.

Zainudin Malang, a lawyer of the Bangsa Moro Center for Law and Policy, warned that the collapse Friday in Kuala Lumpur of the government-MILF talks on ancestral domain “is the most serious threat to a peaceful and negotiated solution to the peace process.”

Malang, an analyst of the government-MILF peace process, said the “level of skepticism over the negotiating parties’ sincerity is approaching irreversible levels, if not so already,” he said in an e-mail sent to Newsbreak, in response to the collapse of the talks.

“Frustrations over past un-implemented peace pacts, coupled with flip-flopping stance on this latest peace process risks transforming the Mindanao conflict into an unmanageable type of war,” Malang said.

Backtrack on plebiscite

According to a report by Reuters news agency, the government’s attempt to push back the timing of a plebiscite that would expand the Autonomous Region for Muslim Mindanao (ARMM) was the reason for the collapse of the talks.

Reuters said government negotiators tried to delay the referendum on enlarging a previous Muslim homeland until after a political agreement was reached.

This would have reneged on a previous commitment to hold the vote six months after a deal on territory was signed, originally scheduled for August 5. MILF negotiators walked out of the meeting.

Both sides had hoped to wrap up the talks on an ancestral homeland last Friday in Kuala Lumpur ahead of President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo's annual state of the nation address tomorrow.

But Press Secretary Jesus Dureza, the former presidential adviser on the peace process, said Saturday there is still hope for the peace process.

“The peace process is a continuing effort. In the latest talks in Kuala Lumpur over the last few days to finalize the draft agreement, there remain some differences. Although the meeting did not immediately bring about progress in the ancestral domain issue, I am sure that the parties will continue to look for ways to hurdle the difficulties and move the process forward.”

‘A conflict of Darfur proportions’

Malang noted that the government-MILF peace talks have been going on for 11 years already, or since 1997 during the Ramos administration.

“During that period, we have already seen two all-out wars and countless other large-scale fighting,” Malang said.

In 2000, the first all-out war under the Estrada government, led to one million internally-displaced people. In 2003, under the Arroyo government, there were more than 400,000 internally-displaced persons.

“The four-decade long Mindanao conflict is one of the most serious yet under-reported conflict in the world,” Malang said.

“Ironic because this is a conflict of Darfur and Timorese proportions. It has already cost more than 100,000 lives and millions of internally-displaced persons.”

During eleven years of the peace process, he said “agreements and consensus points that would have led to an early successful conclusion of the talks have also been set aside due to pressure from conservatives and hawks.”

“The GRP-MILF talks is only the latest of numerous attempts to peacefully resolve, by way of negotiations, what is now the longest-running armed conflict in Asia. But precisely because past efforts have failed, this latest one may turn out to be the last one, should it fail,” Malang said.

Seek to clarify

In a forum last week on the draft agreement on ancestral domain, Malang allayed “fears” that the creation of an expanded Moro homeland will lead to oppression against the Christians by Muslims. He said the Moros will not be “treating Christians as unjustly as the Christians have treated the Moros.”

Malang said “fears” of both sides should not be used to block the peace process but should be an opportunity to “seek clarification.”

"Let’s not use it as basis to oppose any signing. Nothing has been signed yet. If we don’t see anything good in it, then let the people decide. Because a plebiscite, after all, is an expression of sovereignty, which can only be exercised by individual members or society and the polity, not by their elected leaders or their representatives,” he said.

Related Story• Gov’t backtrack on plebiscite derails peace talks with MILF

Statement of the Mindanao People's Caucus on the Collapse of the GRP-MILF Peace Talks

Press Statement
July 26, 2008

In the light of the renewed collapse of the GRP-MILF talks in Kuala Lumpur yesterday, it is obvious that the opponents of the Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) on Ancestral Domain have once again succeeded in frustrating the efforts of the negotiation. With veiled threats of constitutional challenge, legal battles, communal violence and plain hysteria, we missed to grasp peace just when the Peace Panels have come closest to it.

In the name of the women and children and ordinary civilians in the conflict-affected areas, we urge both principals in the negotiation to uphold, sustain and defend the consensus points in the negotiations. Let us not allow politicians and vested interest groups to hostage the peace talks with their own economic and political interests. Let us not be swayed by the noise of a few loud personalities who are desperately protecting their own interests.

We appeal to both parties to continue finding viable options and solutions until we finally reach a mutually acceptable agreement.

We express strong disappointment over some statements and threats which vowed to kill the peace agreement even at this time when the Peace Panels are yet to give birth to the MOA on Ancestral Domain. We do not deserve this kind of demeanor coming from political leaders who, instead of forging unity among its people, are in fact the ones fanning hatred and violence.

Today is the time for us to examine the interests of those who block efforts of the peace process. It is time that we come together to engage in a meaningful dialogue, surface the fears and exchange notes in order to achieve understanding and unity.

We appeal to President Arroyo to sustain the primacy of the peace process and defend this policy against political pressures and vested interests including those coming from her own allies. The postponement of the ARMM election could have been a good step towards that direction.

Obviously, we are racing against time. With the final pullout of the International Monitoring Team come August and with no discussion on the extension of their tour of duty, war looms in many corners of Mindanao. Ordinary people, not our politicians and leaders, will be the ones to pay the consequences of the opposition to the MOA. This is where our hearts just bleed, out of frustration and sheer desperation, at the kind of leaders who are at the helm in Mindanao at this point in our history. We need leaders who will bring the people to an era of peace and development, not those who irresponsibly condemn us to war and violence, while they spend their quiet evenings in the city life of Davao, Manila or elsewhere.

MPC reiterates its call for the formal resumption of the GRP-MILF peace talks and the signing of the MOA on Ancestral Domain as a critical step towards showing the concrete result and progress in the negotiation. (30)

Reference:

ATTY. MARY ANN M. ARNADO
Secretary General
Mindanao Peoples Caucus

Tokyo International Peace Building Conference Paper

Addressing the Gaps in Human Security Initiatives in Mindanao*

By: Atty. Zainudin S. Malang**

Thank you for inviting me to comment on the presentations in this session. Now, since I come from Mindanao, allow me to comment by correlating the presentations to some of my own observations on best practices and not-so-best practices in addressing gaps in community development and human security.

My first observation is the imperative of engaging local stakeholders in addressing these gaps. It is clear from earlier presentations that local stakeholders are not just important but even indispensable. The reason is that they have the most at stake, they are the ones most familiar with the situation on the ground, and therefore know more how to deal with it. Local stakeholders must be engaged not only in program implementation but, more importantly, they must be engaged from the very beginning – in program identification, design and conceptualization. The aid and donor community must always bear this in mind in their initiatives and programs. Mr. Hossain’s paper itself captures the essence of this approach and I quote:

“CDCs identify their own problems and challenges, formulate own strategies and development plans, and then manage, monitor, and implement all projects at the field level.”

In Mindanao, NGOs and civil society have repeatedly expressed concern that except in the program implementation stage, they have been relegated to passive roles by those who come from the outside and impose their brand of peace building.

My second observation is that any intervention or initiative to address human security gaps need to proceed from a well-rounded understanding of how those gaps arose and the environment in which the initiatives will be introduced. Conflict analysis and needs assessment are indispensable and necessary preliminary steps. A lack of or even flawed conflict analysis, prepared without adequate inputs from those primarily affected by human security gaps can lead to serious issues. This is particularly true with respect to gaps brought about by internal conflict where social-political divides, instead of being addressed, may manifest itself in the implementation of initiatives intended to address those very same gaps.

Case in point is the staffing pattern of aid agencies operating in Mindanao. Study after study have shown that the conflict was bred by social-economic-political marginalization of the minority in the hands of the majority. In fact, a UNDP commissioned opinion poll asking detailed questions among those who comprise the majority in the Philippines showed that almost half of the respondents showed a negative perception of the Moros in Mindanao, even to the extent of denying them employment for no other reason than they don’t belong to the majority. Presumably, this sentiment runs across the entire strata of Philippine society. And yet for decades, the staffing pattern of many agencies in Mindanao show a dearth of consultants and program managers with sufficient familiarity with the conflict, much less people who actually come from the conflict affected area. This deprives their programs of valuables inputs and local sensitivity. In one instance, a staff of a humanitarian aid agency told a group of IDPs to go back to the mountains and find some rootcrops if they wanted food. An official from another major funding agency also publicly questioned the logic of designing an assistance program tailor-made for the marginalized minority.

The other important understanding we must incorporate in addressing gaps is that of the socio-political environment in which a peace promoting initiative is being introduced. Is the conflict ongoing? Or is there a ceasefire? Has a peace agreement been signed? Is the peace agreement in the process of being implemented? Answers to these basic questions must be asked because the appropriateness and viability of programs depend on those answers. I have seen programs designed for a post-agreement situation in an area with unresolved conflict.

The third observation I would like to share is the need to periodically and earnestly re-evaluate not only programs but also the frameworks that inform them. What works and what doesn’t are questions the aid community must ask themselves repeatedly and, more importantly, actively seek candid answers from their target beneficiaries. I just came from 3 months in Aceh where I participated in a meta-analysis of past reintegration programs for former combatants for the purpose of identifying the gaps in those programs. In Mindanao, the latest human development index figures for the five Bangsamoro provinces show that they continue to be the lowest in the whole country even after decades of receiving peace and development funds.

Allow me now to share some positive developments in relation to that I have just raised.

The first positive development is that key actors from the aid and donor community have recognized the need to give greater role to groups coming from the conflict affected area. As Mr. Alim says in his presentation:

“There is now a growing recognition especially from the international community, of the important role that CSOs play in societal reconstruction.”

I notice that JICA, for instance, have directly engaged the Bangsamoro Development Agency which was established by agreement by both the Government of the Republic of the Philippines and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF). They have also directly funded Moro NGOs. Previously, funding and assistance to communities were largely coursed through institutions where Moros did not have an effective voice. Other agencies have also followed suit. CIDA (through its LGSPA program), USAID (through its GEM program) and AusAid, have also undertaken a pro-active hiring of technocrats and professionals from the Moro communities. Even Asia Foundation, whose Philippine country chief is here with us, has adopted such an approach.

The second positive development I have observed is that those who are trying to raise the level of human security in Mindanao are now more aware that the success of economic interventions cannot be divorced from the larger political peace process. Last year there was a concerted effort by all the aid agencies to exert firm pressure on the government not to launch an all-out military offensive, recognizing that no peace and development assistance can possibly succeed where there is widespread fighting. The peace process in Mindanao spans 3 decades. That period is marked by numerous frustrations and false expectations. It was only when the international community has taken a more direct and active role that the peace negotiations has achieved substantial gains towards addressing the roots of the conflict. I am pleased to mention here that Japan is one of those countries that have made substantial contributions.

The last positive development is that there is more attention now to the human rights concerns of Moro communities. For years, no one wanted to touch this area because human rights cases were viewed as a political hot potato for aid agencies. But after being reminded by human rights advocates that human security also mean “freedom from fear”, more funding is now being devoted to human rights training.

However, let me emphasize that human rights assistance to Moro communities is still in its inception stage. Save for the Asia Foundation, there is still a reluctance to fund legal representation to indigents who are subjected to warrantless arrests, torture, and harassment. This should be the core of any human rights assistance and yet the bulk of the funding is given only to conferences and forums. If we are to encourage marginalized communities to pursue legal and peaceful avenues for the redress of their grievances instead of resorting to rebellion, we must give them the means to do so.

With this, I end my comment. Thank you again for inviting me.
* Delivered at the Tokyo International Peacebuilders Symposium 2008, U.N. House, Tokyo, March 24, 2008.
** Atty. Zainudin S. Malang is a Convenor of several civil society organizations. He is also a newspaper columnist and is frequently engaged as a resource speaker on the Mindanao Peace Process, human rights, and the political economy of the Mindanao conflict. Atty. Malang holds a degree Master of Laws from Kyushu University (Japan) and a Master in Regional Integration from Universidad Autonoma de Madrid (Spain). He recently completed an intensive 6-month joint peacebuilding program jointly administered by Japan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the United Nations Development Program.

6.10.07

EXAMINING THE NEXUS BETWEEN PHILIPPINE CONSTITUTIONALISM AND THE MINDANAO CONFLICT

By:

Atty. Zainudin S. Malang
(LL.M., I.M.R.I, J.D.)


PART I: INTRODUCTION

The breakdown of the series of exploratory talks between the Government of the Republic of the Philippines (GRP) and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) at their 13th Exploratory Talks in September of 2006 highlighted once again how constitutional issues affect any attempt to resolve the conflict in Mindanao. Regardless of whether one takes the position that a peace agreement should be intra-constitutional or extra-constitutional, the fact remains that a negotiated and peaceful resolution to the conflict depends on how such issues are dealt with by the negotiating parties.

The negotiations – curiously called Exploratory Talks - between the GRP and MILF have three main items on the agenda: 1) security, 2) rehabilitation and development, and 3) ancestral domain. Arguably, the most contentious of the three is ancestral domain, given that the four strands into which it is divided are highly contentious in nature and strike at the core of the conflict: Concept, Resources, Territory, and Governance.[1]

Prior to the September Exploratory Talks, the parties were reportedly optimistic, albeit guarded, on the progress of the negotiations. They had already signed and implemented agreements on the first two items in their agenda, which are security, and rehabilitation and development. They had then moved on to a discussion of the four strands of ancestral domain.

In the Joint Statement they released shortly after their previous round of talks, they declared that they have made “substantial gains.”[2] A consensus on the concept of ancestral domain had been arrived at, and they were tackling the next strand, which was defining the territorial scope of that domain. In some of their public statements, the GRP even said the negotiations were about 85% finished. [3]

Unfortunately, the optimism that preceded the September talks was replaced by disappointment. The GRP described the talks as reaching an “impasse”; their MILF counterparts spoke about a “breakdown.”

Initially, the panels ascribed the impasse or breakdown to disagreements over the geographical scope (territory) of the ancestral domain. However, in subsequent statements, a deeper reason emerged and this was the insistence of the GRP panel to subject the issue on territory through a constitutional process, i.e., a plebiscite.

"We have presented constitutional options on the negotiating table consistent with socio-demographic realities and equitable development that will ensure just and durable peace," said the chairman of the GRP Panel. He went on to say that the government negotiators do not have the mandate to explore solutions to the issue of territory outside the parameters of the constitution.[4]

The MILF, in its own statement, said the GRP’s insistence on constitutional parameters as limitations on the negotiations shows that the GRP cannot think “out of the box.”[5] This constitutional box had already resulted in failed agreements between the MNLF and GRP, the other Moro liberation front with which the GRP had earlier entered into an agreement. Emphatically, the MILF warned that “by insisting on solving the Mindanao problem within the framework of the Philippine constitution (the ‘box’), the GRP had already consigned to doom any chance of ending the conflict”.[6]

The preceding backgrounder on the GRP-MILF Exploratory Talks indicates how strict constitutionalism and legalism can hold back the negotiated resolution of the Mindanao conflict.[7] This background paper intends to show how the Philippine constitutions have informed and contributed to the conflict, and how they helped generate feelings of alienation and deprivation that became the core grievance of the Moro liberation fronts now asserting the right to self-determination. Hopefully, it can shed better light on the viability of intra and extra-constitutional options for a peaceful resolution.

PART II: RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN PHILIPPINE CONSTITUTIONALISM

The Philippine constitution has been subjected to a great degree of scrutiny brought about by attempts to amend it. Every national administration since the time of President Corazon Aquino under whose tenure the present 1987 Constitution - the 6th in the country’s history – was adopted has attempted to revise it, albeit unsuccessfully. None, however, has shown a more dogged determination to do so than the administration of President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo.

The 1987 Constitution allows for two modes of amendment or revision: through a constitutional convention or constituent assembly.[8] Amendments also have a third mode, people’s initiative.[9] A constitutional convention requires the passage of a law calling for the election of delegates who would draft the revisions or amendments and propose it to the general electorate by way of a referendum. A constituent assembly requires the legislature to convene itself as such and thereafter draft the constitutional changes to be proposed to the electorate. A people’s initiative requires a certain percentage of registered voters, certified by the Commission of Elections, to directly propose to the electorate the proposed amendments.

Of the three modes, President Arroyo and her political allies had tried the latter two. In 2005, she created a 55-member commission with the express mandate to “conduct consultations and studies and propose amendments and revisions to the 1987 Constitution.”[10] Their recommendations were to be submitted before the national legislature (Congress) sitting as a constituent assembly.[11]

President Arroyo’s allies in the House of Representatives managed to pass a resolution convening the body as a constituent assembly,[12] notwithstanding stiff resistance by the vastly outnumbered opposition delegates, who held that any such resolution must be concurred by the Senate which latter refuses to do.[13] When the resistance to the resolution threatened to spill onto the streets and spark massive unrest, the resolution was abandoned.[14]

In the meantime, a controversial parallel move to introduce amendments via a people’s initiative was nullified by the Supreme Court for being deceptively undertaken.[15]


PART III: THE NEXUS BETWEEN PHILIPPINE CONSTITUTIONS AND THE MINDANAO CONFLICT

A. Evolution of Philippine Constitutions

The recent attempts to revise the 1987 Constitution show that Philippine constitutions do not enjoy the kind of permanence that organic acts are normally accorded. In a span of one century, the Philippines had several constitutions and organic acts.

On June 12, 1898, near the end of the Filipinos’ war of liberation from Spanish colonization, revolutionaries declared independence from Spain in the town of Kawit in the northern island of Luzon. Later that year, delegates convened in the town of Malolos in the island of Luzon and drafted the constitution of the First Philippine Republic.

However, the Malolos Constitution and the First Philippine Republic, as it has came to be known, was short-lived due to the arrival of the Americans, who took over from the Spaniards and occupied the archipelago.

During the American period, there were several organic acts that governed the administration of the islands. These were President McKinley’s Instructions to the Second Philippine Commission, the Philippine Bill of 1902, and the Jones Law (1916). Though not strictly speaking constitutions, they nonetheless partook of the nature of constitutions as fundamental laws.[16] They became the legal standard by which the validity of all governmental actions in the Philippine islands would be determined.

Pursuant to the Tydings-McDuffie Act and in accordance with American intent and Filipino wishes to enact their own fundamental laws, a convention was called in 1934 that led to the drafting and adoption of the 1935 Constitution. However, its application was suspended during World War II, when Japan occupied the Philippines. During that period, another constitution was adopted known as the 1943 Constitution. In 1946, after the end of the Japanese period, the Philippines reverted to the 1935 Constitution.

By the late 1960s, there was widespread discomfort that the Philippines was still using a constitution (1935 Constitution) that was drafted and adopted while the country was still under American tutelage. Thus, a constitutional convention began deliberations in 1971 which produced what came to be known as the 1973 Constitution.

Soon after President Ferdinand Marcos was removed from power through extra-constitutional means, the Aquino revolutionary government adopted the 1986 Freedom Constitution. Less than a year later, President Aquino appointed members to a Constitutional Commission that drafted what later came to be to be known as the 1987 Constitution.

The 1987 Constitution remains as the basic law of the Philippines, although there have been several unsuccessful attempts to amend or revise it.

B. Philippine Constitutionalism and Core Bangsamoro Grievances

Should Moro and government peace panels allow strict constitutionalism to delimit their options in resolving the Mindanao conflict? An examination of the possible nexus of Philippine constitutionalism to core Bangsamoro grievances may shed light on this question.

1. The Constitution and the Question of Plebiscitary Consent

One lawyer-academic describes the Mindanao conflict as actually a “clash between two imagined nations,”[17] i.e.,that of the Filipinos and the Moros. Thus, one nation’s re-assertion of its identity by invoking its right to self-determination (RSD) was met with an equally determined government response intent on preserving the unity of the Philippines as a nation. In most instances, the Philippine constitution is invoked as the basis for that response. So what do these “imagined nations” refer to?

The conventional premise is that Mindanao, Sulu, and Palawan have always been part of the republic under the constitution and any re-assertion by the Moros of a distinct identity over their traditional homeland is contrary to the constitution. This republic and constitution is traced to the watershed year of 1898 when Philippine revolutionaries (Katipunaneros) issued the Declaration of Independence and convened the Malolos Convention which eventually gave rise to the Malolos Constitution and the birth of the First Philippine Republic. Thus, if the Malolos Constitution were to be viewed as the first political articulation of Filipino national identity and their sovereign will, it is worth looking at the participation of Moros in the drafting and adoption of that document.

A look at the list of delegates to the Malolos Convention shows that none were Moros.[18] Attempts by Filipino revolutionaries to invite the Sultan of Sulu to join in the building of a Philippine republic – apparently an offshoot of Pres. Aguinaldo’s proposal to the Malolos Congress for negotiations with the Moros towards the establishment of national solidarity - were ignored, the Moros preferring to “retain their own views of independence and liberty”.[19] Therefore, it would not be possible to sustain the premise that Moros have always formed one body-politic with Filipinos going back to the establishment of the First Philippine Republic, without admitting that such inclusion was done without their “plebiscitary consent.”

Exactly how crucial is this lack of plebiscitary consent in Philippine constitutionalism and nation/state-building to the Mindanao conflict?

Reflecting on the status of the Moros long before the Malolos Convention was convened, Jesuit priest-historian Horacio Dela Costa wrote of “full-pledged sultanates with a fiscal administration, courts of justice, and a bureaucracy,”[20] indicating that these were not just nations as a sociological concepts but nation-states as politico-legal entities as well. Indeed, pre-dating the Filipinos’s own sense of nationhood and initial attempts at state-building, Moros were already exhorting Filipinos to rise up against the Spaniards centuries before they declared their independence from Spain in 1898. [21] Eventually, when they did rise up, Katipuneros had to concede the distinctness of the Moros as a nation by attempting to convince them to join the Philippine revolution.[22]

We have, therefore, two distinct identities as nations, each of which pursued a very different track in nation-building.[23] One – the Moros – already had a distinct consciousness as nation-states by the time the Spaniards arrived and pursued a staunchly independent stance for more than 3 centuries. The other – Filipino – only began to assert Filipino nationhood as a basis for resistance near the nadir of the Spanish empire. But this was only after the rejection of their pleas for recognition as regular Spanish citizens with all the appurtenant rights that goes with it. Thus, with these two very distinct national identities at the time of the establishment of the First Philippine Republic, the failure to obtain the plebiscitary consent of the Moros could not but lead to an eventual “clash between two imagined nations”.[24]

Granted that the Bangsamoro did not participate in the Malolos Convention and in the establishment of the First Philippine Republic, did succeeding constitutional conventions, wherein some Moro individuals participated, correct this flaw?

2. The Question of Mono-Nation or Multi-Nation State and the Process of Revising/Drafting Succeeding Constitutions

At first glance, entertaining the notion that this flaw, i.e. lack of plebiscitary consent, could have been corrected by succeeding constitutional revision projects is understandable. However, the opportunity to undertake this correction was illusory because of the parameters and assumptions that governed succeeding constitutional revision projects. In addition, these were undertaken in contravention of expressed wishes of Moro leaders against the inclusion of the Bangsamoro in the re-establishment of a Philippine Republic that was being jointly undertaken by the Filipinos and Americans.[25]

Framers of succeeding constitutions could have adopted President Aguinaldo’s proposal for the Filipinos to negotiate with Moros towards the establishment of a federal national set-up,[26] a proposal which necessarily assumed that the Moros are to be negotiated with as a nation and which proposal they may or may not accept. Instead, having adopted a Unitarian republican state structure, succeeding constitutional projects ignored the existence in the islands of at least two distinct national identities and was replaced by the assumption that the Philippines was and is a mono-nation state.

Armed with this false assumption, it became unnecessary to negotiate with Moros as a nation towards the mutual framing of a constitutional framework of Filipino-Bangsamoro relations. There was no need to negotiate because there was no other nation, there was only a Filipino nation. Thus, representatives from Mindanao who were appointed or elected to subsequent constitutional revision projects sat and participated as Filipinos representatives of their respective legislative districts, not as representatives of another nation. Lumped together with representatives from other islands of the “mono-nation” republic, the frameworks and assumptions of subsequent revision projects allowed representatives from Luzon and Visayas (Filipinos) to be the dominant voice in defining constitutional frameworks, both in their drafting and subsequent ratification.

Ideally, multi-nation societies embarking on state-formation through constitutional processes should negotiate that process as nations, and not as a collection of individuals. The process and the resultant constitution must reflect the socio-political reality of multiple identities. Rather than embarking on a process whereby one identity dominates it at the expense of the other, individuals must participate as representatives of their respective nations. The right and burden of state-formation must rest on the nations themselves. This is the only way to ensure parity and avoid dominance by one nation over the other through sheer numerical superiority of its members, which will inevitably give rise to an unstable state and future armed conflicts.

The nexus between the Filipinos’ constitutional dominance over nation-state formation and the Mindanao conflict is framed by Peter Kreuzer as follows:

"When emotive bonding is understood in ethnic terms and the state perceived as a nation-state, the need for nation-building is often equated with conquering the nation-state and extending one’s own culture over the whole national realm – if necessary by subjugating or assimilating other cultural groups. The successful ‘nation’ (i.e. ethnic group) claims ownership of the state, its resources and the right to rule, because it transforms its collective identity into the national identity. Its history, its traditions, its mores and religion become the foundation of the nation. State and imposed nation become co-terminus. Any such effort to impose one vision of the nation against others must end in violence."[27]

3. Unitarian/Mono-Nation Constitutional Framework in Practice

The mono-nation state assumption informed constitutions, which in turn eventually gave rise to a Unitarian state structure whereby state institutions formulating policies that directly affected Moros came to be dominated by Filipinos. As illustrations, one need only cite the state’s land and peace policies.

Land Policy. In the early 1900s, Moros comprised around 75% of the inhabitants of Mindanao, Sulu, and Palawan. By the turn of the next century, they were reduced to a mere 18%. Filipino settlers from Luzon and Visayas now constitute the majority of the inhabitants.[28]

This dramatic change did not happen by accident or without the active encouragement of state institutions dominated by Filipinos. Land laws[29] were passed that:

a. denied recognition to lands possessed by Moros by virtue of grants obtained from their Sultan
b. imposed a new land distribution system solely in the control of state institutions dominated by Filipinos
c. encouraged Filipinos to settle in traditional Moro homeland

Thus, it was through institutions created by a unitarian republican state structure that Filipinos managed to achieve what their former Spanish colonial masters failed to accomplish – the colonization of the Bangsamoro. Historian Manuel Quezon III writes:

"Here was the Philippines, at the threshold of independence, soon to be free from the colonial yoke of the Americans, and the leaders of this soon-to-be independent state was already laying the foundations for a new kind of colonialism. What an ironic state of affairs; for even as the majority of Filipino leaders exulted over their having finally secured local autonomy and guaranteed independence, they made sure that those very same things would be denied the Muslims in Mindanao. The Commonwealth of the Philippines was about to embark on internal colonialism – or colonization.

x x x

The end result can all the more be seen as internal colonialism. Flooding Mindanao with Christian settlers – the way Americans flooded the Midwest in the US – became one of the most effective ways of ensuring that the island would stay in the hands of the Republic."[30]

In the same article, Quezon quotes a passage from the book of the former Philippine President during the Commonwealth period who said:

“Unless we fully opened up, protected and settled, and thus made use of this great, rich, only partly developed island, some other nation might some day try to move in and make it their own. For the past twenty years, continued and successful efforts to colonize Mindanao from the north have been undertaken.” (President Manuel L. Quezon) [31]

Up until the 1950s, the state had adopted numerous land distribution laws and enforced resettlement policies that dramatically changed the demographics of Mindanao. But by the 1960s, the demographic reengineering program assumed a far more sinister form. Through military support for a para-military movement of settlers known as the Ilagas, land dispossession in Central, Northern, Southern, Eastern, and Western Mindanao was achieved through outright forcible land-grabbing.

It was this land-grabbing that precipitated the formation of the Bangsa Moro Liberation Organization which, together with the original Moro National Liberation Front that spawned the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, launched the modern armed day struggle for re-assertion of Moro identity and right to the homeland.[32]

Peace Policy. The Unitarian republican state structure also explains the failed attempts by the executive branch of the state to peacefully settle the conflict.

In 1996, the executive branch of the state (GRP) entered into an agreement with the Misuari-led MNLF. Although the agreement’s title refers to it as a mere implementation of the 1976 Tripoli Agreement, it nonetheless says that the former shall prevail in case of any inconsistency with the latter. More noteworthy, the 1996 Final Peace Agreement (FPA) also concedes the supremacy of the constitution and constitutional processes in its implementation.[33] This meant that the FPA will have to pass through the other branch of the state – Congress or legislature – for purposes of enacting the implementing law.

Congress, however, is Filipino-dominated. Thus, it comes as no surprise that the last fact finding report of the OIC Secretary General’s Office states that the biggest obstacle to the implementation of the 1996 FPA is the very same law that was supposed to implement it.[34] And this, notwithstanding the fact that the executive branch of the state conducted a pro-active advocacy of the FPA with the legislature. In other words, the constitutionally created institutions of the unitarian republican state structure allowed the legislative representatives of the Filipino-majority to exercise “veto-power” over the 1996 FPA.

Interestingly, even as it maintains that the implementation of FPA is on track, the GRP’s report alludes to “certain constraints occasioned by economic crisis, complexities of Philippine democratic and constitutional processes and resurgence of other armed conflicts.”[35]

PART IV: CONSTITUTIONAL REVISIONS AND ATTEMPTS TO RESOLVE THE MINDANAO CONFLICT

The Philippines has had no less than six constitutions, with the latest and existing one undergoing several attempts to revise it. And yet none of these constitutions have been able to peaceably settle the “Bangsamoro Question,” the same question that confronted the 1935 Constitution.

Moros participated in previous constitutional conventions as mere representatives of geographical political units, not as representatives of an identity distinct from that of Filipinos. The assimilation or integration of Moro identity in the dominant Filipino identity was assumed – or imposed – instead of constitution-making and state-building being a voluntary joint-undertaking of Filipino and Moro nations.

Thus, even constitutional provisions in the 1987 Constitution on autonomy in the Muslim areas were couched in legal and political terms by the dominant Filipinos. The terms of Bangsamoro-Filipino constitutional relations were still imposed by the latter. Moro representation in the conventions and commissions were just too minimal to inform their decisions. This is probably why Moro scholars refer to Philippine constitutional processes as a means to institutionalize Filipinos’ “veto power” over the Moros’ right to determine their political future. In this context, even recent attempts to introduce a federal structure may not offer much relief.

This is probably why agreed upon frameworks for negotiations between the GRP and MILF refer to a “new formula” in pursuing a peaceful resolution to the Bangsamoro Question.[36] The tried and tested constitutional formula of the past and present has been a dismal failure.

PART V: INTRA-CONSTITUTIONAL, UNCONSTITUTIONAL, AND EXTRA-CONSTITUTIONAL OPTIONS

Nonetheless, taken purely from their perspective as mere agents of the state, the insistence of the GRP panel on constitutional process may be understandable. The members of the panel after all has two roles: one is to search for a peaceful resolution of the conflict, and the other is to abide by existing laws and constitutions just like any other employee or agent of the state. This limitation is all the more glaring for their principal, the President, who may be subject to impeachment proceedings for entering into any agreement which her political opponents as well as opponents of the peace process may portray as “culpable violations of the constitution.”[37]

Still, the Mindanao Peace Process is faced with the fact that intra-constitutional options has failed and will continue to fail.

Fortunately, it may not be necessary to limit the options to those that are constitutional and unconstitutional. There is a third option which may insulate the GRP panel and their principal from the charge of violating the constitution and from any judicial or legal processes that may arise therefrom. At the same time, it will unshackle them from a constitutional straight jacket in resolving the conflict in their negotiations with the MILF.

In several of its decisions, the Philippine Supreme Court has consistently held the distinctions between unconstitutional and extra-constitutional acts. The former are justiciable and may be subject to legal proceedings; the latter are not. Extra-constitutional questions are those that are primarily political questions and better left to the people in the exercise of their sovereign will. [38] Through this line of cases, the Court maintained that political questions do not fall in the realm of unconstitutional acts.

Given the role which past and present Philippine constitutions played in the roots of the Mindanao conflict, this option may yet untangle the Gordian know of resolving a conflict through parameters imposed by the very same document – the Constitution – that contributed to the conflict.

Deconstructing or at least re-examining the underlying premises of Philippine constitution and nation-state, may shed light, may yet transform it into an instrument to correct the historical injustice and thereby contribute to the peaceful resolution of the Mindanao conflict rather than an obstacle.

As to what the form or shape an extra-constitutional option would be appropriate, that is for the negotiating parties to determine. At this stage of the peace process, it suffices that the parties are freed from the constitutional straightjacket as they seek to explore possible solutions to the Mindanao conflict.

[1] Joint Statement of the GRP-MILF Peace Panels, December 23, 2004, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
[2] Joint Statement of the GRP-MILF Peace Panels, May 4, 2006, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
[3] See President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo’s 2005 State of the Nation Address, available at http://www.news.ops.gov.ph/sona2005.htm.
[4] See Press Statement of the Philippine Information Agency dated September 15, 2006, available at http://www.pia.gov.ph/?m=12&sec=reader&rp=5&fi=p060915.htm&no=44&date=.
[5] See Press Statement of the MILF dated September 18, 2006, available at http://www.luwaran.com/modules.php?name=Content&pa=showpage&pid=49.
[6] Maulana Alonto, Breakdown of Negotiations: Will It Result in a Break-Up?,available at http://www.luwaran.com/modules.php?name=Content&pa=showpage&pid=48.
[7] Although the breakdown of the September talks can be ascribed to constitutional proceduralism as the source of the dispute, the present constitution impacts the negotiations in a more substantive manner. For example, the recognition of ownership over ancestral domain under the constitution is limited to lands and not resources. See the main, separate, and dissenting opinions in the Supreme Court case of Isagani Cruz vs. DENR, G.R. No. 135385. December 6, 2000.
[8] 1987 Constitution, Article XVII, Secs. 1 and 2.
[9] Ibid.
[10] President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo, Executive Order No. 453, Sec. 1, August 19, 2005.
[11] Ibid, Sec. 8.
[12] House Resolution No. 197 (formerly 1450).
[13] Philippine Daily Inquirer, Senate Readies to Fierce Battle vs. House Over Charter Change, http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/breakingnews/nation/view_article.php?article_id=29812
[14] Philippine Daily Inquirer, Arroyo Backs Off From Charter Change, http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/breakingnews/nation/view_article.php?article_id=38260
[15] Lambino vs. COMELEC, G.R. No. 174153, October 25, 2006.
[16] An extensive discussion of the nature as organic acts of President McKinley’s Instructions and the Philippine Bill of 1902 is found in the decision of the Supreme Court in United States vs. H.N. Bull, 15 Philippine Reports 7.
[17] Soliman M. Santos, Evolution of the Armed Conflict on the Moro Front, Background Paper for the 2005 Philippine Human Development Report, p. 1.
[18] For a listing of the delegates to the Malolos Convention, see Constantino G. Jaraula, Constitution of the Philippines and Basic Documents (Mindanao Editorial and Printing Services, 1997), p. 496.
[19] Cesar Adib Majul, Muslims in the Philippines (University of the Philipines Press, 1999), pp. 371.
[20] Ruurdje Laarhoven, Triumph of Moro Diplomacy, New Day Publishers, 1989 (p. xvi).
[21] For an account of Rajah Buisan’s exhortation to the Leyte datus, see Cesar Adib Majul, op. cit., pp. 132-133, citing H.V. Dela Costa, A Spanish Jesuit Among the Maguindanaus, Proceedings of the International Conference of Scholars, November 25-30, 1960, Manila, The Philippine Historical Association (pp. 78-80).
[22] Ibid., p. 370.
[23] Thus, by the time the Americans took over from Spain, Jacob Shurman, the president of the First Philippines Commission, observed that there are “two entirely different social and political conditions” in the archipelago, that of the Filipinos and the Moros. The commission was formed to study what the U.S. government should do with the Philippines islands after it took over from Spain. See Jacob G. Shurman, The Philippines, 9 Yale Law Journal 222, October 1899-July 1900.
[24] Supra, note 16.
[25] E.g. 1921, 1924, and 1935 Declarations of Moro leaders.
[26] Supra, note 18.
[27] Peter Kreuzer and Mirjam Weiberg, Framing Violence: Nation and State-Building, PRIF Reports No. 72, Peace Research Institute Frankfurt (2005), p. ii.
[28] UNDP, 2005 Philippine Development Report, Human Development Network (Manila, 2005), p. 29.
[29] See the original Public Land Law of 1903 (Act No. 926, as amended by Act Nos. 2874, 3517, and C.A. No. 141)
[30] Manuel L. Quezon III, Repulsion and Colonisation, Today Newspaper, April 28, 1996. Also available at http://www.quezon.ph/thecolumn.php?which=23.
[31] President Manuel L. Quezon, cited in Repulsion and Colonisation, supra.
[32] For accounts of the Ilaga and their correlation to the founding of Moro liberation fronts, see e.g. Salah Jubair, A Nation Under Endless Tyranny, and Thomas McKenna, Muslim Rulers and Rebels, Anvil Publishing (Manila, 2002).
[33] The preamble of the FPA states that the parties “affirm the sovereignty, territorial integrity, and the Constitution of the Republic of the Philippines”. At the end of the agreement, it also states “any conflict in the interpretation of the agreement shall be resolved in the light of the Philippine Constitution and existing laws”. (Par. 153, FPA)
[34] Report of the Secretary General on the Question of Muslims in Southern Philippines, Submitted to the 33rd Islamic Conference of Foreign Ministers, Baku, Azerbaijan, June 19-21, 2006.
[35] GRP Report on the Status of Implementation of the !996 GRP-MNLF Final Peace Agreement.
[36] Par. A(2) GRP-MILF Tripoli Agreement of 2001.
[37] 1987 Constitution, Article XI, Sec. 2.
[38] Estrada vs. Distrito, G.R. No. 1467105, March 2, 2001; Lozano vs. Aquino G.R. No. 73748, May 22, 1986.

28.9.07

DIMINISHING RETURNS FOR US IN PHILIPPINE ENGAGEMENT EXCEPT IN MINDANAO

Diminishing Returns for US in Philippine Engagement Except in Mindanao
By: Ishak Mastura (LL.M., J.D.)

While Manila's rumor mill and the general public are preoccupied by the latest intra-elite scandal on the Chinese-funded $330 million National Broadband Network project wherein one faction of the oligarchic elite identified with the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Jose De Venecia, (no less than his son and namesake Jose De Venecia Jr., a telecommunications businessman, is involved) is pitted against the partisans of Mike Arroyo, the husband of President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo, there is an ongoing geopolitical realignment in East Asia in which the Philippines is slowly but surely becoming a focus of geopolitical machinations similar to the part that Lebanon plays in the Middle East. The ground zero of this realignment is not the self-satisfied "imperial" center in Manila but in its southern region of Mindanao.

While the Philippines may possibly no longer be called as the "sick man of Asia" because recently it has been showing signs of a shaky economic vitality growing 7.5% in GDP in the second quarter this year (which growth is primarily attributed to the pump-priming effect of national and local election spending by the oligarchic elite candidates in May), political instability remains a fact of life in the country with fresh rumblings of the coup prone military's restiveness. This political instability makes the Philippines inward looking and this is true as well for the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP), which is tied down with the decades-long insurgencies of the Communist New People's Army and the separatist Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) and Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF) in Mindanao, and as such, it cannot even begin to defend the country's airspace and maritime borders.

One consequence of this chronic weakness of the Philippines is that its traditional ally and former colonial master, the US, is increasingly looking to partner with Indonesia and Vietnam since it views these two countries as emerging Regional Powers. As the world's 4th and 11th most populous states, with strong economic growth, sizable armed forces and historical wariness of China, Indonesia and Vietnam are seen by the US as having the potential and inclination, as they modernize their economies and military forces with US assistance, to serve as autonomous counterweights to Chinese influence in Southeast Asia (Twining, D., "America's Grand Design in Asia", Washington Quarterly, Summer 2007). As both strategic partners and independent centers of strength, they may prove more important than traditional US allies, Thailand and the Philippines, which for economic and cultural reasons appear to be growing more comfortable with rising Chinese influence in Asia even as their neighbors become more wary (Twining, 2007). The Philippine economic elite, for example, is dominated by the so-called Taipans or ethnic Chinese oligarchic businessmen. Philippine business is identified with the ethnic Chinese, as the national and local business chambers' leadership and membership can attest. Thailand's erstwhile Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra is an ethnic Chinese and their largest conglomerates are ethnic Chinese-owned.

Moreover, in the US assessment, Thailand and the Philippines do not possess the long-term power potential of Indonesia or Vietnam (Twining, 2007).

Indications are that the Philippine military assistance from the US for FY2008 will be diminished to $11 million from previous highs when Mindanao in the south was declared as the second front on the war on terror and US troops were deployed to assist the AFP in interdicting the criminal and terrorist Abu Sayyaf group in Basilan island in the Sulu archipelago in 2002. The Sulu archipelago is strategically located astride the major shipping route for the biggest oil tankers passing through their preferred route of the Lombok Strait then the Makassar Strait in Indonesia before going through the Sibutu Strait in the Sulu Sea and then either through the Mindoro Strait or through the Palawan Passage out to the South China Sea.

However, in one aspect is the US interest in the Philippines not being diminished and that is in USAID projects in Mindanao with the latest signing of the multi-year Mindanao Peace and Development Agreement worth $190 million. The Economic Support Fund (ESF) for FY 2008, which starts October 1, will increase from $25.9 million, up from the 2005-2006 levels of $24.7 million. The ESF promotes economic development and access to education in Mindanao. Under the Bush administration proposed appropriations, Development Assistance will also increase from $14.9 million last year to $22.9 million.

The reason for this is the need for US presence in Mindanao to complete a strategic encirclement of China in its periphery wherein "bringing up the rear to the forward bases in Taiwan , would neatly close the circle." (Ahmad, A. "At the mouth of a volcano", Frontline, Volume 19, Issue 14, July 6-19, 2002). No wonder that Chinese Navy strategists also appear to view the US presence in Japan, Taiwan, and the Philippine south as forming a "blockade" of China's legitimate maritime security interests (Cole, B., "Chinese Naval Modernization and Energy Security", Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University, 2006 Pacific Symposium, Washington, D.C., July 20, 2006).

US presence in Mindanao has already been achieved through the Joint Special Operations Task Force based in Zamboanga City with US contingents in other Philippine bases in the Sulu archipelago and the rest of Mindanao, particularly in the Muslim Moro-dominated areas. The US can probably live with the fact that they are not subject to attacks by the local Moro population or the Moro revolutionary fronts, the MILF and the MNLF (whose military activities are now confined to Sulu island alone) because their massive economic assistance to the Moro areas of Mindanao allows them free rein (or gives them the excuse) to go wherever they want.

More importantly for the US Pacific Command is that the US navy including their submarines have free passage and unquestioned semi-permanent presence in the vital Sulawesi-Sulu Seas corridor while being allowed to resupply from nearby US military posts inside Philippine bases in Mindanao through its Mutual Logistics and Services Agreement and Voluntary Forces Agreement with the Philippine government, achieving a veritable "offshore or hovering base presence" (ala the science fiction or comic book rendering of a hover base). However, one international NGO, Focus on the Global South, has reported in August that the Pentagon has designated its operating base in Sulu as "Advance Operating Base 920". Focus, said that in June 6, 2007, the US Naval Facilities Engineering Command awarded a $14.4-million contract to Global Contingency Services LLC of Irving, Texas for “operations support” for the JSOTF - Philippines.

Lately, the premise has also been laid that the Sulawesi-Mindanao Arc is part of the so-called "ungoverned territories". These are geographical areas in the world in which a state faces significant challenges in establishing control. The 2007 RAND study (Ungoverned Territories, Understanding and Reducing Terrorism Risks, RAND, 2007) says that "ungoverned territories can be failed or failing states, poorly controlled land or maritime borders, or areas within otherwise viable states where the central government's authority does not extend" (RAND, 2007). In the case of Mindanao, particularly the Moro rebel-controlled areas and the surrounding Moro population centers as well as the vast tracks of inhospitable terrain that the Moros occupy, the area is considered by the RAND study as an area of "contested governance" where the Moro ethnic groups refuses to acknowledge the legitimacy of the government's rule and pledges loyalty to some other form of social organization, such as an insurgent movement (i.e. MILF), tribe or clan or other identity group. In most cases, areas of contested governance such as Muslim Mindanao, the groups contesting the state's authority are seeking to establish their own state-like entity.

The utility of designating Muslim Mindanao, which includes the Sulu archipelago where US presence is most felt, as an "ungoverned territory" and as an arena of contested governance by the Moro ethnic groups is that it allows the US military to insert its presence without much protest or resistance from the central government since they are effectively not within the writ of the central government's authority. So no matter the protestations of violation of sovereignty by the central government, the very fact that there is contested governance means that the consent of the Moros are all that the Americans need to operate in the area once the formalities with the central government are ironed out in the guise of logistics access agreements. So far with the massive economic assistance of the USAID, the Moro consent to US presence in their territories has been facilitated and no American soldier has been targetted by insurgent attacks by the Moro rebel groups.

Moreover, it is in Mindanao that the two strategic vectors of the Pentagon's third Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) 2006 converge. These two vectors are: "the so-called long war against Islamic radicalism, and an increased emphasis on shaping the behavior of China by means of military "dissuasion" (Conetta, C., "Dissuading China and Fighting the 'Long War'", World Policy Journal, Summer 2006). The strategy of the "long war" allows for the policy framework for more U.S. interventions abroad as we are now witnessing in Mindanao. However, according to one critic:

"The long war as envisaged in the QDR defines an agenda and scope of action for the US military that is virtually indeterminate - insofar as its purview encompasses the entire Muslim world. Identification of the enemy tend to be categorical, rather than specific, and the criteria for inclusion in the enemy camp tend to be highly subjective. This approach to defining enemies runs the risk of dissipating American efforts and precipitating threats where none presently exist." (Conetta, 2006).

The strategy of the "long war" is finally revealed as the cover for US "claim-staking" to dissuade other rival powers or potential regional hegemons, in particular China according to the QDR, "against a proscribed behavior (or path of development) by persuading an opponent that it is unlikely to achieve its ends at an acceptable cost." (Conetta, 2006). As the economic and military gap with China is bound to narrow in the coming decades, the US may be able to limit China's future options in other ways, but that will depend on the outcome of the "long war." (Conetta, 2006). Ultimately, what unites the two strategic vectors is that it emphasizes the maintenance of US primacy as an overarching goal and approaching the long war as integral to that effort as a means of dissuasion to future rival powers (Conetta, 2006).

Mindanao is an arena of "claim-staking by the US whose presence is justified by the "war on terror" or what is now known as the "long war."

While China is busy in Manila buying-off through its economic diplomacy the oligarchic elite by offering enormous sums for infrastructure development with few strings attached, the US has concentrated its aid money in Mindanao to serve its strategic ends. Given the unreliability of the Philippines as a bulwark against China, the US is hedging its relations with a rising China by assisting the rise of strong neighbors along China's periphery and specifically this does not include the Philippines but relies on India, Indonesia and Vietnam (Twining, 2007).

As the Philippine center of economic gravity (i.e. the taipans are investing heavily in the Chinese mainland) shifts to China and draws the Philippines to its orbit, the US is hedging by cultivating its relationship with the Moros in Mindanao, particularly the rebel movements represented by the MILF and the MNLF. The United States Institute for Peace (USIP) Philippine Facilitation Project, which was supposed to dialogue with the MILF for a negotiated political settlement of the Moro struggle for self-determination, ended this year and has not been renewed because the US is shifting from Track 2 diplomacy to Track 1 diplomacy with the MILF by dealing directly with the MILF through US embassy personnel and not through intermediaries like USIP.

The current US policy is to help the peace process along towards a peace agreement between the MILF and the Philippine government. This policy allows the Philippine government breathing space to put its economic and governance house into order while at the same time curries favor with the Moros desirous of an end to their conflict situation.

If the peace process drags on, the US will have to step-in eventually to apply the necessary pressure to the Philippine government to offer substantial concessions to the Moros to forge a peace agreement. While others have said that a peace agreement is not necessary for US aims in Mindanao, they forget to mention that it is actually the peace process that facilitates the US entry into Moro homelands otherwise without the peace process and a modicum of stability where there is an ongoing ceasefire between the MILF and the Philippine government, the situation would be more like Somalia or Afghanistan with daily attacks and ambuscades or a situation of low-intensity guerilla warfare which might pull the Americans to fight in a war that is not their own and provides no strategic rationale since what they want is just a military presence in the area.

Among the wildest scenarios if the Philippine government is not able to forge a peace agreement with the Moros and war breaks out again in Mindanao, is that the Sulu Archipelago might break-off or spin-off from the rest of the Philippines through American sponsorship by invoking the 1898 Kiram-Bates treaty wherein the US granted the then Sultanate of Sulu the status of a protectorate. The protectorate was unilaterally cancelled by the US subsequently but the Moros of Sulu were not a party to it so it is not inconceivable that it may be invoked by the US as a form of intervention. Breaking-off Sulu to be its protectorate would mean that the US can establish a permanent base in Sulu plus there is the potentially huge hydrocarbon bonanza in the Sulu Sea where US oil supermajor, Exxon, is already engaged in oil and gas exploration. The US even if it is desirous only of Sulu as a base of operations would have to use the MILF, the bulk of whose forces are in Central Mindanao, as a hedge against the AFP and similar to the Anbar Awakening strategy in Iraq it would have to arm the MILF to keep the AFP occupied in mainland Mindanao. Eventually, the Philippine government would have to concede that it did not have the military power to ensure Philippine territorial integrity and may just ask for Chinese assistance to keep its war effort going and setting-up a stage for proxy war between the Chinese and the US. This scenario sounds inconceivable but stranger things have happened in history.

The best option then for the Philippine government and the US government in order to avoid serious destabilization in Mindanao and the Sulu archipelago is to complete the peace process and sign a peace agreement with the MILF as soon as possible wherein a Moro Homeland emerges as an anchor of stability in the region.

# # # #

I will write more about the implications for other countries like Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Australia, etc. regarding the Mindanao scenario.

12.8.07

NO SCOOP IS WORTH SENDING AN INNOCENT MAN TO JAIL

PRESS STATEMENT
AUGUST 7, 2007

NO SCOOP IS WORTH SENDING AN INNOCENT MAN TO JAIL

Once again, a member of the Muslim community was arrested without warrant. Once again, someone was subjected to physical abuse to force him to admit to a supposed terrorist plot. Once again, there is an attempt to hoodwink the public and to prostitute the judicial process through evidence that was not only unconstitutionally obtained but all indications point to its spurious nature. Once again, there is an attempt to earn media mileage points at the expense of protecting the public by going after those who are truly guilty. Once again, an excuse is being manufactured to have another escalation of hostilities in Mindanao .

Around two weeks ago, a poor man from a far-flung farming village in Maguindanao came to Metro Manila on board a ship in search of a way out of poverty. His name is Kaharudin Talib and like many others from Mindanao and other parts of the country, his route out of poverty is to land a menial job in the Middle East as an OFW. For this purpose, he obtained a passport and set a day to go to the recruitment agency.

But Kaharudin’s hope – a hope which countless other poor people in this country share - suddenly vanished last Friday, August 3, 2007, WHEN HE HIMSELF VANISHED. On that day, he was picked up and arrested WITHOUT A WARRANT by joint elements of the PNP-SPD and ISAFP. And for three straight days and nights, he was held incommunicado. Frantic families and neighbors sought the help of lawyers whose efforts to locate him were unsuccessful. The PNP-SPD denied that they have custody and instead pointed to the ISAFP. But the ISAFP also denied having custody over him and, as if playing a sort of SICK GAME only they can possibly find amusing, likewise pointed to their counterparts in the PNP-SPD as the ones with custody.

This, in itself, already indicates a sinister plan by the PNP and ISAFP.

But what is an even stronger indication of a sinister plan was what transpired the day following Kaharudin’s arrest. On Saturday afternoon ( August 4, 2007 ), members of the PNP went to Kaharudin’s residence and AGAIN WITHOUT A WARRANT AND WITHOUT COORDINATING WITH BARANGAY OFFICIALS as they are required under the law searched his place for supposed bombing implements. The search was initially conducted in the presence of Kaharudin’s housemates. But when no evidence was found even after each nook and cranny was searched, THEY ORDERED EVERYONE TO STEP OUTSIDE THE HOUSE. Only after giving themselves moments to search the house without effective supervision and witnessing did the cops allow the residents to step inside. AND LO AND BEHOLD! It was only then that a bomb was “found”.

The other evidences are of equally spurious nature. Even disregarding the constitutional inadmissibility of the supposedly incriminating text messages, the nature of those messages proves their manufactured nature rather than the guilt of Kaharudin. Why would supposed terrorists send messages in plain Tagalog? Why not in his dialect? To make their incriminating nature more obvious for the media and the public? To make it easier to convince the public that this person is really a terrorist? Wouldn’t anyone engaged in a sinister crime at least try to hide their crime by sending instructions in coded messages? Who sent those messages? Even a stranger who has someone else’s number can easily send such an incriminating message if he wanted to produce an “evidence” against that person. And when were those messages sent? Before or after the arresting officers had already possession of it? Sadly, these questions cannot be resolved as of now because THE POLICE REFUSED TO ALLOW ANYONE BUT THEMSELVES TO SEE THOSE TEXT MESSAGES, a clear indication that it is of spurious nature.

These and many other sinister aspects surrounding Kaharudin’s arrest and the attempt to pin a crime on him are the reasons why we, members of several law groups, have taken an interest in this case. NOT ONLY ARE THE BASIC CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHTS OF A PERSON INVOLVED IN THIS CASE BUT THE SPURIOUS NATURE OF THE SUPPOSED “EVIDENCE” AGAINST HIM STRONGLY INDICATES HIS INNOCENCE.

But this case involves not just Kaharudin and his family and friends. The public themselves have an utmost interest in this case. The public has a right to be protected from heinous crimes like terrorism. But when law enforcement agencies insist on pinning an act of terrorism on a clearly innocent person, AREN’T THEY IN EFFECT LETTING THE TRUE CULPRITS GO FREE??? Is their need to show to the public concrete results in their counter-terrorism campaign so strong that they don’t mind apprehending innocent people and letting guilty ones free??? Do such conduct from law enforcement and security agencies lead to better protection of the public, or are they only exposing the public to more risks? In other words, do the PNP and ISAFP deserve commendation or condemnation for the arrest of Kaharudin.

We are aware that the PNP, through one member of the media, presented a supposed confession by Kaharudin. But:

WHEN YOU BEAT UP A PERSON, HOLD HIM INCOMMUNICADO FOR 3 DAYS AND NIGHTS, PREVENT HIS FAMILY AND LAWYER FROM SEEING HIM, AND WHILE IN AN ENCLOSED POLICE STATION SURROUNDED BY THE VERY SAME PEOPLE WHO MOST LIKELY MANHANDLED HIM, ASK HIM LEADING QUESTIONS WHEN BEING INTERVIEWED BY A SOLE MEMBER OF THE PRESS …IT WOULD BE A MIRACLE IF HE DOESN’T OWN UP TO ANY CRIME YOU ASCRIBE TO HIM, EVEN THAT OF ASSASINATING JOHN F. KENNEDY AND NINOY AQUINO!!!

Thus, we remind our friends in the media of their profession’s code of ethics. We urge them not to allow themselves to be used in the abuse of a person’s constitutional rights.

THERE IS A THIN LINE BETWEEN GETTING A SCOOP AND BEING MADE A PARTY TO A POLICE INTERROGATION AND ILLEGAL CONFESSION. NO SCOOP IS WORTH SENDING AN INNOCENT MAN TO JAIL.

ASSOCIATION OF MUSLIM ADVOCATES OF LAW
BANGSAMORO LAWYERS NETWORK, INC.
MUSLIM LEGAL AID FOUNDATION, INC.

31.7.07

Basilan Offensive: Limited Police Action or All-Out War in Disguise?

Press Statement

BASILAN OFFENSIVE: LIMITED POLICE ACTION
OR ALL-OUT WAR IN DISGUISE?

“Limited police action”, that is how the hawks in government and military describes the impending offensive in Basilan to assure the people that it will not lead to another all-out war. We have heard this phrase before.

In year 2000, this was also the phrase used in the aftermath of the Ozamiz ferry bombing. In year 2003, it was again used in the aftermath of the Davao city airport and wharf bombings. And from what transpired in those years, we all know the truth behind that phrase – ALL OUT WAR!

The 2000 and 2003 all-out wars led to thousands of deaths - combatants and civilians alike - and a million and a half internally displaced people. The reconstruction and return of the refugees have not even been completed and yet we are staring at the specter of another all-out war as a consequence of the Basilan encounter between the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) and the Bangsamoro Islamic Liberation Front (BIAF).

Therefore, we who come from various sectors and civil society organizations, who represent the true stakeholders of the Mindanao Peace Process, whose voices are drowned by the drums of war and jingoist calls for revenge, declare the following:

1. We condemn in no uncertain terms any and all atrocities and human rights abuses or any failure to respect the provisions of Protocol II of the Geneva Conventions BY ANY SIDE to the Mindanao Conflict;
2. We are disturbed at the attempt to exploit the legitimate outrage over the Basilan incident into calls for all-out war and abandonment of the GRP-MILF Peace Process;
3. We are disturbed at the disproportionate media coverage of atrocities committed by identified as Muslims versus those committed against them;
4. We strongly condemn the efforts to manipulate public opinion into acquiescing to another all-out war disguised as another “police action”;
5. We appreciate and commend the intense efforts of responsible people of both the AFP and the BIAF, as well as the respective peace panels of the Government of the Republic of the Philippines (GRP) and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) and their respective ceasefire committees (CCCH) to defuse the volatile situation. We are aware of their difficult task made more difficult by the noise of the warmongers;
6. We also appreciate and commend the International Monitoring Team (IMT), and members of the international community particularly the governments of Malaysia, Japan, Canada, the United States, the European Union, and member countries of the Mindanao Trust Fund of the World Bank who have joined the calls for sobriety and reason;
7. We call on the Filipino public to educate themselves on the roots of the Mindanao conflict and not to take events into isolation but rather put it into the context of the long history of the conflict. We call on you to exercise your reason and to bear in mind that joining the calls of war will lead to the suffering of millions of people of all faiths in Mindanao;
8. We call on the media to observe the code of ethics of their profession and to be balanced and responsible both in their reporting and editorials;
9. We join the earlier calls of both government and civil society leaders in Mindanao (Mindanao Peaceweavers, Presidents of Catholic Universities and Colleges in Mindanao, Consortium of Bangsamoro Civil Society, ARMM Business Council, ARMM Regional Government) call on the government to refrain from any act that will irreversibly injure not only the peace process but also the welfare of the peoples of Mindanao;
10. We demand from the AFP and the BIAF to strictly adhere to their agreed upon ceasefire mechanisms as the only way to prevent repetitions of the Basilan encounter; and,
11. And we demand on all parties concerned, particularly the GRP and the MILF, to ensure sustainable peace by earnestly addressing the root causes of the Mindanao Conflict.


NO TO ALL OUT WAR IN MINDANAO DISGUISED AS LIMITED POLICE ACTION!

NO TO WAR, YES TO NEGOTIATED SOLUTION OF THE MINDANAO CONFLICT!

RESPECT THE CEASEFIRE MECHANISMS OF THE GRP-MILF PEACE PROCESS!

GUARANTY SUSTAINABLE PEACE BY ADDRESSING ROOT CAUSES OF THE MINDANAO CONFLICT!

Alliance of Muslim Advocates of Law (AMAL)
Assembly of the Dar’ul Ifta
Bangsamoro Lawyers Network (BLN)
Bangsamoro Center for Law and Policy (MoroLaw)
Consortium of Bangsamoro Civil Society (CBCS)
Mindanao Interfaith for Human Rights Advocacy (MIHRA)
Mindanao Solidarity Group
Young Moro Professionals (YMP)

18.7.07

Condemning the Basilan Encounter

From the Plains of Kutawato
By: Atty. Zainudin S. Malang
The statements of condemnation were swift in coming. Invariably, they all expressed shock and revulsion at the beheading of the Philippine Marines. Some hawks and hawk-wannabes in the legislature issued calls to arms and for the government to abandon its negotiations with the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF). They were joined by many members of the media. A welcome surprise, however, was the initial statements from the executive and military which called for sobriety and candidly admitted failure to observe ceasefire mechanisms which were precisely agreed upon to prevent encounters between the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) and the Bangsamoro Islamic Armed Forces (BIAF) while the peace talks are ongoing.

True, the beheading of the Marines is an atrocity that is rightfully condemned. Even the Black and White Movement’s press statement correctly pointed out the mutilation of one’s enemies are proscribed in the Qur’an and, thus, un-Islamic. But while I was quick to join BnW’s statement of condemnation, I was also quick to remind that we must be prepared to condemn any and all acts of barbarity and cruelty. Revulsion at one atrocity while ignoring another will not serve the cause of peace and will only encourage repetitions of such tragic incidents, bearing in mind always that one person’s barbarity may be another person’s revenge.

A related incident that has not been getting as much media and public attention – in fact belated and minimal – as the be beheading of the Philippine Marines is the reported mutilation of an Imam in the same village earlier on the day of the encounter. How we react to both incidents or ANY incident involving violations of rights of ANY person coming from ANY faith will determine if communal relations between Muslims and Christians in this part of the world can look forward to a positive future.

I have had many instances to share with Muslims and Christians alike my thoughts on inter and intra communal dialogue and how it is impacted by the issue of "terrorism". The argument I have always put forth in all my private and public statements is that awareness by Filipinos of what Moros are doing to ostracize those who would misuse Islam may perhaps reduce the resentment arising from the perceived acquiescence of the latter to atrocities committed in the name of Islam. That awareness in turn may move Filipinos to join the Moros' calls for respect for their rights and reduce their resentment at the former's perceived acquiescence to violations thereof.

A common statement among Moro human rights advocates is that if the national public devoted as much news coverage and op-eds to atrocities committed against them, the pages of all the broadsheets from front to back will not be enough. For instance, the kidnapping of Fr. Bossi in Zamboanga Sibugay has been occupying the front pages for weeks now and has been rightly condemned by people of all faiths. But for years now, Imams and Ustadzes from Zamboanga Peninsula to Davao Peninsula have been "disappearing" with nary a footnote in the national consciousness.

In an online discussion forum made up of members of Mindanao’s civil society, I wrote:

"For example, when Christians like Manong Pat ask ‘if the Philippine government will propose a similar plan to isolate and contain the Abu Sayyaf, will Filipino Muslims toe the line?’, wouldn't it be good to let them know what steps are being taken by their Moro activist friends to help ostracize religious extremists and expose them as religious frauds? Imagine yourself as such an activist trying to convince your own community to stand up to terrorists and be more outspoken. Given that most people at the grassroots see themselves as victims of both the ASG and the AFP, generating the right response is not as simple as it seems. Still, eventually one notices the Dar'ul Ifta issuing statements of condemnation, even Khutba. Radio talk shows in the vernacular start talking about the evil of indiscriminate violence, especially if religion is used as an excuse. We also see the liberation fronts not just being outspoken but actually cooperating in operations. Perhaps if more Christians knew of all these steps being taken by Moros themselves, then there might be less resentment for the latter's perceived acquiscence to ASG atrocities. And then, in turn, perhaps more Christians would join Muslims in calling for the AFP to respect the human rights of Moros who would also feel less resentfull at the seeming indifference to violations of Moros' human rights in the course of counter-terrorism."
Though clearly tragic, the latest Basilan incidents offers us another opportunity to look at the larger picture, examine the roots of the conflict in Mindanao, instead of taking the beheading of the Marines in isolation from all the incidents of physical, political, economic, and cultural violence during the 100 years of the Moros' incorporation in the Philippine republic. Incidents of atrocities are part of the much larger conflict that has been going on for centuries. Sadly, it is these type of incidents that are given prominence (and only those that are committed by Muslims and not those which are committed against them) and not the earnest efforts of people to settle the conflict via peaceful means.

Incidentally, Cito Beltran in his July 13 column asked "how much longer before those who mourn (for the Marines) will turn against the 'Muslims' in Metro Manila?". Such a rhetorical question as well as the strong statements that came from some of our honorable congressmen and senators forebodes of a slippery slope and the only way we can prevent it is if we are able to look at the Basilan incidents in the context of the totality of past and present events in Mindanao.

For the longest time, Metro Manila saw no need to examine the conflict with a critical eye and read between the lines of events in Mindanao as reported. It is high time it does so. Of course, I may be preaching to the converted here. Perhaps, we just need to spread that message.

21.6.07

The Two Faces of Counterterrorism Strategy in Mindanao

By Ishak Mastura

On the one hand there is that prevailing thought that “Counterterrorism is now 90 per cent law enforcement and intelligence,” according to Jonathan Stevenson, a senior strategist with the International Institute for Strategic Studies based in London . “Since Sept. 11, the only overt military actions have been the Predator (missile) strike in Yemen , and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq – and I don’t think there will be many more. I think there’s a much higher priority placed on law enforcement and intelligence now. It’s not a traditional war.” (The Globe & Mail/Canada, September 6, 2003).

On the other hand, there is the Pentagon push, which is being felt in Mindanao, for regional militaries to establish control over what is called “ungoverned spaces” – urban shantytowns where gangs operated, borders, coastlines, and rivers where arms, drugs, and human smuggling took place, and jungle and rural areas where guerillas and terror cells could take root (Washington Office on Latin America, “Blurring the Lines: Trends in U.S. Military Programs with Latin America,” September 2004). Such a vision of international security implies a major expansion of the role of the armed forces in domestic affairs, “eroding the fragile firewall between police and military operations that human rights activists had fought so hard to erect since the end of the Cold War” (Grandin, G., Empire’s Workshop, 2006). In June 2005, for instance, Washington encouraged Central American nations to create a regional “rapid response” team composed of military and police units that could deal with cross-border drug trafficking and gang violence – an operation that harkens back to the 1960s, when U.S.-created rapid response units turned themselves into death squads (Ibid). In the Philippines, U.S. Special Forces have conducted training at the company level of the Philippine military to establish Light Reaction Teams, that are supposed to pursue JI and Abu Sayyaf terrorist groupings, but which in turn have been used to suppress Moro rebel groups fighting for legitimate Moro grievances, such as the Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF) and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF).

In the case of Mindanao, the U.S. relationship with the Moros is as old as that of its relationship with Latin America since it began in the age of American imperial expansion in 1898. Volumes and reams of papers have been written about the American success at the pacification of the Moros and the establishment of a separate Moro Province uniting the different tribal groupings of the Moros into one unified body politic. The failure is on the part of the Filipinos who took over the governance of the Moros from the Americans from Philippine independence in 1946 despite warnings that the Filipinos could never govern the Moros and that the animosities between the two would be rekindled sooner or later.

The question for U.S. policy makers is: Does the U.S. want to completely throw away all that history of its Military and Economic success for the Moro Province established by the likes of Generals John Pershing, Arthur MacArthur, Trasker Bliss and Leonard Wood, legends in their own time in the American pantheon of great generals?

Asia expert, Michael Vatikiotis, in his article “Brain not Brawn, the key to winning the War on Terror” (http://www.opinionasia.org/, April 4, 2007) showed us examples of success in counterterrorism operations by highlighting the differences in approach of Indonesia and the Philippines . “If there is one lesson to be learned from the war against terror as it has been waged in Southeast Asia , it is that good intelligence and careful police work rather than brute military force are the best counter terrorist strategy. And some of the best police work has been conducted in Indonesia, where many so-called terror experts once believed the government would be least effective in countering the terrorist threat”, he says. The success of Indonesia in its counterterrorism operations is in no small part attributed to the training in police and detective work and small unit operations provided by the U.S. Special Forces, FBI and Australian Federal Police.

And now we hear that the Australians have signed a Status of Visiting Forces Agreement with the Philippine government to conduct military trainings (operations?) in Mindanao . How different can the counterterrorism operations in the Philippines be from that in Indonesia , which is the source of the jihadists in Mindanao ?

In parting, my best advice for the U.S., Australia and other interested international actors in Mindanao is to identify the Moros that can be on your side, befriend them, offer them support on their legitimate aspirations (particularly regarding the peace process with the MILF), and you can be sure of longer term gains in the Great Game as China looms on the horizon. After all, the Moros are Muslims and what is critically important for the West is engaging the Islamic world since the Filipinos are already co-opted into the Western fold.

18.6.07

The Root Cause of Electoral Fraud, Violence and Vote-Vending in the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao

By: Algamar A. Latiph

Once again we witnessed the nasty politics of violence and flood of allegations of vote rigging in the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao. What has been largely ignored is the region’s prevailing poverty, political and socioecomic inequalities where electoral fraud and violence are rooted. United Nations’ official Topfler Klaus said that “when people are denied access to clean water and air to meet their basic human needs, we see rise of poverty, ill-health and a sense of hopelessness. Desperate people can resort to desperate solutions.”

Being consistently listed in the “Bottom 10 (2003)” of the Philippine Human Development Report 2005, the five provinces of ARMM confirmed their sorry state of inequalities and ebbing human development. They occupy PHDR’s “Bottom 10” in its category of the: Most Poor Provinces; Human Development Index (where Basilan, Maguindanao, Sulu and Tawi-Tawi are in the lowest rank); Per Capita Income (except Lanao del Sur); Basic Enrollment (except Tawi-Tawi), and; Gender Development Index (except Lanao del Sur).

As regards life expectancy, they placed at the lowest with Tawi-Tawi at 51.2 years (PHDR 2005). The National Anti-Poverty Commission’s Summaries of the 40 Poorest of the Poor Municipalities disclosed that 65% of the municipalities are from ARMM of which three are among the 13 municipalities where election failed on May 14, 2007. The NAPC’s database, likewise, revealed that the region’s 351,230 households have no access to water, this is equivalent to one-third of its registered voters.

These inequalities result to 1.8 million migrants all over the country in search of opportunities. Beyond the region’s boundaries, discrimination and exclusion confront Muslims thereby narrowing their choices. Job hiring, school admission, house leasing among others are just few instances of discrimination. Out of the 663 inmates in Camp Karingal ’s Women Jail Dormitory Facility, 94 come from ARMM (2005 data from the Muslim Legal Assistant Foundation). This is 14% of the jail’s population which is sharply disproportionate with the Muslims’ less than 2% population in National Capital Region. None of the inmates finished secondary school; they found themselves living in slum areas and all are unemployed.

On the other hand, perception of the 47% of the Filipinos is that Muslims are terrorist/extremists according to the Pulse Asia Ulat ng Bayan March 2005. It also found that 55% believed that Muslims are prone to run “amok” and about 33% to 44% have anti-Muslim bias. It is surprising however that only 14% of the respondents had experience interaction with Muslims while 58% based their judgment from media. It show how media’s negative portrayal of Muslims unduly affect stereotyping. In the later part of the election candidates’ theatrics in the media unraveled their stereotyping, and derision of the region’s people as cheaters with their culture of violence.

The region has experienced centuries of violent and painful history in defending their freedom from foreign domination. The 20th century was highlighted by exhaustion from struggle from the systematic policy of driving them out of their fertile ancestral land in which they are now a minority. The densely militarized region is host to 1.38 Million internally displaced persons brought about by armed conflict from 2000 to 2004. Since 1971, the armed conflict claimed 120,000 lives.

As a body politic, ARMM meets the profile of a failed region where it did not only breed electoral violence but, to an extreme, a terrorist group—Abu Sayyaf Group. The current political violence is a sad reality of Moro versus Moro. It is a violence devoid of any political ideologue neither personal animosity. Owing to the absence of choices within the region, politicians are not motivated by power and prestige but a control of the limited wealth in the local units or districts—the Internal Revenue Allotment or Pork Barrel Fund. A victory in election will secure a three-year uninterrupted flow of millions of money. Politicians spend millions to buy votes since “return-of-investment” is assured. The scenario in the region’s politics is that the cost of violence is worth an investment. That is the reason that politicians’ drive to ensure victory and the sense of losing the election increase political tensions and, at times, result to bloodshed.

In abstract, a ballot is more than a piece of paper; it is a paper where the highest expression people’s supremacy in governance is cast. But this exists only in law books. In ARMM the ballot has yet to serve its constitutional utility of building a “just and humane society.” Though it lost its altruistic value, the ballot is not a meaningless paper but a commodity that can yield money worth more than the expected delivery of public goods and services. And can be used as leverage in accessing basic human subsistence.

In The End of History and the Last Man, Francis Fukuyama states that Philippines is “masks [by] enormous disparities in wealth, prestige, status, and power, which these elites can use to control the democratic process.” The region’s political and socioeconomic inequalities had given birth to political slavery where political dynasty gestated and, in exceptional cases, political warlordism evolved. In this system, open political participation is systematically eliminated denying the possibility of equal access to public office in order to institutionalize political monopoly. It is a process of selection among members of the family instead of free election. It is based on ones’ influence in the family rather than platform of government. Qualification, competency and character play no role. Public accountability succumbs to bloodline loyalty.

Patronage politics thrives because of the political symbiotic-dependency between the politicians and the poverty-stricken majority. The former provides for basic human subsistence in exchange of the latter’s continued patronage. Supporters will be in a three-year payroll that would somehow satisfy basic human needs for job, food and health. Being of limited choice, one has no sufficient freedom to break the bond. Freedom and liberty are elusive to men with empty stomach whose faculties are too infirm to exercise freewill.

A different scenario however exist in the case of political warlordism where fear and reign of terror is employed to assure political submission; the leverage of money-politics plays a minimal role. The will of the people is snatched by the barrel of the gun. On the other hand, there is phenomenon on the increasing numbers druglord-turned-politician. In Lanao del Sur it is an open-secret that there are at least seven of them holding mayor position. And there is anticipation that they will control the provincial seat as well as the congressional post in the near future.

Family kinship contributes to the perpetuation of warlordism where family members serve as foot soldiers. More often than not, the history of rido (clan feud) among the candidates fuels electoral violence. This is the underlying cause on the failure of election in the 13 municipalities in Lanao del Sur on May 14, 2007. Likewise, the technical aspect of the election aids dynasty and warlordism in preserving their political domination. Instead of modern electronic voting which is free from human intervention what is used is the Jurassic process of paper voting on the sheets of ballots, election returns, statement of votes, and certificate of canvass which can be physically hijacked and doctored. The current process gives election staff wider latitude of discretion making it susceptible to bribery and intimidation.

Vote-rigging in the national level is attributable to national candidates themselves being logically the sole beneficiary of the cheating facilitated thru their operators and their political disciples in the region. Cheating with respect to local positions is very remote as they are under the scrutiny of watchful eyes of the local candidates. National candidates’ absence of concrete agenda and ideological principle in governance intended to alleviate the region’s inequalities thereby lacking any campaign platform to attract votes in the region. It is no wonder that the region perceived that the “government is the principal party to blame and hopelessness under the present set-up.” (PHDR 2005).
In terms of representation, political opportunities are reserved for the few elites. Philippines is “a society dominated by social elite, most often of large landowners, who are neither tolerant of other classes nor efficient entrepreneurs,” according to Francis Fukuyama. This is a bitter fact but its degree of impact is worst with respect to ARMM.

More than three quarters of the members of the House of Representative belong to political dynasty; the Senate is not an exception. While the Lower House is equalized by geographical representation, Senate’s (including the Senators-elect) balance of power is iniquitously tilted toward imperial Manila where half come from NCR (12% of national population) and each provinces of Cavite, Sorsogon, Iloilo, and Zambales have two. The ARMM which has 10% of the population has yet to have its Senator for a decade and without Sen. Pimentel, Mindanao would not have any representation.

It may be argued that this unequal representation is tempered by the creation of ARMM. This is far from truth. The Office of the Regional Governor, has yet to be freely elected. At present, it is Malacanang’s anointment. Since its creation, elections were postponed eight times; and there were eight instances where ARMM officials’ term of offices were extended by the Congress without election. Apart from this, the Southern Philippines Development Authority was inactivated by virtue of Executive Order No. 149 for almost five years, it was activated only few months ago.

It seemed that the root causes of the fraud and violence are not appealing to politicians as well as the media that it rarely have their equal attention. The region gets that extraordinary interest only when there is blood-letting during election and armed conflict. In this election the question on Moro Problem and inequalities have been hardly taken seriously. What was underscored in the media is the issue on who will control Congress rather than what Congress can do to the failing region. This political timidity is not surprising. Congress is dominated by northern politics, its members’ approach and perception to the region’s inequity is subjective than structural. “Dominant groups tend to be unaware of social inequalities… [they] tended to see person-related causes of war [in this case political violence], while non-dominant Muslims prioritized structural causes of the conflict.” (Montiel, C.J. and Macapagal, E.J., Effects of Social Position on Societal Attributions of an Asymmetric Conflict, Journal of Peace Research, Vol. 43, No. 2, 2006, pp. 219-227).

When job, health care, education, food and water, and physical security are wanting choices are shut off. The hapless marginalized people become vulnerable and exposed to exploitation aggravated by government’s impotence to guarantee human security. Nobel laureate W.A. Lewis in his Theory of Economics pointed out that increase in per capita income “gives a man greater control of his environment, and thereby increases his freedom.” But the State has failed to create a condition in which human development and security can be realized; where people choices and opportunities are much wider and where they could have greater control of their environment. Today’s politics however is not that encouraging: it is built on a high wall of intense and uncompromising political antagonism where constructive political cooperation is jettisoned.

It is Congress’ constitutional duty to dismantle dynasty. Unfortunately conflict of interest exist, Congress itself is ruled by different species of political dynasties. Legislative measures to make IRA and Pork Barrel spending more accountable and transparent are far from its agenda. International development agencies, who are pouring billions of pesos in ARMM, are not that helpful in making the country and other institutions more accountable on fund they received to alleviate the region’s inequalities. This gives wide perception that profits are taken out of the region’s misery. It is disturbing on how the visible political warlords exist in a society claiming to be governed by rule of law. It will not require a legislation to disarm private armies, with the military might of the State it is sufficient to destroy their existence. With these bleak scenarios and the political oblivion on the issues concerning the Bangsamoro, the ruling dynasties and warlords, therefore, will flourish while the cycle of electoral fraud, violence, and vending will persist.

It would appear that the region’s human development’s figures show that Bangsamoro, decades, has been denied of their right to live with human dignity.

21.5.07

ARMM Economics 101: Lesson 1 (The Big Picture)

FROM THE PLAINS OF KUTAWATO

ARMM ECONOMICS 101
(LESSON 1): THE BIG PICTURE

By: Atty. Zainudin S. Malang
(LL.M., I.M.R.I., J.D.)

I am not an economist by profession but I would like to think my knowledge about economic issues confronting the Bangsamoro are better than average. Although a lawyer by profession, I had acquired a deeper understanding of what drives economic phenomena from my studies and work. I hold a masters degree on international economic and business law and another masters degree on regional integration, both from Asian and European universities. I also worked for several years as an investments consultant at the heart of Metro Manila’s central business district. Thus, I consider myself better equipped than many holders of an undergraduate degree in economics. One time, I even found myself explaining a seminal work on economic theory to such a degree holder, a classmate in one of my foreign studies.

I am mentioning all of these to drive home the point that my return to Cotabato allowed me to use whatever little knowledge on economics I acquired from my work and studies to bear upon the situation existing in the Bangsamoro. So, what is the situation?

First, lets start with some figures. Gross regional domestic product which refers to the total value of goods and services produced in the ARMM. Official census figures show that the ARMM population is about 4% of the total population. Thus, common sense tells us that our share in the total national production should approximate the same percentile, even more if we are more productive than average. Yet, per official figures, our share in the total production of goods and services is less than 1%. The situation becomes more glaring when we compare our level of production with others. CARAGA, which is the poorest non-ARMM region in Mindanao, contributes 1.5% to the national total. This means that their production, already poor as they are, is nonetheless 50% higher than ours.

What this points to is that we are not engaged in enough economic activity, either as an employee, a farmer, a fisherman, or engaged in business. Since we are lagging in the level of economic activity, it comes as no surprise then that we have the highest level of poverty in the entire Philippines. Poverty incidence, is the percentage of the population living below the poverty level and according to the World Bank, the region-wide figure is 67%, meaning 2 out of every 3 residents of the ARMM are poor. (one component province even has a 92% poverty incidence or more than 9 out of 10). If people are not gainfully employed, or not tilling enough lands, or not engaged in a profitable business, then we cannot expect them to lift themselves out of poverty.

So, the region is poor, its residents are poor. How about its regional government? Is it as poor or is it better off than its constituents? Figures vary depending on which office you ask but I do remember a graph I downloaded from the website of the national government’s Department of Budget and Management which clearly acknowledges that the ARMM had the smallest regional allocation of expenditure at P11 Billion with CARAGA having the next lowest at P14 Billion (circa 2002; the website did not provide data for succeeding years). But let us go one step further in our analysis. Let us assume that the ARMM has the power to collect all types of taxes, unlike at the moment wherein national internal revenues are excluded from its power. Under that assumption, will the regional government be able to raise the funds it needs to operate, to fund its projects, to pay the salaries of its workers? You wish!

One basic rule of taxation is that you cannot tax that which has no capability to pay. Simple enough, right? Wala na ngang kita si Bapa at si Babo, sisingilin mo pa ng buwis! And as the figures on gross regional domestic product and poverty incidence have shown, we are not producing enough, we are not economically active enough, and we are not earning enough. What we therefore have, as tax practitioners and revenue officials would say, is a very small tax base.

Therefore, the way out of the rut we are in all goes back to increasing our productivity, to being engaged in a productive economic activity, in one way or another. But this, of course, is easier said than done. Like most of the ARMM’s problems, things are not that simple.

To induce an increase in economic productivity requires investments, whether public (meaning the government or some other public institution funds it) or private (meaning the money belongs to a private entity). Public investments can either go into the production of public goods such as roads or it can go to proprietary activities similar in a way to those undertaken by private companies. But we face a few problems in this regard. First, we have learned that the regional government is in no fiscal position to invest. The bulk of its budget goes into the salaries of its employees. We also know that the national government is cash trapped and has to contend with a fiscal deficit year in and year out. In fact, some renowned economists have suggested that the national government may go the way of Argentina’s when it defaulted on its obligations and went bankrupt. This leaves us with other public institutions, e.g. the donor community, on which to rely for public investments.

But those who have been observing the manner by which aid money is spent in the region are frustrated, to say the least. Maybe this is worth writing about more in the future but for now, suffice it to say that juxtaposing poverty figures with the figures showing when, where, and how much aid money was poured into the region shows that there has been very little, if any, positive impact on the region as a whole. I wonder how many of the readers have heard of the EDSA-type Sulu Circumferential highway. I almost banged my head against a concrete wall when I first heard of this project that sought to build a multi-lane (on each side) highway that will rival the North Luzon Expressway and put EDSA to shame. Can’t we do with a two-lane concrete road? Talk about a warped sense of priority in spending the region’s meager funding. As expected, the project is not even half-finished.

With public investments offering not much relief, maybe private investments can. Maybe those who have poured millions, if not billions, of pesos in other regions will also do the same in the ARMM. Well, I have worked as an investments consultant for years and let me share whatever little I know about how private investors think. Given a choice between putting up my factory in Laguna, or Davao, or Cagayan de Oro, or the ARMM, which location would investors most likely choose? The simple but painful answer is anywhere but the ARMM. Like it or not, perception or reality, they see the region as not a healthy place in which to do business.

Thus far, the economic picture I have painted is undeniably bleak. And with both private and public investments written off as a way to increase our productivity, is there no way out of our depressing predicament? Maybe there is. And I will explore this in my next installment on ARMM Economics 101 subtitled “Lesson 2: Increasing Productivity”.

(Atty. Zainudin S. Malang is the Director of the Bangsamoro Center for Law and Policy. This article appears in his column in the Mindanao Cross under the title “From the Plains of Kutawato”. Comments may be sent to morolaw@yahoo.com)

2.5.07

Towards A More Informed Debate On The Federalism Vs. Autonomy Issue

TOWARDS A MORE INFORMED DEBATE ON THE
FEDERALISM VS. AUTONOMY ISSUE

By: Atty. Zainudin S. Malang, (LL.M., I.M.R.I., J.D.)

A recent article in a national daily has once again brought to my attention the need for Moros to raise the level of their understanding of the federalism vs. autonomy debate. Sadly, I have noticed a less than adequate understanding not only of what federalism and autonomy are but also of the present conditions in the Bangsamoro which will have a substantial influence on our respective stands in this debate.

The article I speak of quotes one of the outspoken Local Government Unit (LGU) officials in the ARMM who argues for a federal set-up and begrudges the present set-up because the Internal Revenue Allotments (IRA) of LGUs in the autonomous region is quite small. He goes on to correlate the federalism issue with the roots of the Moro struggle, meaningful autonomy, etc.

The good mayor is indeed correct in pointing out the small IRA of LGUs in the Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao. I won’t argue with that. However, the implicit assumption that federalism will necessarily result in higher revenue allocations to the region is not. Our IRA may be small but our actual internal revenue collections are even smaller – far far smaller. In layman’s terms, we are receiving far more than we are giving. Indeed, the percentage of our actual revenue collections to the total IRA we are getting from the national government is only 1.5%. In 1999, our IRA from the national government was P2.5 billion but our actual collection is only P38 million. Thus, had we been completely left to fend for ourselves under a federal set-up, our LGUs would have had only P38 million (with an M) instead of P2.5 billion (with a B) to spend in 1999. So, if we expect oodles of money to spend once we have a federal state up and running, we may be up for the shock of our lives.

Another conventional belief that may also be based on an erroneous premise is that between federalism and autonomy, the latter is better since it is assumed that it will grant the Moros an even greater say in how their affairs are governed – more self-governance, in other words. To this assumption, my first question is what model of federalism are we talking of? Now you may want to know why it is necessary for us to discuss what model of federalism is being bandied about? Well, for one very basic reason. Depending on the model, federalism may or may not necessarily accord the Bangsamoro greater rights in governing their affairs.

So the next time we are asked whether we support the drive towards federalism, we should immediately throw back the question and ask what model is being proposed. Is it the Malaysian model where power is still heavily concentrated in the center? Or is it the Belgian model which, for all intents and purposes, have two countries under one flag – an opposite, if you may, of the Malaysian model? Or is it the U.S. model which was initially designed to give the balance of power to the states but eventually evolved into one wherein the federal government now has a substantial say in the affairs of the states?

Unless and until we are clear on what powers we will enjoy under a federal set-up, we should reserve our judgments or stands on the issue. Otherwise, we may be unwittingly giving up powers which we already have. One useful tool we can use is to draw a matrix of the powers under the present autonomous set-up and the proposed federal set-up, and then compare.

Lastly, my reason for pointing out the faulty assumptions above is not to undermine the calls for federalism or any other perceived solution to our demands. On the contrary, I would like its proponents to offer a coherent and intelligent rationale so as to make it hard for its opponents to strike down the proposal. Otherwise, the risk that we face is not only for our advocacy to be dismissed but, worse, if we accept a federal model that we have not yet fully understood, we may end up relinquishing rather than gaining powers of self-governance.

In any case, whether it is autonomy, federal, or independent state, the adoption of any of these governance models will not necessarily lead to a better quality of life for our people. Without a good understanding of how any of these systems are supposed to work, then we cannot make it work. Thus, we should already graduate from the sloganeering phase of our advocacy for self-governance. Even a high-school student can do that. But for professionals like us, its high time to get down and do the hard work of understanding the nitty gritty of these issues.

(Atty. Zainudin S. Malang is the Director of the Bangsamoro Center for Law and Policy. This article appears in his column in the Mindanao Cross under the title “From the Plains of Kutawato”. Comments may be sent to morolaw@yahoo.com)

The Nexus Between Discrimination and the Mindanao Conflict

THE NEXUS BETWEEN DISCRIMINATION AND THE MINDANAO CONFLICT: THE 2005 PHILIPPINE HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT
By: Atty. Zainudin S. Malang*

First, I would like to thank the organizers – the Ateneo de Davao University Research and Publication Office - for inviting me to be a reactor in today’s presentation of the 2005 Philippine Human Development Report. Second, allow me to congratulate the Human Development Network team that prepared this Report on behalf of the United Nations Development Program (UNDP). I sincerely believe that through this Report, you have made a substantial contribution towards an accurate understanding of the nature and roots of the Mindanao conflict and, potentially, to its resolution as well.

I. The 2005 PHDR: An Emerging But More Nuanced Understanding of the Moro Insurgency

These past few years, I have noticed a shift in outlook on the roots of the Mindanao Conflict, particularly that which is between the Bangsamoro and the Philippine State. Earlier, there was the World Bank’s Social Assessment of Conflict Affected Areas in Mindanao which, although primarily delving on the socio-economic costs of the war, also partly looked into the nexus between the land issue and the conflict (2002). This was followed by a yet to be released study commissioned by the World Bank on the causal link between land tenure problems besetting the Bangsamoro and the war.

The conventional belief among policy-makers and public institutions is that the Moro insurgency was brought about by economic reasons. With this premise, it was therefore convenient to conclude that with massive infusion of funds into the Bangsamoro areas, the clamor for independence and, by extension, the conflict would peter out. But we have seen so many administrations do just that since the outbreak of the 20th century phase of the Moro Wars and yet the insurgency is still there as well as the sense of Moro nationalism that feeds it, stronger than it ever was before. Now, we are beginning to see the fallacy of this shallow and condescending view. And hopefully, studies such as those contained in the 2005 PHDR will cause decision-makers as well as the general public to re-examine how they view the Moro Wars.

Anti-Muslim Prejudice and the Roots of the War

Back when I was still studying at the Ateneo de Manila School of Law, I was explaining the Bangsamoro perspective on the Mindanao conflict to a classmate who is also a good friend and she, quite matter of factly, told me that I have a persecution complex. Well, now at least, we have the 2005 PHDR which tells us that “anti-Muslim bias are not imagined nor random”. Maybe now is a good time for me to get in touch with her and give her a copy of this report.

Now, we know that every time a Muslim like me walks the streets of Metro Manila or other Christian-populated cities, almost 5 out of every 10 people on the same street thinks that I am a “terrorist”. Ditto for every Maguindanon student who has to attend school, a Maranao applicant for a job, a Tausug who has to face a policeman or soldier. For Muslims in this country, there is no escape from that prejudice even when one is merely reading the mainstream papers wherein a columnist can unabashedly object to the building of Mosques in Metro Manila, a sentiment purportedly shared by his wife who is ironically related to the UNESCO, or wherein pictures of Muslims protesting indiscriminate arrests are captioned as protests against the detention of “allegedly innocent” Muslims. For Muslims in this country, it is their innocence that must be alleged and not their guilt because the latter is already presumed. So much for Muslims enjoying the right to be presumed innocent under the Bill of Rights of the Philippine Constitution.

The relevance of this bias to the conflict is far more important than studies commissioned by credible international public institutions before the 2005 PHDR cared to attach to it. Pro-independence sentiments arise out of a lack of feeling of belonging, of being outcasts, of being second class citizens to whom concessions are only made grudgingly. Prejudice by the largely Christian body-politic rears its ugly face in the government, in the media, and other sectors of civil society. Going over the history of relations between the Bangsamoro and that Christian body-politic shows that there is no lacuna for reasons to feel that Muslims are outcasts even in their own homeland.

Starting from the early 1900s, the national government engaged in a policy of changing the demography of Mindanao by repopulating it with settlers from Visayas and Luzon. Strategies included providing financial assistance and land titles to the new inhabitants (e.g. Agricultural Colonization Act) to outright forcible land-grabbing by providing weapons to para-military groups (e.g. Ilagas in the 1960s) to granting timber concessions over thousands of hectares of Moro ancestral lands. Muslims, on the other hand, received no such assistance. Worse, the land titling system was not only alien to them but actually clashed with their own indigenous system of landholding. And when they fought back against the forcible-landgrabbing, the national government and the media were quick to label them as terrorists. Is it any wonder how the Muslims ended up being reduced from 76% to a mere 18% of Mindanao’s total population? And yet when they venture out of Mindanao to Luzon and Visayas, they are denied jobs, not allowed to build their mosques, subjected to humiliation in schools and workplace, and told to leave and go back to where they came from. Go back to what? Their lands have already been taken away from them.

We might as well face the reality of Christian-Muslim relations in this country, as Muslims perceive it. The resources of Mindanao are all-too welcome in this country, but Muslims themselves are not. Should we then wonder why pro-independence sentiments, expressed through armed struggle, is still strong notwithstanding many efforts, military and economic by the government? And if we need more convincing about the nexus between violence and exclusionary practices of the majority against the minority, we only need to look at what is going on in France for the past week. There, the majority even in a highly developed Western European country has to face the ugly consequences of their prejudice.

This is not to ignore the valiant efforts of those in Christian communities who view the roots of the conflict differently from the majority but as the survey attached to the PHDR itself has shown, there is an uphill battle to be waged in changing the present sad state of relations.

The Democratic Deficit of the Philippine State Vis-à-vis the Bangsamoro

Maybe now is the time for the largely Christian body-politic to ask themselves whether they truly want Muslims to be part of a pluralistic multicultural country. More importantly, maybe its about time to let the Bangsamoro themselves decide their political future. To put it more succinctly, recognize their “freedom of choice” as the UNDP itself defines human security.

Months ago, I was interviewed by a group of professors from the University of the Philippines who were conducting a democracy audit in the Moro areas. Among the indicators that they were looking at were government’s ability to provide for the basic services for Muslims, e.g. health, housing, education, etc.. It occurred to me during the interview that if they were truly interested in conducting a democracy audit, then they need to go back to the fundamental premise of democracy – the consent of a people to be subject to the sovereignty of a particular state.

For decades since the inception of the Philippine Republic, the largely Christian body-politic has failed to see the moral inconsistency between their prejudice and exclusionary practices and their refusal to let the Bangsamoro choose their political destiny. “Mindanao has always been and will always be part of the Philippines” is often the emotional reply to such clamor. This retort, bearing in mind the treatment to which Muslims are subjected, only begs the question whether it is Mindanao’s Muslims or Mindanao’s resources that they want to be part of the Philippines.

The inconsistency becomes more pronounced when we note the all-out support that was given by Christian civil society to East Timor’s assertion of its right to self-determination and yet at the same time fail, refuse, or reject outright any recognition of the Bangsamoro’s own aspirations. Perhaps, herein lies the psychological utility of prejudice and bias against Muslims. Creating a negative image of what Edward Said refers to as “the other” makes it more morally palatable to close one’s eyes to, even condone, the deprivation of rights of that “other”. OK lang, mga terorista naman yan eh (That’s alright, they are all terrorists anyway)! No wonder the bias has persisted for so long. It is convenient, it is useful.

II. PHDR: Implications for the Ongoing Peace Process Between the GRP-MILF

Every time I am asked about my assessment of the ongoing peace negotiations between the Government of the Republic of the Philippines (GRP) and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF), my standard reply has been that I am not so much worried that the two panels will not be able to arrive at a peace agreement. For its part, the government seems to have arrived at the conclusion that to prolong the conflict would be too costly for the entire country, economically and socially. For the MILF, it too has to spare its Bangsamoro constituents from a never-ending war.

My confidence, however, does not go as far as for me to say that the government will have an easy time “selling” the peace agreement to its national constituency. For how does a government sell an agreement to a populace that fails or refuses to look at the root causes of the conflict? Any such pact would immediately be labeled as “treasonous”, “a sell-out to extremists”, and giving too much “special treatment” to a minority.

I recall President Ramos’ peace convoy being pelted by tomatoes by Christians in Mindanao when he entered into a final peace pact with the other Moro liberation movement, the Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF). I also recall the difficulties the agreement faced in the halls of congress when it came to translating its provisions into law, resulting in a watered down version. Now comes a peace agreement with the MILF that is expected to concede to the Muslims more than that with the MNLF. Is it not reasonable to expect that the opposition to it will be more intense?

By identifying bias against and the socio-economic exclusion of Muslims as the underlying root cause of the conflict, the PHDR has actually identified the steps that need to be taken by those advocating for a peaceful resolution to the conflict. As the report recommends, there is a need to build a constituency for peace and that constituency must be built not only within the government but in the greater populace. And that constituency must be based on a true understanding of what propels and fuels the conflict for only then a peace pact be “acceptable” to the public. Without a fairly nuanced understanding, we will continue to have a constituency that thinks economic or military solutions or a mixture of both are the only things needed to resolve the conflict – a myopic outlook that has led to so many failures and to so much destruction.

Thus, I therefore encourage policy-makers, advisers, and the academe to increase their understanding of the conflict. More studies about the conflict be conducted and, equally important, these studies must be disseminated to as wide an audience as possible. If successful in that regard, it might be possible to convince the national constituency to look at the ongoing GRP-MILF negotiations as a process by which the two panels will define a new “term of coexistence” or “modus vivendi” for the Bangsamoro and Christian communities. The history of the conflict has shown that existing and previous ones have been abject failures. Hopefully, the new “modus vivendi” to be crafted by the GRP-MILF panels will be one that is well grounded on the roots and nature of the conflict, thereby increasing its viability and sustainability.

As important shapers of public opinion, media must be engaged. Unrealized by many media practitioners, there are many norms of professional ethics violated by their reportage on the conflict. For instance, in addition to its unfair description of Muslim detainees as “allegedly innocent”, the editorial board of the Inquirer has seen fit to give greater prominence in its front pages to the SWS survey than Pulse Asia’s thereby giving the impression that it gave more credence to the former’s assertion that all is well in good in Christian-Muslim relations. This would have been innocuous were it not for the fact that the latter preceded the first and is far more detailed in its questions. But since the Inquirer seems unconvinced about the survey conducted by Pulse Asia, conducting a survey among Muslims themselves might settle the issue. Let them speak on their views on Muslim-Christian relations. Let them be active participants in the study and not just its passive object.

III. Re-Assessing Strategies for Development Interventions in Conflict-Affected Areas

There is a need to draw lessons from the implementation of the 1996 Peace Accord between the MNLF and the GRP. It is unfortunate that during the period when huge amounts of developmental funds were poured into the ARMM, the HDI has not gone up. Thus, there is a need to re-examine our strategy for rehabilitation and development so that an MILF-GRP peace pact may not suffer the same fate.

The first step in this regard is for us to look at how we have prioritized development interventions. How many have heard of a multi-lane EDSA-type circumferential road for the island of Sulu? I have also heard many teachers complain of being made to attend so many training sessions outside the region (some of them identical in content and design) only to go back to schools that have no blackboards or, worse, no schoolbuildings. I have heard ARMM bureaucrats complain of repetitious training and other capability building activities funded by different aid agencies but all having similar or identical content.

I am also aware that of the many “rule of law” interventions, none include initiatives that promote an environment of equal opportunity. There is yet no well-supported advocacy for the enactment of an equal employment opportunity law, an unfortunate situation since religious discrimination in the workplace is one of its most socially divisive and pernicious manifestations. Some types of discriminations hurt the spirit, others hurt the stomach.

I am likewise surprised that there are far less funding for human rights initiatives than there are for promoting Barangay Justice and Muslim personal laws. Muslims, as a community, are far more concerned about indiscriminate arrests, indiscriminate bombings, and discriminatory practices by the majority than they are about divorce or their petty quarrels with their neighbors. Clearly, the absence of a well thought-out prioritization of interventions lead to tragic-comic situations.

Thus, aid agencies need to wean themselves out of the practice of delegating the lead role in designing programs to those lacking sufficient knowledge of the Bangsamoro environment and context. Indeed, the bias that the PHDR mentions afflicts even in the development assistance community. In one forum organized by a European Union conducted in this same city, one organizer refused to recognize the delegation coming from the ARMM.

To complement a rethinking of how projects are identified, prioritized, and designed, it might also be a good idea to prepare an HDI map of the conflict affected areas which can be used as a benchmark in assessing the efficacy of developmental interventions. This has been my suggestion to the OPAPP. Such a template was lacking at the inception of the MNLF-GRP Peace Accord and that prevented development agencies and stakeholders to accurately measure the actual impact of their projects after the agreement was signed. It would do well to prepare one for an expected MILF-GRP agreement. Accountability must be exacted not just from the government or the parties to the agreement but also from the donor community. There were a lot of failed expectations from the ’96 Agreement, the Philippines can ill afford to fail again.

IV. CONCLUSION

By way of concluding my reaction and my inputs on anti-Muslim bias, allow me to read a portion of an article I wrote for my column “From the Plains of Kutawato” in the Mindanao Cross:

Two Moro Kids in Baguio

I want to share with my readers a heart-wrenching story I saw the other night on NHK, a Japanese TV network.

The TV documentary featured two kids from Lanao - Nuruldin and his younger sister Marimar - both of whom could not be more than ten years old. The two had to leave their family, including their sickly mother, and their lakeside home in Lanao due to the war and the poverty that surrounded them. So poor were they that their relative in Baguio to whom they were entrusted was himself only slightly less poor than they are and yet sending them to him \was already thought of as an escape for them. Thus, Nuruldin and his sister had to spend their freetime selling plastic bags in a Baguio market.

One of the most heart-wrenching portions of the documentary was when Nuruldin and Marimar were asked how it is to live in Baguio City in Luzon, far from the Muslim communities in Mindanao. Their answers were unpleasant. Nuruldin recounts how along the alleyways of the market, he is commonly confronted and asked if he is a Muslim and why he is in Baguio – the program actually showed a middle aged storeowner doing this. Invariably, he is told to go back to Mindanao.

His sister’s experience is no less unpleasant. She goes to an elementary school where she is the only Muslim. Often, she is taunted by her classmates and schoolmates with “Abu Sayyaf ka, umalis ka dito, bumalik ka na lang sa Mindanao” (You are an Abu Sayyaf, get out of here, go back to Mindanao).

As the camera focuses on Nuruldin’s face while he recounts this story, I could see clearly from his eyes how such encounters hurt him. And his stories tug at the heart because as the program went on, I could sense that there could be few kids more adorable, more devoted, more full of love than he and his sister, and least deserving of being subjected to such terrible treatment.

This story reminds me of an article I read in a daily newspaper a few years back. It told of Muslim kids in the same city, Baguio, who were participating in an independence day parade. Dressed in colorful traditional Moro garb, the kids were obviously eager to join in the festivities and to show their oneness in commemorating Philippine independence. But as their floats were going around the city, they were greeted by other kids watching the parade at the roadside with chants of “Abu Sayyaf, Abu Sayyaf!”

I am also reminded of my own experience as the lone Muslim in my batch in a special science high school in Manila. Back then, there were no Abu Sayyaf yet. Back then, the taunt was simply “Muslim, Muslim”, as if being a pure monotheist was some form of a social disease.

But back to Nuruldin and Marimar. Apparently, a Baguio-based NGO has initiated an activity where Muslim and Christian kids could mingle and get to know each other. In the presence of Nuruldin, a Christian girl was asked what she thinks of Muslims. She replied: Ayaw ko sana silang galitin pero ang ayaw ko sa kanila eh iyong mayroon sila sariling Diyos (I don’t want them to get mad at me but what I do not like in them is that they worship a different God). The poor ignorant girl might as well have just said: Magugustuhan ko lang sila kapag nagsimba sila sa Cathedral sa araw ng Linggo (I will only like you once you start showing up for mass at a Cathedral on Sundays).

These are words from the mouth of babes. Imagine if you were the one who had to hear it. I’m sure many if not all of you have had the same experience living as a religious minority in a Christian country.



* LL.M., I.M.R.I., J.D.; Director, Bangsamoro Center for Law and Policy; comments may be sent to morolaw@yahoo.com. This reaction paper was read at the presentation of the 2005 Philippine Human Development Report on November 8, 2005, at Waterfront Insular Hotel, Davao City.

The BIMP-EAGA and ASEAN Regional Integration and their Relevance to the ARMM

THE BIMP-EAGA AND ASEAN REGIONAL INTEGRATION AND THEIR RELEVANCE TO THE ARMM
By:
Atty. Zainudin S. Malang*
(I.M.R.I, LL.M., J.D.)

Regional Integration in General:

In order to understand the relevance of regional integration to the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (ARMM), one must understand what “regional integration” means. This phrase refers to an initiative where a group of countries forming a geographical region in the globe seek to integrate their economies. Thus, the phrase does not speak of regions within countries but regions composed of countries. Thus, we have the European Union or the EU (formerly comprised of Western European countries but now also includes Central Europeans), the North American Free Trade Agreement or the NAFTA (comprised of North American countries), the Mercado Cumon Sur (comprised of South American countries), and in our own backyard, the ASEAN Free Trade Area or AFTA (comprised of countries in Southeast Asia).

Although this sort of multi-governmental initiative is increasingly assuming political and social aspects, it was and is primarily conceived as an economic initiative. It proceeds on the premise that national economies of countries forming a geographical region may benefit from the removal of trade barriers to those economies. By opening up trade to one’s neighbors, suppliers and consumers alike can benefit from being able to buy from and sell to a bigger market – a market that is regional and not just national. This idea, of course, also drives trade liberalization initiatives under the World Trade Organization (WTO) regime, differing only in their geographical scope since the WTO is a global initiative. However, regional integration offers more liberal trade concessions than those under the WTO usually in the form of lower, if not zero, tariff rates.

Regional integration may assume various models depending on the degree by which countries would like their economies to be integrated or, to use a layman’s term, unified. It is also dependent on how much concessions the members are willing to grant to their neighbors. These models are commonly classified as follows:

1. Free Trade Areas – member countries remove tariff barriers to each other’s goods but retaining the prerogative to fix their tariff rates vis-à-vis non-member;
2. Customs Union - member countries remove tariff barriers to each other and adopt a common external trade policy by, for instance, fixing common tariffs with respect to non-member countries;
3. Common Market – this is a customs union that also allows free movement of services, labor, and capital among the members’ territories;
4. Economic Union – this is a common market that also decided to unify their fiscal and monetary policies such as the adoption of a single currency among the members
5. Political Union – highest form of regional integration where countries decide to integrate not just economically but also politically (certain measures of the European Union may indicate a step in this direction such as the adoption of common foreign policy).

The NAFTA and AFTA may be considered as examples of the first. A group of Persian gulf countries may be considered as an example of the second. The European Union, depending on which stage of its evolution is referred to, may be cited as an example of the third and fourth. It remains to be seen whether it will become an example of the fifth. Presently, however, the most obvious example of the fifth is the United States.

Regional Integration in Southeast Asia Under AFTA

Among all the regional integration schemes existing in the world today, the one to which the Philippines belongs to is the ASEAN Free Trade Area or AFTA.1 This was the result of an agreement signed in the early 1990s by the Philippines together with the other ASEAN member-countries now numbering 10.2 Pursuant to this agreement and its many subsequent amendments, a free trade area will be established in Southeast Asia through a scheduled removal of tariff and non-tariff barriers to trade. By 2010, tariff rates of the six old members of the ASEAN3 for goods originating from another ASEAN member would be zero. By 2015, the remaining four relatively new members would follow suit.4 In accordance with the schedule of tariff reduction, however, the members have already implemented a maximum of 5% on intra-ASEAN goods to 99% of their product lines.

One of the premises of regional integration is geographical proximity. Thus, economic logic supports trade among countries that are close to each other. But among countries that decide to adopt regional integration, there are members and territories that are more proximate to each other than others. Hence, the emergence of subregional initiatives. In the ASEAN there are two: the BIMP-EAGA subregion which refers to the easternmost territories of Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines.5 On the other hand, the Mekong Subregion refers to the riparian states of the Mekong River Basin.6

Current Status of ASEAN Regional Integration

The framework agreement establishing the AFTA was signed on January 28, 1992 by ASEAN member states who were previously reluctant to transform their regional grouping into a vehicle for regional economic integration. But events outside the region caused them to abandon that reluctance. Specifically, two of the region’s major markets were themselves moving deeper into integrating their own regions. The Maastricht Treaty was about to bring countries of Western Europe even closer and more economically integrated than before, including the adoption of a single currency. North American countries had just adopted the NAFTA. Thus, there was the real possibility that the European and North American markets would increasingly buy from among themselves thereby taking a bite off ASEAN members’ historical market share. To offset the impact of such possibility, the members decided to look at each other as an export destination to absorb what was expected to be the loss of export market share. Thus, the decision to buy and export more to the ASEAN region was prompted by developments outside the region.

From the very beginning, however, concerns were raised about the viability of regional economic integration in the ASEAN. Foremost of these were the low level of economic development of many of its members which limits their capacity to absorb export goods that are normally intended for the industrialized countries of Western Europe and North America.

In addition, their economies lacked complementarity which meant that they were exporting similar or identical products thereby reducing the need for the countries to buy from their neighbors. Thus, studies noted that there was minimal discernible, if not negligible, increase in the value of intra-ASEAN trade vis-à-vis extra-ASEAN even after adoption of the AFTA.

Thus, a decade after the signing of the AFTA agreement, suggestions were made to rethink the premises of ASEAN regional integration. Whereas before the premise was to be inward-looking, the new thrust is for the region to be external oriented. For instance, they may lack complementarity in the sense that they have limited capacity to buy goods from each other for domestic consumption. However, they may possess complementarity in their capability to produce goods intended for countries outside the region. Thus, one key phrase now often used is the creation of a “regional production base” or network. Intra-regional trade would still be a focus but this time, the countries hope that increased trade among, particularly on industrial inputs for goods that will be eventually exported to non-ASEAN countries, will increase the competitiveness of their products.

This shift in outlook brings about at least two benefits: First, it relieves the member countries of the burden to absorb goods that are otherwise intended for industrialized countries; Second, a regional production network makes the region more attractive for foreign direct investments.

To formally recognize this change of outlook, the ASEAN members agreed in 2003 to transform the region into a single market and production base by 2020.7

The Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao and ASEAN Regional Integration: Mutual Relevance

Free trade with close ASEAN neighbors is not something new to Muslim Mindanao. During colonial and pre-colonial times, Moro traders were trading freely in Johore and Ternate as if they were trading in their own backyard. Thus, the Sulu and Simouay trading zones of the Sulu and Maguindanao Sultanates became important hubs in Southeast Asia, as part of a region-wide network of entrepots that served the China-Europe trade.

However, after most of the countries in the region gained their independence in post-WW II, free trading as a traditional economic livelihood had to stop owing to the increasingly strict observance by the Philippines and its neighbors of the exclusivity of their respective economic domains. Trading by Muslim Mindanaons with their neighbors in Malaysia and Indonesia still occurs to this day but mostly at an informal level and not at a substantial volume.

The revival of free trading, this time with governmental sanction under the AFTA regime, offers Muslim Mindanao a chance to renew their historical role of being literally at the frontiers of the Philippines participation in regional integration. After all, the territories of the Philippines closest to the ASEAN are those within the ARMM.

ARMM Participation in ASEAN Regional Integration: Issues and Concerns

Just like other parts of the Philippines, ASEAN’s regional economic integration offers the potential to contribute to the development of the ARMM. ASEAN can provide Muslim Mindanao with either access to a wider market for its products or as a source of foreign direct investments. However, for this potential to be realized, the following issues need to be addressed:

First, there is a need to identify and prepare a short-list of industries that are viable for development under the aegis of the AFTA. The industries in this list may be classified into two: industries whose products are intended to be consumed within ASEAN and those whose products are intended to be processed in another ASEAN country for eventual re-export outside the ASEAN. Various factors will have to be considered to prepare the list (e.g. materials and resources which the ARMM can supply but are lacking in the neighboring countries, comparative prices, etc.). Once so identified and short-listed, efforts should be focus on marketing these industries for governmental and private-sector partnerships with other ASEAN countries.

An obvious example would be the seaweeds industry. The island provinces produce the bulk of the Philippines total raw seaweeds. However, to be in exportable state (carageenan), this has to be transported to Cebu where it is processed and eventually exported. Given the distance and the prohibitive domestic shipping rates in the Philippines, this leads to a substantial addition to production cost making the end-product less competitive.

On the other hand, bearing in mind that the island provinces are just a few kilometers away from Sabah, it may be more cost-effective to export it from there, with the processing into carageenan performed either there or in the island provinces. Besides the seaweeds industry, other obvious examples are halal foods, fruit production, and palm oil industries.

Second, the ARMM enjoys in comparison with other parts of the Philippines enjoys the strategic advantage of being both closest to traditional trading partners Malaysia, Brunei and Indonesia. However, for the ARMM to become viable either as an entry point or exit point of intra-ASEAN goods, it must first be provided with the necessary infrastructure to perform that role. As of now, there exists no major port of entry in the island provinces even though they are closest to Malaysia, Brunei, and Indonesia. Thus, at least one major port of entry is required in the island provinces, which will then be supported by existing ones that will serve as feeder ports.

A major port of entry does exist in the mainland Mindanao province of the ARMM (Polloc Port) but this has been suffering from underutilization by shippers and shipping companies. Even the ARMM’s banana exports are shipped out through ports outside the ARMM and the irony is that these ports are already clogged. A carefully considered marketing plan should be prepared and carried out to convince shippers and shipping companies to ship their goods through the Polloc Port. It goes without saying that assistance be given to the port management in the handling of the increase in shipping volume.

Third, the ARMM has thus far benefited little from its much-touted agri and marine resources simply because the value-added processing thereof is performed outside. Fish resources (sardines and tuna) caught inside the waters of the ARMM are processed and canned outside (Zamboanga or Gen. Santos cities). Seaweeds, as earlier discussed, is processed into Carageenan in Cebu. This situation is definitely brought about by the lack of investments in the region.

Thus, one strategy worth considering is to market the processing of these resources as investments ideas, particularly those included in the short-listed industries. Private investors can serve both as funders as well as buyers of the processed goods thereby giving life to the AFTA’s goals of creating a regional production network.

To facilitate the setting up and increase the viability of industrial or production centers in the ARMM, the regional government can easily provide incentives under the law creating the Regional Economic Zone Authority or REZA.

Fourth, given that the Philippines has already entered into a free trade agreement with its ASEAN neighbors, and given further that the ARMM is the most proximate to the ASEAN, the setting up of ASEAN trading zones in the ARMM is worth considering. Moreso since the REZA law enacted by the ARMM’s legislature allows it to establish free ports. One port in the ARMM (Polloc Port) is large enough to become a major free port.

Fifth, there is a need to mainstream and even strengthen the informal trading sector in the island provinces. If a constituency in support of regional integration is to be generated at the grassroots level, it must be shown to economic sectors at that level that they are just as likely to benefit from free trade as the larger economic sectors. Thus, to pave the way for their formalization, it may be worth considering the establishment of relatively small ASEAN trading centers in the island provinces. It should be noted that the cost of basic commodities to the communities in these islands are sometimes half of what they cost if they were to purchase it in the neighboring countries than the much farther Zamboanga.

The issues raised above are not intended to be a comprehensive delineation of concerns that affect the ARMM’s participation in ASEAN regional integration. However, they may point to the major strategic areas which have a strategic impact on how successful Muslim Mindanao can be in its participation in the ASEAN.

(comments may be sent to morolaw@yahoo.com)

-----------------------
* The author obtained his Masters in Regional Integration from the Universidad Autonoma de Madrid (Spain) and Asia-Europe Institute, Universiti Malaya (Malaysia). He also holds a Master of Laws in International Economic and Business Law from Kyushu University (Japan). He is the director of the Bangsamoro Center for Law and Policy. Comments may be sent to morolaw@yahoo.com

1. There are many other examples of regional integration. Those which are often cited are the European Union (EU), the North American Free Trade Area (NAFTA), the Mercado Cumon del Sur (MERCUSOR).
2. However, the ASEAN itself was established much earlier in 1967 through a document now known as the “Bangkok Declaration”. Its original founding members were Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand.
3. Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand.
4. Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, and Myanmar.
5. This includes the entire territory of Brunei. In Indonesia: East and West Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan, Southeast Kalimantan, North Sulawesi, Central Sulawesi, South Sulawesi, Southeast Sulawesi, Maluka, and Irian Jaya. In Malaysia: Sabah and Sarawak states, and the Federal Territory of Labuan. In the Philippines: Mindanao and Palawan.
6. The five ASEAN member countries where the Mekong River passes through are Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Vietnam, and Thailand. However, the Greater Mekong Subregion initiative also closely involves China, South Korea, and Japan as partners.
7. Bali Concord II, October 7, 2003.

1.5.07

The Challenge Facing Moro Inteligencia

FROM THE PLAINS OF KUTAWATO
By: Atty. Zainudin S. Malang (LL.M., I.M.R.I., J.D.)

THE CHALLENGE FACING MORO INTELIGENCIA

Upon reading the text of my lecture on the development challenges in the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao, a friend asked me why I only limited my discussion to basic economic issues. My reply to him was that the topic assigned to me under the training design was macro-economics and discussion thereof have a tendency to be limited to basic issues.

However, I also pointed out to him that there is a far more fundamental reason why I stuck to the basics and this has something to do with the challenges facing members of the Moro intellectuals.

About the many challenges – be it economic, political, security, social - facing our area which for decades has been beset by armed conflicts, let me say that in and by themselves, these issues are already daunting in their complexity. But when one tries to correlate these challenges with each other, that complexity is multiplied many times fold. And as we – the intellectuals, the bureaucrats, the leadership - try to find our way in this complex labyrinth of inter-related problems, there is a real risk that we will lose our common understanding of our situation, we will lose sight of our common narrative. Once that happens, we will end up prescribing all sorts of different and inconsistent solutions and start pulling our Bangsa in opposite policy directions. So much for the “best and brightest” being the hope of our community. That is why we need to put forth a common understanding of the basics of our situation before we can offer concrete solutions.

Be that as it may, let me also say that we do not have the luxury of time. To state the obvious, we – our Bangsa – is under time pressure. Thus, once we have put forth a common narrative of the fundamentals of our conditions - after we have deconstructed our misconceptions and re-examined our assumptions - then we should proceed forthwith to coming up with specific solutions. And this brings me to the next point.

We are all aware of the challenges to our Bangsa. But, besides coming up with a common narrative, what is the challenge to the Moro Inteligencia - the ones my friend calls “the best and the brightest”? That challenge, I firmly believe, is learning how to think out of the box in finding solutions to our problems. Why is this a challenge?

Well, sadly, I have seen many friends commit the mistake of assuming that the security, development, and socio-political models and concepts they have learned from their many studies and training can be readily applied to our community “lock, stock, and barrel”. Having studied at the Ateneo, University of the Philippines, Asian Institute of Management, and even prominent foreign schools, our paradigms were shaped by these institutions and in the process, we forgot that the works we have read in these schools were written about, for, and by non-Moros. In general, the concepts and models that were developed in these schools were based on their experience as a society, not ours. For sure, there are lessons we can draw from these. But we should always bear in mind that these models have a set of assumptions for them to work and we need to examine those assumptions to determine if they exist in our community. We must re-examine, in the words of John Nash, the “governing dynamics” underlying their theories. Well and good if, after examining their assumptions, we can conclude that they are applicable to our conditions. Otherwise, we must modify.

Indeed, as any social scientist would tell us, any model can be useful provided it is applied to the right environment – emphasis on the phrase “right environment”. And this has been the pitfall of many proposed solutions and projects in the ARMM. Either there has been little effort at creating the right environment for peace, developmental, or socio-political interventions in our area or little has been done to modify these models to the local environment. That is what I mean by thinking out of the box. And this, again, brings me back to my earlier point. We can only successfully modify these models if we have a unified understanding of the basics of our conditions. If we fail to do so, then that old maxim will come to haunt the Moro inteligencia – of having adopted “the right solution to the wrong problem”.

This is basically the same assessment I have been giving to international developmental agencies, peace agencies, and even government agencies who have asked why, notwithstanding their many developmental interventions and projects, the Human Development Index in the ARMM has gone down rather than up. I told them that far too many of their consultants and far too few of their projects have been informed by the local conditions in our area. By conditions, I refer not only to the tangible physical conditions but the more important but less visible socio-political conditions. Thus, I suggested that they should involve Moros not only in project implementation but more importantly, in project identification and design. The assumption, of course, is that we know more about our situation and are therefore better equipped to identify which problems should be prioritized and to propose viable solutions thereto. But again, this assumption will only hold true if we are able to meet the challenge I discussed above.

Allah has given Manusyaa the ability to think logically. This Akal is not only a God-given gift. It is also a religious duty to exercise it. Therefore, the challenge to Moro intellectuals is to be scientific, systematic, logical, and creative in our thought-process as we navigate through the vast problems laid out before us.

Calling Peace Mediators to Account III: Asking the Hard Questions

FROM THE PLAINS OF KUTAWATO
By: Atty. Zainudin S. Malang (LL.M., M.R.I, J.D.)

CALLING PEACE MEDIATORS TO ACCOUNT
(Part III – Asking the Hard Questions)

Within the Bangsamoro community, there is a widespread suspicion that the Indonesian government has been compromised as mediator both before and after the signing of the agreement. Whether or not this has anything to do with the fact that Indonesia itself was facing its own “separatist” problem in East Timor at about the same time that the MNLF-GRP negotiations were at its crucial stage can only be the subject of speculation. But I do recall that the Philippine government adopted a hands-off policy on East Timor even though the vast majority of Catholic Filipinos, not to mention the international community, sympathized with their Timorese brethren. I also recall senior members of the MNLF recount that Indonesia allegedly “twisted” the arm of Misuari into signing the agreement lest they will recommend to the OIC to withdraw its support and recognition of his organization.

Setting aside the question of whether a true revolutionary should allow himself to be manipulated in such a brazen manner, what business does a mediator have in coercing a party to agree to an agreement that is bound to fail? That agreement was supposed to address the Bangsamoro’s assertion of their right to self-determination but anyone who has taken the time to go over the ’96 agreement will notice two things: first, that the autonomous government it is supposed to establish would end up being economically and fiscally dependent on the national government; second, that the implementation of the agreement would be subject to constitutional processes and dependent on institutions created by the Philippine constitution - in other words, dependent on the Philippine government.

So, you end up with a peace agreement that instead of allowing the Bangsamoro to exercise their right to self-determination, allowed the Philippine government to exercise it for them. That is not the right to self-determination. That is the right to “their”-determination which, before the 1996 agreement, did not exist as a concept. I am sure political scientists and international law experts would forever be thankful for the introduction of this strange concept, at least for its comical value.

It is this kind of agreement that the Indonesian government asked the MNLF to swallow, and swallow the MNLF did - hook, line, and sinker. Is it any surprise then that its implementation was beset by all sorts of problems? Recall the verbal tussles between Misuari and the Senate and, after 2001, the resumption of actual fighting between MNLF and AFP forces. And for most of this time, the Indonesian and Libyan ambassadors were saying all is well and good with the peace agreement or at least silent about its problems.

I have always said that the Bangsamoro is grateful to the OIC for showing their concern to their brethren in Minsupala. But it cannot be denied that someone dropped the ball in mediating the Mindanao conflict. Whether this can be attributed to a couple of members or all the members of the Committee of the Eight - or even the entire OIC itself - should be the subject of a sincere self-examination on its part if it wants to give the Bangsamoro and the Philippines something to be truly grateful about. Otherwise, what will happen is what we often see when a basketball referee is perceived to be biased - riots.

For sure, there are valuable lessons that can and should be drawn from the failures of the ’96 agreement. This is particularly true since there is another attempt to resolve the conflict between the Bangsamoro and the Philippines, the ongoing negotiations with the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF). Perhaps it is understandable why the MILF has been reluctant to sign a peace agreement. They don’t want to fall into the same trap.

As for the MNLF-GRP agreement, quo vadis? Is it still capable of being revived? Can it still provide a just and lasting solution to the conflict? Was it ever? Is the Misuari-led MNLF still capable of taking the cudgels for the Bangsamoro?

************

During the open forum in that testimonial dinner in Mandarin Hotel, I could not help but notice that the moderator was doing his level best to prevent me from asking my question to the Indonesian envoy. My friends from the media and diplomatic missions also noticed it and some started ribbing me about it. Eventually, they urged me to just stand up, go to the microphone, and just introduce myself and pose my question. After I started to get tired from raising my hand, I did.

I, of course, personally know the moderator and this made the excuses he offered after the program all the more lame. He tried to explain that he failed to notice me raising my hand which I thought was ludicrous since he didn’t fail to notice people to my left and right, sitting in the same table as I. I can only assume that he had an idea about the question I would ask and not wanting to put the Indonesian envoy on the spot, tried his best to ignore me. Perhaps, in so doing, he didn’t realize that he was sacrificing articulations of their people’s serious problems for the sake of being polite to the envoy. Indeed, some in the audience began to head for the door after telling me they were getting bored with the “safe” questions and answers.

Precisely, the point of asking hard questions is to make people or institutions account for their roles in resolving the conflict, to put them on the spot if necessary. Further, it is one thing for others to sanitize the status of the peace process. At times, that is to be expected. But it is both tragic and ironic to see some Moros themselves do the same thing. Maybe some of us are living such comfortable lives in Metro Manila that we have forgotten the miserable plight of their people back home and no longer see the need to articulate nor confront it. Imagine a former Moro member of the Commission on Human Rights stifling a fellow Moro. That is not only ironic, it is pathetic.

**********

It seems that after the first part of this series came out, more indications about the troubled ’96 agreement came out. The scheduled tri-partite meeting in early February was again cancelled. And then there was that unfortunate incident in Sulu where government and military officials were “hosted” by MNLF men. Would anyone still have the gall to sanitize the troubled agreement, I wonder.

Calling Peace Mindanao Peace Mediators to Account II: The Mediator's Accountability

FROM THE PLAINS OF KUTAWATO
By: Atty. Zainudin S. Malang, (LL.M., M.R.I., J.D.)

CALLING PEACE MEDIATORS TO ACCOUNT
(Part II – The Mediator’s Accountability)

In the first part of this article, I said that the mediator has two roles: first, is to facilitate the protagonists coming to an agreement on how to resolve their conflict; and; second, making sure that each party lives up to their end of the agreement. Parties that have been at odds with each other and taken diametrically opposed positions, so much so that they are willing to kill and die for their respective “mandates”, cannot be expected to stop fighting without the intervention of a third party.

A mediator is required to cajole, urge, and prod the warring parties to settle their differences peacefully. Since each would have a different conception of how the conflict started – imagine an exchange between two siblings as to who started the fight where one would point to the other and say “Siya nauna eh” who will then retort “Hindi! Siya ang nauna” – the mediator is also expected to help the parties come to a common understanding of how it all began. Thereafter, it will help them draft an agreement addressing the roots of their dispute.

Even after a peace agreement is arrived at, the mediator’s job does not stop. This is when the mediator’s second role kicks in. Protagonists who have trained their guns against each other cannot be expected on their own to faithfully stick to their end of the bargain. The mutual suspicion, animosity, mutual recrimination, one-upmanship, etc. brought about by decades of fighting are psychological baggage that cannot be erased overnight. Hence, you need a neutral mediator to perform the oversight function of making sure that the protagonists live up to their commitments.

As for the necessity of being neutral, we only need to look at what normally happens during basketball games when a referee is perceived to be biased in favor of one of the teams. Usually, such games end up in a fracas, in a fight, in a riot. All of these are basic stuff for anyone who has taken a seminar on conflict resolution.

So, going back to my questions in the first part of this article: Why did the ’96 Peace Agreement fail? Under whose watch did it fail? Besides the signatories themselves, who dropped the ball in settling the Mindanao conflict?

As I have said earlier, the OIC has delegated the role of mediating the Mindanao conflict and facilitating the MNLF-GRP talks to the Committee of the Eight (erstwhile Six). Of the members of this committee, the one who has taken the lead is Indonesia. Libya is also a very influential member.

When the emissary from the OIC Secretary-General’s office visited Mindanao last year to see for himself how the implementation of the agreement was going along, he spoke before leaders of Mindanao’s civil society. During the open forum, I took the opportunity to ask him to assess the OIC’s 30-year involvement in helping resolve the conflict which has thus far led to more than 100,000 deaths and millions of refugees. Of course, an honest answer from him would have been an admission of the mediator’s failure given the dismal peace and development situation on the ground. But of course, he could not make that admission in public. It would have been too embarrassing. The poor fellow could only quizzically look at the members of the Committee of the Eight, particularly Indonesia, who were also present in the hope that maybe they can help him answer the question. Unfortunately, the Indonesian envoy could only look down on the floor. So the Sec-Gen’s emissary ended up spending 10 minutes discussing generalities about the conflict and how difficult it is to resolve. Reminders from others who took the microphone after me that he did not actually answer my question were to no avail.

A few months after the fact-finding visit of the OIC Sec-Gen’s emissary, I had another opportunity to ask the same question. This time it was an envoy from Indonesia, a key player in facilitating the agreement as I understand from the introduction given about him. He was here to attend a testimonial dinner organized by the Philippine Council for Islam and Democracy (PCID) and funded by Konrad Adenauer Foundation and United Nations Development Program. Again, there was an open forum and this time, after pointing out that while we have the luxury of holding the forum at the plush Mandarin Hotel in Makati, the people of the Bangsamoro are still wallowing in misery 10 years after the peace agreement, I asked him to assess Indonesia’s involvement as mediator. As I had expected, the answer was evasive.

(Part III next week - Asking the Hard Questions)

28.4.07

Security for Economic Growth: Ethnic Conflict and the U.S. in Southern Philippines

Security for Economic Growth: Ethnic Conflict and
the U.S. in Southern Philippines

By Datu Ishak Mastura, Esq.
*

Abstract

In the wake of 9/11, the U.S. military forces went back to southern Philippines ostensibly to engage in counterterrorism training exercises against the Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) linked Abu Sayyaf. The focus of the U.S. mission was to help the Philippine forces to hunt down JI and Abu Sayyaf. It has been theorized that the U.S. mission in southern Philippines was the test ground of the Pentagon’s wider mission in Southeast Asia which is to integrate “gap or seam” states into the functioning core of globalization beginning with the areas of localized state failure in Mindanao, where there is an existing long-running insurgency by the Muslim Moro ethnic group. At first, they were successful in rooting out Abu Sayyaf in Basilan Island by orchestrating a humanitarian assistance campaign, which severed the link between the terrorists and the rest of the Muslim population. However, the same mission has bogged down in the Sulu Island because of failure of political planning and to take into consideration the political economy of security, which in this case means dealing with the Bangsa Moro (Moro Nation) struggle for self-determination.

The essential lesson after five years of U.S. counterterrorism policy is that in order for local Muslim populations to take the counterterrorism agenda of the U.S. seriously, it must take their state-building and power-sharing agendas seriously too since conflict resolution and good governance are in fact the key to countering terrorism in the long term beginning with assistance to the Mindanao peace process with the Moro rebels. U.S. efforts in Mindanao must be complemented with nation or state (re)building of a Bangsa Moro homeland that has its roots in formerly independent Moro sultanates in order to anchor stability in the East Maritime Southeast Asia astride crucial sea-lines of communication. Japan and USAID are assisting in the reconstruction and development of the Bangsa Moro areas in Mindanao but without the necessary state or institution (re) building of a Bangsa Moro homeland within the Philippine state there is the risk of Mindanao reverting to the status quo because of the inherent weakness of the Philippines. Failure to contain or eliminate terrorism in Mindanao might herald Great Power war in the region since according to the theory of International Terrorism and the World System, the outbreak of terrorist activities signals hegemonic succession (possibly from the U.S. to China, which is increasing its influence in the Philippines within the traditional sphere of influence of the U.S.), and the trigger for Great Power war as what happened in the Thirty Years War and the WW I is usually a terrorist event.

U.S. mission in Mindanao

It has been postulated before that the mission of the U.S. in Southern Philippines is bringing the lawless parts or areas of localized state failure in Mindanao, principally populated by the Muslim Moro ethnic group or Bangsa Moro (Moro Nation), within the “limits of Western civilization” in the archaic terminology of Ralston Hayden
[1], which is translated today as bringing “security into the gap or seam” in Mindanao in order to connect Mindanao to the wider benefits of “globalization.”[2]


This mission is not new as it was defined by Ralston Hayden even in 1928 with regard to the Moros of Mindanao, if by “globalization” we mean the Western-dominated system we have today, which is basically Hayden’s thesis regarding the “limits of Western civilization” reformulated for the 21st Century. Coincidentally or not, Thomas Barnett has defined the role of the U.S. military or the Pentagon in his book, The Pentagon’s New Map, as protecting and projecting “globalization”. According to an article by the Institute of Defence and Strategic Studies (IDSS) based in Singapore, the fundamental thesis of Barnett is that “disconnectedness defines danger.”
[3] To be disconnected is to be disengaged from the globalizing world and all its attendant values, norms and interdependence. On this premise, the U.S. strategy is to fix the disconnectedness in areas like Mindanao in the Southern Philippines so-called “gap or seam” states, which are failed, failing or simply weak. This will entail building effective governance, democratic regimes, and connectedness among disconnected states via economic, military and political means. By exporting security into the gap or seam states, the Pentagon hopes to stem the migration of terrorist activities to the United States, and regional investment, business and trade links can be expanded. Barnett says that, “The integration of the gap will ultimately depend more on private investment than anything the core’s public sector can offer.”[4]


The IDSS article recognizes that this strategy of the Pentagon is being seriously pursued in the region and that it addresses the question of whether the U.S. has an ASEAN strategy or not.
[5]

U.S. counterterrorism training exercises in Mindanao

In the Philippines, the U.S. military through its annual training exercises has focused on containing and reducing an environment open and willing to support terrorist activities and ideology through a consolidation of roles of civil, military and medical units wherein military and civil action had been combined with humanitarian efforts, such as in Basilan in 2002, which reduced sanctuaries for the Abu-Sayyaf group.
[6] According to these types of operations, which were also tried in Afghanistan, the fulcrum of anti-terrorist activities are the civilian population where terrorist elements are supposed to have embedded themselves, to wit:

The center of gravity became the Afghan people. If you can provide reconstruction, provide security, bring benefits to the Afghan national government to those provinces, then what you do is deny that area to the insurgents.
[7]


While the strategy was relatively successful in Basilan, the ostensible mission being to help Filipino troops kill or capture international terrorists, which was accomplished by orchestrating a humanitarian assistance campaign, which severed the link between the terrorists and the rest of the Muslim population allowing the U.S. military forces to leave Basilan, the American achievement in Basilan is already being endangered because of the weak Philippine state and the age-old problem of ethnic conflict between the Moros and the Christian Filipinos.
[8] As Robert Kaplan said in his book Imperial Grunts regarding the U.S. military in Basilan:

Though I would learn more about Operation Enduring Freedom, one thing was already obvious: America could not change the vast forces of history and culture that had placed a poor Muslim region at the southern edge of a badly governed, Christian-run archipelago nation. All America could do was insert its armed forces here and there, as unobtrusively as possible, to alleviate perceived threats to its own security when they became particularly acute…..Humanitarian assistance may not be the weapon of choice for Pentagon hardliners, who prefer to hunt down and kill "bad guys" through direct action rather than dig wells and build schools—projects that in any case are possibly unsustainable, because national governments like that of the Philippines lack the resolve to pick up where the United States leaves off. I had the distinct sense that the work of Special Forces on Basilan had merely raised expectations—ones the government in Manila would be unable to meet.
[9]

Burden of history

Unfortunately for America, it cannot escape responsibility for the troubled history of Mindanao, for it was precisely America, who nearly a century ago as the colonial master of the Philippines, lumped the Moro areas in Mindanao together with the Filipino nation when there was no need to do so after having already won the peace and establishing the Moro Province “allowing for a considerable de facto autonomy for Mindanao and Sulu.”
[10]


Early in the American colonial administration, U.S. imperial nation-building imagined Muslims or the Moros as permanently outside the Philippine nation that U.S. colonialism was constructing and “the Moro Province was in many ways constructed as an independent state under U.S. military authorities.”
[11] The Moro leadership appreciated American colonial control with the hope that Americans sympathetic to the separation of Mindanao from the Philippines would eventually give “independence” promised them after the completion of the “civilizing process.”[12] In the words of Eugene Martin, a retired American diplomat, who became the executive director of the Philippine Facilitation Project of the United States Institute of Peace:

The United States has been involved with Filipino-Muslims since 1898 when we purchased the Philippine Islands from the Spanish for $20 million. Although it never conquered the Islamic sultanates in the south, Spain was willing to transfer all the islands to the United States as if it had. We succeeded in overcoming Moro resistance where Spain failed, thanks to modern weaponry and tactics. Realizing the ethnic and religious differences between the Moros and the rest of the Philippines, the U.S. colonial government administered Muslim areas separately, giving them considerable autonomy in local and cultural affairs. Perhaps as a result of U.S. colonial policies, representatives from Muslim areas formally urged Washington not to include those areas in the Philippine Commonwealth in 1935, preferring even to remain a U.S. colony for a longer period. The United States did not heed Muslim entreaties, which has resulted in Moros occasionally telling Washington that the subsequent problems are the fault of the United States so “we” should fix them.
[13]


Alas, for the Moros a separate future from the Philippines was not to be because of the implementation of the policy of Filipinization by succeeding American administrators of the Philippine colony wherein Moros were administered by Filipinos in their own homeland.

The Bangsa Moro struggle

The current Moro armed conflict is the sharpest expression of this struggle or clash between two imagined nations or nationalisms, Filipino and Moro, with their own narratives of the conflict.
[14] For the Moro revolutionary movements, it has been a conscious struggle to regain the historical sovereignty of the independent Moro nation-states, particularly the Maguindanao and Sulu Sultanates, which according to the historian De La Costa by 1718 had become “full-fledged sultanates with a fiscal administration, courts of justice and a bureaucracy of a rudimentary kind.”[15] For the Philippine government and nation-state of the 20th century, it has been a matter of defending its territorial integrity against secession and dismemberment making the conflict a veritable case of “irresistible forces, immovable objects.”[16]


Understandably, the U.S. government has been loath to be involved in this historical minefield, which had beginnings from its own colonial history in the Philippines almost a century ago. While some note the relative success of joint U.S.-Filipino training exercises against the Abu Sayyaf, others warn that increasing U.S. involvement could “complicate” the Philippine’s insurgency dilemma and also possibly fuel anti-American sentiment in the region which could form the basis “of a new pan-Islamic solidarity in the region.”
[17] Some experts contend that not all militant Muslim groups operating in the region are aligned with Al Qaeda and it is important that U.S. counter-terror efforts in the region “do not motivate these potential affiliates to join the Al Qaeda cause.”[18]

The worse thing that the U.S. military could do is to be lured by the Philippine government to confront militarily in conjunction with the Philippine military the Moro revolutionary groups, be it the Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF) or its larger splinter faction the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF), as the break-up of the Moro revolutionary organizations would likely spawn new Fourth Generation War groups that will be harder to eliminate and contribute to decades of instability in Mindanao and the rest of the region. Paraphrasing Fourth Generation War guru William Lind:

[M]ost of what [the Philippine military is facing]…..today is not yet Fourth Generation warfare, but a War of National Liberation, fought by people whose goal is to restore a [Moro] state. But as that goal fades and those forces splinter, Fourth Generation war will come more and more to the fore. What will characterize it is not vast changes in how the enemy fights, but rather in who fights and what they fight for. The change in who fights makes it difficult for us to tell friend from foe…..The change in what our enemies fight for makes impossible the political compromises that are necessary to ending any war. We find that when it comes to making peace, we have no one to talk to and nothing to talk about. And the end of a war like that in Iraq [or the Philippine insurgency] becomes inevitable: the local state we attacked vanishes, leaving behind either a stateless region (Somalia) or a façade of a state (Afghanistan) within which more non-state elements rise and fight.
[19]


Besides it is not in the interest of U.S. counterterrorism policy to have the MILF (since the MNLF is now confined to Sulu Island) splintered into several groups scattered over a large swath of the big island of Mindanao, making it difficult to track them down and to gather intelligence information on the movement.
[20] Splintering into smaller groups will inevitably lead to lesser command and control of the central leadership and local autonomy for guerrilla commanders, who may be inclined to follow their own strategies such as linking-up with extremists.

Often the Moro revolutionary movements are criticized for being diffused or decentralized making it difficult to have a single group to negotiate for a peace settlement. However, they fail to realize that the Moros are a traditional tribal warrior society. As a traditional clan-based tribal society, the Moros have evolved the most lethal cocktail of warfighting capability that has enabled them to survive the onslaught of modern forces including military force for centuries. Tribes, clans and family groups that are the traditional composition of Moro society take orders from their own leaders, often based in local hierarchies, and do not belong to a centralized military command and control structure unless their commander or traditional leader commits them to it so often local commanders get their men from their own personal following coming from their clans, family ties or their villages.
[21] As a result, the loss or capture of a commander impacts on the effectiveness of an individual unit, but other units in the area are able to continue their operations.[22]

The clan and tribal structure of the Moros does not mean that revolutionary movements like the MILF are incoherent. Rather, the MILF and other Moro revolutionary groups were established through the clan-based and kinship network so that in the beginning were the clans and through their shared history of grievances against the central government was formed the Bangsamoro revolutionary cause. According to field observation by one researcher in 2005, “the MILF is a more unitary organization than it is given credit for (though it is hardly monolithic) with effective (though it can be slow) command and control.”
[23] More recently in 2006 in a Terrorism Conference in Singapore, a consensus was arrived that the MILF leadership remains strong and controls large territory under the grip of hard-line commanders, who nevertheless see that the dividends of peace as attractive.[24]


The lesson for policymakers is that it is the organically evolved complexity of a society such as that of the Moros that sustains and defines its survival (which is the essence of victory itself).
[25] One observation defines the supreme art of survival of the Moros in the face of superior forces pressing from outside, and that is “Individual clans can be simultaneously represented in local politics, local military commands and local insurgency commands. Images of the conflict based on the clash of two clearly defined ‘sides’ fail to grasp this essential reality. Policies that do not take it into account will founder.”[26]

Another lesson for policymakers is that when the military of an outside power such as the U.S. (or the Philippine military in Moro territory for that matter) invades the territory of a traditional society, the strict customary codes that govern the use of force, status of noncombatants, and proportionality of attacks are often modified and even suspended, wherein there are fewer restrictions and anybody becomes fair game,
[27] as what happened in Basilan and Sulu (or the 2000 “all out war” against the MILF) for a time before the Philippine military and U.S. advisers switched to a “hearts and minds” campaign and surgical strikes against Abu Sayyaf.

Nation or State-(Re) building

However, as they become more embedded locally, some analysts say the U.S. troops may have to eventually deal with problems other than security, and foremost of which is the undemocratic and corrupt nature of local political power, on the premise that the ultimate success of the “war on terror” hinges not on the physical elimination of groups like the Abu Sayyaf, but in resolving the absence of democratic politics in Muslim Mindanao by ending the domination of the political clans.
[28] Eliminating clan power in order to have a more democratic government in Muslim Mindanao would require the US military to engage in state (re)building to usher in a new set of leaders more representative of Muslim popular interests.[29] Three obstacles make this unlikely: “First, Manila itself has little interest in or ability to pursue this strategy; second, the very politicians who are now allies in the “war on terror” would fiercely oppose it; and third, this is precisely the kind of political and administrative muddle that most American policy makers shun; nevertheless, it is hard to envision any other path to long-term stability in Muslim Mindanao.”[30]


Reinforcing this view is the comment by one resident foreign observer that:

Discussions of a constructive U.S. role typically focus on promoting security and development, but this approach fails to recognize a simple truth: the traditional prerogatives of power in the southern Philippines are fundamentally incompatible with either. A thin veneer of democratic institutions covers a society that remains essentially feudal, conforming less to democratic ideals than to the style of the datus, the warrior chiefs of old. Leadership is personal and paternalistic and functions largely above the law; power flows from guns and money.
[31]


Political solution to ethnic conflict

U.S. military thinking recognizes that ethnic-based secessionist movements like that of the Moros are spawned by failures in integration and assimilation, wherein as ethnic groups are convinced that they are unable to compete and to be accommodated within undivided states; in effect colonized by administrators from other regions and subject to discriminatory language and hiring policies so that they seek independence or seek to regain their original status of sovereignty.
[32] More often than not they are heedless of the economic costs of separation even if it will likely mean loss of subsidies from the center because their political and ethnic goals outweigh the benefits that come with the undivided state.[33] As we have seen, ethnic conflict stems from deep historical roots. Thus, they ultimately require “political solutions” since the use of military force can never achieve a lasting solution and at best military force can only accomplish temporary containment of violence and contribute to an environment that permits the establishment of political conditions or institutions that lead to a more lasting solution.[34]

With regard to Southern Philippines, a group of security experts, who met in late 2006 in a Security Conference in Singapore to discuss the terrorism, insurgency and secessionist problems in the Southeast Asian region, brought forth three main lessons learnt: “First, a military solution, or at least a solely military solution, was not viable. The group recommended adopting a “carrot and stick” approach instead; second, it emphasized the need for “good governance”, [which they went] further to unpack the commonly used phrase and listed the values of resisting corruption and graft, transparency, rule of law, de-centralisation, provision of social services and the de-marginalisation of groups [and] third, the group acknowledged that the Philippines faced a problem of implementation and needed to build a comprehensive political solution. The main problem cited was a weak state, necessitating legal and constitutional affairs…..With the MILF, the ceasefire was seen to be positively holding up, with the next step being the introduction of further development projects into the political solution.”
[35]


Dilemma of counterterrorism operations in Mindanao

The key problem for the U.S. as it conducts training exercises in Mindanao to flush out Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) remains the same: “How does one separate the terrorist parasite from its unwilling host, without doing fatal violence to the patient?”
[36]

As it is, according to a study published by the U.S. Committee on Refugees in December 1999, the Philippines is the fourth Southeast Asian country with the most internally displaced persons surpassed only by Myanmar, Indonesia and East Timor.
[37] This displacement is concentrated in Mindanao, where sporadic military operations are conducted against Moro communities suspected of hosting foreign terrorists, or as a result of counterinsurgency operations.

Furthermore, there is the complication that the “terrorists are embedded in a volatile Muslim insurgency with which the West has no quarrel.”
[38] The MILF is Southeast Asia's strongest separatist group with 15,000 armed guerillas enjoying popular support as it expresses the legitimate grievances of the Moros, and is engaged in peace talks with the Philippine government. So what is to be done? Security analysts say that:

American forces are probing the sanctuaries in the guise of training exercises, and they are backing targeted air strikes. But they must tread lightly, lest they be drawn into a shooting war, which would catalyze new alliances among local and foreign militants. A conventional military approach failed in Cambodia and Lebanon. It would fail in Mindanao, too. Instead, surgical military strikes based on an expanded intelligence effort should complement the peace process, prying extremists away from the MILF mainstream. A crucial, if embryonic, mechanism in this campaign is the Ad Hoc Joint Action Group, established by the Philippine government and MILF negotiators to facilitate cooperation against "lawless elements" in MILF territory. The Group's mandate should be widened, and resources should be provided to allow it to tackle terrorism explicitly.
[39]


While “surgical strikes” are supposed to be the order of the day, the current operations in Sulu Island where the Abu Sayyaf and their JI mentors are believed to be holed up have not been viewed as an unqualified success as the previous operations against the Abu Sayyaf in Basilan Island even though the some of the top leadership of the Abu Sayyaf including their titular head Khadaffy Janjalani have been killed. So that:

After more than eight months of fighting involving 10,000 troops backed by US combat advisors the Philippine military claims to have killed just 70 Abu Sayyaf militants and two top leaders out of an estimated force of 400. Yet in the process a ten-year old peace agreement with the Moro National Liberation Front has come under strain and dozens, if not hundreds of civilians have died in the crossfire and thousands displaced.
[40]

It is now obvious after the last five years of U.S. counterterrorism policy that in order for local Muslim populations to take the counterterrorism agenda of the United States seriously, it must take their state-building and power-sharing agendas seriously too since conflict resolution and good governance are in fact the key to countering terrorism in the long term.
[41] By relying on sporadic military strikes and continued support for hard line policies of hawkish military elements without broader political planning, it runs the risk of combining the worst elements of its current strategy in Iraq with the Cold War-era policy of cronyism for the strong.[42]

Mindanao peace process as sine qua non for stability in the region

Mindanao has been identified as an international “black hole”
[43] where effective government is weak and as such, “there is also a high level of criminal gang violence and violence connected with illegal operations such as safeguarding illegal logging against popular protest.”[44] Given the predominance of the clans in the social and political order, “armed conflicts between guerrillas and state security bodies often appear to result from private vendettas between rival families, [but] for opportunistic reasons, they are reinterpreted as conflicts within the framework of the political struggle for self-determination.”[45] Typical in the Bangsa Moro areas is the situation in Sulu, to wit:

The situation in Sulu, where strongmen have gained impunity, illustrates how a national government, with all its resources, personnel and legitimacy can be paralyzed and unable to enforce its will. While technically superior, the national government cannot move because it might unsettle the fragile peace in the province. The rule of law breaks down because violence, in the complex milieu of Sulu, becomes its own legitimacy.
[46]


Because the long-running insurgency in Mindanao has created conditions for lawless violence and fostered instability (resulting from clan feuding, ‘strongmen’ politics and military pacification), “the region [is] awash with unregulated firearms that constitutes a threat to security in their own right. The region is now one of the most heavily armed areas in Southeast Asia, and is certainly one of its least secure.”
[47] The Philippine military estimates that in Sulu “there are more than 30,000 loose firearms. Some reports say there are 100,000 loose firearms in the whole of Mindanao.”[48]

Adding to the overall insecurity in Mindanao is the extremely strong gun culture among the Moros, where even poor people have guns. The Moro attitude that owning a gun is the only real means to protect oneself and one’s family and way of life is rooted in the narrative of resistance to colonizers, but now it is being justified by the general insecurity.

Ultimately, it is international support to the peace process with the MILF that will reduce the problem of terrorism and instability in the Philippines that threatens to affect the region. The International Crisis Group states that “genuine and fully implemented autonomy for Philippine Muslims is a sine qua non for winning the long-term war on terror in Mindanao.”
[49]

Of the three tracks (i.e. MNLF, MILF and Abu Sayyaf) constituting the current form of evolution of the Moro conflict, the MILF track seems to be a linchpin of the broader Mindanao peace process and the legitimate fight in defense against terrorism because this track is still evolving.
[50] The MNLF can be expected not to begrudge additional gains for Bangsamoro aspirations (such as those not adequately addressed by the 1996 Peace Agreement), which the MILF might achieve in its negotiations with the Philippine government while at the same time, the Philippine government should realize that the MILF did not split from the MNLF and continue to wage its own struggle, only to end up with a mere enhancement of the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (ARMM) so any offer from the Philippine government has to be qualitatively and substantially better.[51]

Giving priority to the MILF track has been called a bold step that must be taken for “peace in our time” because what is really at stake here is whether the Mindanao conflict can be ended in this generation, or whether it will be passed on to the next one and evolve into a new form with wider implications for stability in the region.
[52]


The American government has expressed support to the peace process with the MILF and no less than the State Department has acknowledged that Moros have “serious legitimate, grievances that must be addressed.”
[53] U.S. policy on the matter is that it “wishes to see an end to the violence in the southern Philippines and is working to assist the Republic of the Philippines in addressing the root causes of that violence.”[54]

Accordingly, “the United States stands ready to support, both politically and financially, a bona fide peace process between the Republic of the Philippines and the MILF.”
[55] The U.S. assisted the peace talk through USIP as a third party observer fostering dialogue between stakeholders in the peace process. Lately, it has signified that the State Department will begin dealing directly with the MILF through a liaison officer.[56]

However, the U.S. has expressed concern about links between the MILF and international terrorist organizations and asked that those links be severed.
[57] In response, shortly before his death in July 2003, MILF chairman, Hashim Salamat, wrote a personal letter to President George Bush denying that the MILF engaged in terroristic acts and disavowing terrorism as a means of attaining its legitimate political ends.[58]

The latest pronouncement of the MILF last December 10, 2006 is that they welcome President Bush’s recent statement “the United States is committed to fostering a climate of peace in Mindanao, and stand ready to provide quick-disbursing assistance once an agreement is signed with the MILF.”
[59] Earlier in 2004, the U.S. earmarked US$30 million for the peace process conditioned on the signing of a peace agreement.

Although the peace talks are currently at an impasse as to the territorial extent of the Bangsamoro homeland and due to the MILF’s insistence that new territories to be added to the existing territory of ARMM should not be incorporated through a plebiscite and thus risk failure just like in the past peace agreements because of the “veto” votes of the Christian settlers, the peace process with the MILF is viewed as irreversible and that it will eventually result in a peace agreement.
[60] The MILF considers 2007 as “make or break for the government and MILF” regarding the conclusion of peace talks.[61]


Failure of the MNLF track as destabilizing factor

On the other hand with regard to the MNLF, the Philippine military has often “felt that the MNLF was a spent force and that the government has won the ‘psy-ops’ war against them, having gotten them to sign a peace agreement, which is being complied with slowly at a pace that the government dictates. Moreover, the government has effectively splintered the ranks of the MNLF, utilizing instruments of patronage.”
[62]

Except for a few pocket guerilla camps in Sulu, who remain loyal to Misuari, the MNLF can no longer field a credible force against the government in the rest of Mindanao especially since “with MNLF integration of up to 5,750 fighters into the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) and up to 1,500 fighters into the Philippine National Police (PNP), for a total of 7,250 integrees, at least half of whatever force strength it had, one can say that the MNLF has substantially been defanged.”
[63]


Besides, the MNLF has already lost its hold on the ARMM when it failed to field a candidate for Regional Governor in the last elections on August 8, 2005 and thus, “because of its inadequate record of governance, the MNLF is on the verge of being regarded as irrelevant in the pursuit of peace and development in the region. After almost a decade of leading the ARMM, the fact that its leaders cannot win elections in the region without presidential backing indicates the group’s lackluster track record.”
[64] It has been said that “the tragedy is that the demise of the MNLF may also serve as a death knell for the 1996 peace agreement.”[65]

However, the MNLF presence in Sulu cannot be discounted with regard to its capability to continue to cause disruption in its home turf, which may extend to the other islands in the Sulu Archipelago and the surrounding seas, threatening any future offshore oilfields.
[66]

In fact, in February and November of 2005 fierce fighting raged in Sulu between the Philippine military and the MNLF, who said that their camps were invaded by the military and that they were only retaliating for the military’s atrocities against civilians in the AFP’s pursuit of the criminal and terrorist gang, Abu Sayyaf.
[67]

Nevertheless, even if the MNLF has become a shadow of its former self, other revolutionary groups have been fighting for the Bangsa Moro cause. Indeed, just as then President Fidel Ramos finished concluding a peace agreement with the MNLF in 1996, he turned his attention to another insurgent group, the MILF, with which his government started negotiating in October 1996 and this led in turn to a general ceasefire in July 1997. This peace negotiation represents a second track of the overall Mindanao peace process, the MILF Track, while the MNLF peace agreement with its continuing problems of implementation is labeled as the MNLF Track as earlier stated.
[68]


Transforming the MILF and Muslim Mindanao

Hence, the overall Mindanao peace process finds its convergence in the peace negotiations with the MILF to which international actors have committed their support, such as the participation of Japan, Sweden and Canada to the Malaysian-led International Monitoring Team that monitors the ceasefire between the government and the MILF. More innovatively, some experts have suggested that the pivotal international support to the peace process is in helping the transformation of the MILF, to wit:

Transforming the MILF

An important contribution foreign support can provide is also delicate — helping the MILF transform itself into an effective unarmed political force. If this transformation fails there will be no peace. The Moro National Liberation Front has never succeeded in turning itself into an effective regional political party with a permanent voice in national politics. This means that it has always been in a weak position in its dealings with the government and the national ruling party coalition. This lack of a political voice weakened Misuari’s authority and created strong incentives for local commanders to return to the gun to reassert their political interests ‘outside the system’. The latest elections in the ARMM where the president backed a non-MNLF slate clearly shows the shortcomings of this lack of transformation. The MILF needs to succeed where its predecessor organisation failed to ensure the sustainability of any peace deal…..Yet this transition is the lynchpin to a political solution to the Moro insurgency and to severing the links between the Moro insurgency and regional terrorism. Foreign support for the development of the MILF as an independent, mass-based political party with a national voice should only be considered after the MILF central command, through the Ad Hoc Joint Action Group, has shown its ability to sever links between MILF local commanders and regional terrorist groups and to bring the large majority of these commanders over to support a peace deal.
[69]


The proposal for the MILF to transform into a mass-based political party would fit in with the earlier mentioned proposal to eliminate clan power in Muslim Mindanao in order to have a more democratic government in Muslim Mindanao, which would require the US military to engage in state (re)building to usher in a new set of leaders more representative of Muslim popular interests.
[70] The MILF could provide the new set of leaders that is more representative of the Moro masses since it is now their vanguard after the disintegration of the MNLF. After all, according to one academic writer:

Whatever the historical limitations of the MNLF (or the MILF for that matter), given the incontrovertible evidence of their mass following – larger so far than what the CPP/NPA could amass at any given encounter with the AFP – and given the class structure of the Moro people (the majority of whom are exploited peasants and workers) vis-à-vis the majority of Christian Filipinos, there is no question that they genuinely represent the historic grievances and aspirations of their community. To be sure, large-scale political mobilization of Moro combatants with their civilian base may be viewed as participatory democracy in action, grassroots democracy in actual practice.
[71]

U.S. response to Southeast Asian security challenge

More fundamentally for U.S. policy in Southeast Asia helping resolve the legitimate grievances of the Bangsa Moro will advance the elements of Grand Strategy outlined by Professor Marvin C. Ott in his recent article for the Institute of National Strategic Studies of the National Defense University within the U.S. Department of Defense, Southeast Asian Security Challenges: America’s Response?, wherein its essence is the need for a comprehensive U.S. security strategy for Southeast Asia that addresses the pervasive sense of Muslim grievance, which jihadists have exploited, and that takes seriously the Chinese strategic challenge in the region.
[72]

Ott’s idea is consistent with Barnett’s proposition of integrating areas in the so-called “gap or seam” states to the U.S. led globalized political-economy, which areas in Southeast Asia are mostly Muslim-populated and where societal dislocation and economic hardship among Southeast Asian Muslims (particularly as both generate large numbers of underemployed and poorly educated young men, who are ambitious, energetic, Islamic and frustrated) contribute to terrorism.
[73]

“If America is able to help address the underlying historical grievances of the Muslim people of the southern Philippines, it would be another indication that we are willing to go to bat for people who have legitimate grievances,” according to Eugene Martin, executive director of the Philippine Facilitation Project of the U.S. Institute of Peace.
[74]

At the very least the U.S. role should continue in helping suppress the Abu Sayyaf while encouraging the conclusion of the peace negotiations with the MILF and boosting the political will of the Manila government to institute the necessary reforms for lasting peace.
[75]

If a peace agreement is signed, the U.S. will be confronted with a policy decision whether or not to employ pressure on the Philippine government to faithfully implement its obligations under a peace agreement, which scenario is plausible considering the poor track record at implementation of the Philippine government with the earlier 1977 and 1996 peace agreements with the MNLF.
[76]


Comprehensive approach to security

However, despite the rhetoric scant attention is being paid to the political-economy factor in case a peace deal with the MILF pushes through, which is why there is a need for a comprehensive security strategy even before any peace deal. “If a peace deal is struck, Mindanao would still be in the same boat as the rest of the Philippines,” observes Steven Rood, the Asia Foundation’s top man in Manila.
[77]

If the negotiations are unaccompanied by real change and Mindanao reverts to the status quo as what happened after the 1996 peace deal with the MNLF, the rebellion will surely resume in one form or another.
[78]

For the Philippines, the Moro struggle for self-determination while seemingly separate and distinct from the formation of Filipino nationhood is paradoxically the key to justice and a more equitable society in the Philippines as one Filipino-American intellectual put it, to wit:

The issue of Moro self-determination remains the key, the Archimedean point, to the prospect of security, civil liberty, progress, and above all justice, throughout the Philippines.

xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx

Because the Moro struggle for independence and dignity is the key, virtually the catalyst and crucible, for the all-encompassing Filipino struggle for democracy, justice and national liberation, it is necessary to affirm once more the right of the Moro people to national self-determination. What is involved here is essentially the practice of political democracy by the masses, principally the underprivileged workers and peasants, but also the middle strata of professionals and even including the relatively wealthy business/merchants and small landlords (the datus and their clans). Neither differences in language, religion, nor territory can limit this democratic right of any national collectivity to determine its life and destiny, particularly against a colonizing and occupying power.
[79]


Political-economy of security

This brings us to the next question in U.S. counterterrorism strategy. If the U.S. has been perceived as lacking commitment in “state-(re)building” in situations of localized state failure such as in Mindanao, are there other countries more willing to engage in its intricacies that could complement U.S. efforts at the same time?

A viable U.S. counterterrorism strategy must move beyond police, intelligence and military assistance to help countries tackle the socio-economic vulnerabilities that provide openings for jihadists to exploit.
[80]

One country now increasingly involved in the Mindanao peace process is Japan, which in late 2006 joined the Malaysian-led International Monitoring Team that is monitoring the ceasefire between the Philippine government and the MILF. Japan as the country with the second largest economy in the world is a close political and military ally of the U.S. However, its pacifist constitution does not allow it to project its foreign policy by military means. Hence, Japan is one of the strongest practitioners of the “political economy of security.”
[81]

Japan has articulated conceptions of comprehensive and human security that stress the interrelationship between economics and security and has long-favored state-building policies as key to East Asian stability.
[82] For Japan, the root causes of domestic and transnational terrorism lie in the economic dislocation, societal alienation, human insecurity, and the failure of state apparatuses to provide for the security of their citizens; consequently, Japan has contended the logical response to terrorism is the application of economic power.[83]

It would seem that Ott’s thesis on some of the roots of terrorism is similar to the views of Japan’s policy elites. This political economy approach to security has somewhat complemented that of the U.S. agenda in the ‘war on terror’ by supporting key allies, but it has also shown signs of divergence because of Japan’s long-term commitment to state-building and human security.
[84]

In the case of Mindanao, aside from joining the IMT, Japan has committed a $400 million ‘Support Package for Peace and Stability in Mindanao’ in December 2002. It also directly provided Bangsa Moro communities small infrastructure projects under its Grant Assistance for Grassroots Human Security Project through a special facility called the Japan-Bangsamoro Initiatives for Reconstruction and Development or J-BIRD in early 2007. Also under the J-BIRD it committed starting 2007 to conduct an Urgent Development Study for Socio-Economic Rehabilitation and Development of Conflict-Affected Areas in Mindanao with the cooperation of the MILF development arm created under the peace process, the Bangsamoro Development Agency. The support package for Mindanao priority areas are support for policy formulation and implementation of ARMM, support for improvement of basic human needs and support which directly contributes to peace-building and the fight against terrorism.
[85]


Nevertheless, it is not farfetched to see the U.S. having the same comprehensive security policy in conjunction with Japan in Southeast Asia, and it can very well start the formulation of that comprehensive security strategy in Mindanao. The U.S. and Japan as the main allies and economic supporters of the Philippines can help the Philippines extricate itself from the quagmire that is the Mindanao conflict (which is creating sanctuaries of terror in the region) through this comprehensive security strategy that would address the Bangsa Moro’s legitimate grievances against the central government as well.

Perhaps this is already beginning to be the case in Mindanao because the USAID is set to increase its flagship Growth with Equity in Mindanao program up to $145 million for the next five years starting in mid-2007 with the optional additional assistance in case of a peace agreement with the MILF is realized.
[86] According to the recommendation of Professor Marvin C. Ott, beyond counterterrorism assistance, the U.S. can assist countries in the region by doing two things: 1) finding multiple ways to convey respect for Islam and Islamic institutions, including enhanced contacts between Americans and Muslims in the region and 2) building political/diplomatic ties with the region.

The best way to convey respect to the Muslims in Mindanao is if they see that the programs and projects that are being implemented in their communities are done by fellow Bangsa Moro and not by Christian Filipinos.

Enter the Dragon

The U.S. working with Japan through the Mindanao peace process can also counter increasing Chinese influence in the Philippines. This influence is highlighted by the statement of President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo at the East Asian Summit in January 2007 that: “We are happy to have China as our big brother.”
[87] Recently in March 2007, the National Economic Development Authority announced the approval of Official Development Assistance coming from China of almost $1 billion for new projects in telecoms and internet connectivity.[88] This latest assistance is on top of the pledges during the visit of Chinese President Hu Jintao to the Philippines on April 2005 where China agreed to invest in the country $1.1 billion including $950 million in a nickel mine in economically-depressed Mindanao (although the mine deal has reportedly been put off).[89] It extended a concessional loan for the upgrade of the North Luzon Railway to the tune of $543 million as well as gave $2.5 million in grants.[90] Trade is increasing between the two countries with a surplus in favor of the Philippines so that China is now the fourth largest trading partner of the Philippines.

In a recent issue, Newsweek reported Henry Yep, of the U.S. National Defense University, saying China's assistance to key Asian countries such as Indonesia and the Philippines now far outstrips U.S. largesse, while a top Philippine defense official says that his "government is able to consider the types of relations it never would have before ... because China's public image is strong." (It's probably no coincidence that Manila recently accepted more than $400 million in Chinese aid.).
[91]

The U.S. and Japan cannot be expected to compete with the wave of money that will be coming from Chinese investments especially since economics is power and the balance of influence has begun to shift to China with the added dimension of the presence of a large and economically potent ethnic Chinese population, who currently dominate large sectors of the economy, particularly banking.
[92]

So it is only in the security dimension that they can gain leverage. However, the present stalemate between the MILF and the Philippine military presents them the opportunity to hedge their bets with the Bangsa Moro. This can be done by establishing a pro-Western Muslim body polity in Southeast Asia through the re-territorialization of a Bangsa Moro homeland within the Philippine state. The re-territorialization of a Bangsa Moro homeland can be done by means of supporting the peace process between the Philippine government and the MILF in the name of Human Security for the Bangsa Moro.

Clearly with the increased international attention, the current framework of the peace negotiations in the Mindanao conflict has gone beyond the traditional low-level mediation of the Organization of Islamic Conference and has now reached the level of International Diplomacy and application of International Law Framework since as explained below in one article on Human Security:

The international political architecture of the Cold War was defined by the respect for territorial integrity together with the principles of sovereign competence and noninterference. The architecture of the post-Cold War period has changed, however, especially in relation to ineffective states. While respect for territorial integrity remains, with regard to non-interference, sovereignty over the noninsured populations living within such states has become internationalized, negotiable and conditional. Interventions in Kosovo, East Timor, Afghanistan and Iraq, for example, have not challenged the territorial integrity of the states concerned; indeed, its principle has been upheld. What is in question is how populations within such territories are governed and maintained. Re-territorialization within the existing borders of ineffective states, based upon external oversight and control of core budgetary and human security functions, is not only seen as good in itself, it has been cast as essential for the security of mass consumer society.
[93]


Promoting Bangsa Moro Human Security, which is defined as a people-centered approach to foreign policy which recognizes that lasting stability cannot be achieved until people are protected from violent threats to their rights, safety or lives, will in turn address the felt need for a comprehensive Moro policy on the part of the U.S. the lack of which was lamented in the following manner by Ralston Hayden as long ago as 1928: “The most urgent need is for the establishment by the United States of a stable Moro policy, one which will be recognized as permanent by interested Americans, and by Filipinos and Moros.”
[94] The key word in his statement is “Moro” because while America might have a generalized Philippine policy it does not currently have a Moro policy.
Bangsa Moro as cornerstone of new security architecture
The near collapse of Indonesia during the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis and the democratic upheaval that followed President Suharto’s overthrow created, in a strategic sense, a void where a cornerstone had once been.
[95] This event has changed the balance of power in Southeast Asia more particularly in its maritime zone in favor of China, which considers Southeast Asia as the “soft underbelly of Asia.”[96]
Hence, following the wake of Indonesian weakness in the age of globalization, we must look beyond the current nation-states for a security architecture that fits the way the world actually works. Otherwise, more nimble international terrorist networks will often be ahead of those who would try to stop them. A case in point is the rediscovery by JI of the ancient maritime byways and highways of maritime Islamic societies within East Maritime Southeast Asia that is used to traverse and cross borders in Maluku, Sulawesi, Mindanao and Borneo. In crossing these imposed colonial borders terrorist networks are not only traversing ancient trade routes but are actually crossing the boundaries of time to an age when Buginese, Ilanun, Ternatans, Magindanaw, Makassar, Brunei and Suluk (Tausug or Sama) roamed East Maritime Southeast Asia as the “Lords of the Sea.”
In fact, one report indicated that “JI operatives have reportedly recently landed in Poso from former sanctuaries in the southern Philippines, where they were once welcomed by the rebel Moro Islamic Liberation Front, but have more recently been flushed out by US-backed counter-terrorism sweeps by the Philippine armed forces. Indonesian authorities have encountered heavily armed fighters during their recent Poso operations and claim to have uncovered large weapons caches during raids, which they contend originated from the southern Philippines.”
[97]

The East Maritime Southeast Asia, which has been described by Japanese anthropologist Shinzo Hayase in his seminal book, Mindanao Ethnohistory Beyond Nations, Maguindanao, Sangir, and Bagobo Societies in East Maritime Southeast Asia, had for its principal cornerstones or centers of power from the 16th to 19th centuries the Islamic sultanates of Brunei, Sulu, Ternate-Tidore, Makassar and Maguindanao.
[98]

Except for Brunei, the other sultanates had been subsumed by the modern states of the Philippines and Indonesia. Ternate and Tidore are in Maluku while Sulu and Maguindanao are in Mindanao. Coincidentally or not, these areas are also the hotbed of alleged terrorist activities including Christian-Muslim communal violence in the Maluku Islands after the fall of Suharto’s regime in Indonesia.
[99]


Two of the centers of power of that ancient East Maritime Southeast Asian Islamic society, the Maguindanao and Sulu sultanates, had suzerainty over much of Mindanao, Sulu and Palawan. The re-territorialization of these areas into a Bangsa Moro homeland (at least the Moro-majority areas) will establish stability in the East Maritime Southeast Asia. Stability is crucial because the Bangsa Moro homeland is astride important Sea Lines of Communication (the Lombok-Makassar-Sibutu Straits) and is located at the Crossroads or Tri-boundary of East Maritime Southeast Asia consisting of the Philippines, Indonesia and Malaysia.

Anthropologist James Francis Warren has written extensively about the “Sulu Zone”, the borderless zone centered on maritime trade in the Sulu and Celebes seas between late 18th and 19th centuries, where three water-borne routes led into the heart of the Sulu zone. The Chinese began with the Sulu Sea, an extension southward from their trade entrepots in the Philippines, but they also navigated across the South China Sea through the Palawan passage, while Bugis mariners sailed north through the Celebes Sea into the zone.
[100]

In this context, if one ignores traditional political boundaries and views these seas as unifying rather than divisive agents – ‘great connectors’ strategically extending the region’s key shipping routes, a strong case could be made for regarding the zone as one of the final, albeit critically important, extremities of the world capitalist economy in eastern Asia.
[101]

The map of the Southern Philippines will show you “Sulu’s strategic gateway proximity to Indonesia, Malaysia, and control of South [East] Asia.”
[102] Professor Julkipli Wadi of the University of the Philippines says that, “The fact remains that the U.S. is grabbing every opportunity to stay long in Sulu. Whether for oil or to maintain security installations in Southeast Asia, the Sulu territory proves to be of strategic importance to the U.S.”[103]

What is less known is that East Maritime Southeast Asia and the Sulu Zone are actually one and the Sulu sultanate’s rise to prominence in the late 18th and 19th centuries was in succession to the decline of the Maguindanao sultanate. Hayase writes:

The Maguindanao sultanate was situated in the periphery of established “port polity” and expanded into Maritime Southeast Asia. It accepted the Islamic faith and was integrated into the international trade network. After the sixteenth century, Maritime Southeast Asia that was centered on “port polity” had been encroached upon and divided by the advancement of the European powers. In this reorganization of the area, Maguindanao escaped being colonized as it was situated in the buffer zone. While continuing to cooperate with other Maritime Southeast Asia areas, Maguindanao maintained and strengthened its identity. It developed into the strongest sultanate in East Maritime Southeast Asia for a certain period in the latter part of the eighteenth century. However, it did not last long.
[104] (Italics mine).

In fact, the Spanish imperial interest in Maguindanao, which never succeeded because of Moro resistance, was to develop Maguindanao as its future base in relation to the Maluku Islands.
[105] This was not farfetched considering that the Maguindanao Sultanate had a fleet of 1,000 sailing boats and continued to build boats in Northwest Sulawesi constituting itself into a strong naval power that could easily have occupied the entire Maluku Islands.[106]

Historically, Sulu focused on its relationship with Makassar and Brunei while Maguindanao had an alliance with Ternate effectively dividing their spheres of influence into the other sultanates in the East Maritime Southeast Asia.
[107] While Sabah in what is now East Malaysia was at one time or another under either the Brunei or Sulu sultanates.

Maguindanao had always been the galvanizing force in East Maritime Southeast Asia, with the example of Sultan Kudarat calling on the other sultanates for a “jihad” against the Spanish in 1656,
[108] and in order to fight the Dutch who ruled Ternate, they united with Datu Niku of Tidore and the British, reaching as far as New Guinea in their activities all over Maritime Southeast Asia.[109]

Hence, it is highly fortuitous that the MILF is now ascendant and currently the vanguard of the Bangsa Moro cause since it is Maguindanao-led and the Maguindanao are used to balancing their interests as against other ethnic groups’ interest constituting a multi-ethnic polity unlike the Tausug-led MNLF, who tend to dominate the other ethnic groups under their polity in the Sulu archipelago such as the Yakan, Sama and Bajau.

The former territories of the Sulu and Maguindanao sultanates are now the subject of the “ancestral domain” claim of the MILF in the peace talks. It is not feasible to divide these two centers of power because having one Bangsa Moro homeland combining the two actually means there is a stronger positioning (or anchor) over East Maritime Southeast Asia for stability of the region. Such strategic geographical setting and positioning is similar to the geographical setting and positioning of Iraqi Kurdistan at the heart of the boundaries of Turkey, Iran, Syria and Iraq, or that of Kosovo in the heart of the Balkan Peninsula, where there is a meeting of Turkic Islam, Orthodox Christianity and the West, or that of Afghanistan at the crossroads of Central Asia and South Asia, or simply that of:

Ciudad del Este, a Paraguayan city of 300,000 at the 'Triple Frontier' with Brazil and Argentina, and thanks to this helpful position a major rendezvous for smugglers of all types... [especially drug money]. What makes towns like Ciudad del Este attractive for the [illicit] business is that regulations are weak, governments are passive, and law enforcement is irrelevant or on the take. These laundering havens must also possess some modicum of a financial and telecommunications infrastructure. Where there are no banks, no ties to the global market, money laundering prospects dwindle severely. The ties that link these often remote locations to the rest of the world need not be varied or complex. In fact, many of these places are quite primitive and isolated and have only weak linkages with the outside world - except that banks and companies from around the globe claim them as their legal domicile. In this sense, Ciudad del Este for example is not that different from Transdniester near the Black Sea or Afghanistan's Badakshan province. They provide either a service (illicit financial services), a product (weapons), or a commodity (poppies) that the rest of the world wants in spades.
[110]

Several cities in the Conflict-Affected Areas in Mindanao (CAAM) might fit the description of Ciudad del Este like Marawi, Iligan, Isabela, Cotabato or Zamboanga. It is no wonder that similar to Ciudad del Este or the "Triple Frontier", Zamboanga and Cotabato in the CAAM has a U.S. military presence.
[111] It is also worthwhile to note that Iraqi Kurdistan and Kosovo are both semi-independent states and that they were given such status by the international community because of their strategic importance.


Stable Bangsa Moro homeland key to preventing Great Power War?

But perhaps our greatest concern should be that the terrorist outbreak in the area might herald a Great Power War, maybe between the U.S. and China, or between Regional Powers, Indonesia and Australia, with the Bangsa Moro areas acting as the flashpoint or trigger through terrorist activity in the area. This is according to the World System theory of Albert Bergensen and Omar Lizardo of the University of Arizona, which they presented in their paper International Terrorism and the World System, to wit:

Canary in the Mineshaft

Hegemonic decline destabilizes the global order, and outbreaks of international terrorism seem to serve as an indicator of growing international instability. Private violence by groups against states seems to precede state-to-state violence as perhaps a sign of the great unraveling the world-system periodically undergoes. Like the miner’s canary warning of leaking gas, so international terrorism signals the coming of Great Power war.
[112]


With the emergence of China as a world power and U.S. hegemonic power and influence in decline even in its traditional sphere of influence in the Philippines, the danger that Great Power War might be triggered by something happening in Mindanao exists because according to the World System theory the instability starts in Semi-Peripheral Zones and not the underdeveloped periphery or the developed core but more from this “middle zone”, which is precisely where Mindanao is at this stage, to wit:

Instability Starts in Semiperipheral Zones - Given that international terrorism breaks out in semiperipheral autocratic zones (HRE, Russian, Ottoman, and Austrian Empires; Arab-Islamic states), this suggests that the great unraveling that eventuates in the Great Power war begins in adjacent areas to the main contending states. Whether as Great Power rivalries (colonial competition, interventionism, and so forth) that generate backlash/blowback terrorism against empires and hegemonic centers; or as a weakening of hegemonic authority that empowers resistance to local autocratic rulers; or as a decline in support from the hegemonic center to dependencies in the semiperiphery that then encourages resistance in the form of terrorist attacks, it is the case that with hegemonic decline, terrorism tends to break out in the world-system’s more semiperipheral zones. That is, international terrorism does not so much arise from the underdeveloped periphery or from the developed and powerful core as it does from this more middle zone.
[113]

Following the World System theory, the violence in the semiperiphery, such as in Mindanao, and the succeeding violence amongst core states are not unrelated, for terrorist events have constituted the triggers for the previous hegemonic succession wars so that it was the revolting Protestant Bohemians throwing the Catholic Holy Roman Empire’s two ambassadors out of a second-floor window that triggered the Thirty Years’ War, and it was the assassination of the Austrian Archduke that triggered World War I.
[114]


What is to be done in the meantime to prevent terrorist trigger events in Mindanao? Perhaps it is time to practice the political economy of security strategy of Japan. While joint maritime patrols in the Greater Sulu-Sulawesi Seas corridor are now supposed to be conducted by the littoral states of Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia and the Philippines to interdict terrorist passage, it runs the risk of driving the informal trading networks in these seas deeper underground. The current cross-border “barter trade” is conducted in a semi-legal shadowland, tolerated within limits by Indonesian and Malaysian authorities, but suppressed as “smuggling” by the Philippines.
[115]

Accordingly, “the sub-region’s extensive littoral conspires with weak state capacity to ensure that suppression only drives trade underground [and] this illicit traffic provides a dangerous vehicle for trans-boundary movement by regional jihadist, posing a security threat to the entire region.”
[116] Following the political-economy of security approach in combating trans-boundary terrorism:

Bringing barter traffic back inside the legal system can introduce new friction into trans-boundary movement by terrorists – by linking free trade incentives to a comprehensive vessel registration program. This will simultaneously liberate thousands of small entrepreneurs from trade apartheid, capitalize the poor, weaken their dependency on extralegal institutions, and improve attitudes to state authority. As well as enhancing regional security, state capacity and the overall business climate in the longer term, free trade incentives could impart new impetus to the Mindanao peace process, currently at an impasse. Without a successful peace agreement, state failure in the Southern Philippines will continue to undermine prospects for security and growth throughout the sub-region.
[117]

One way of legalizing the underground trading network, which would allow for intelligence fusion against trans-boundary jihadists while at the same time addressing the socio-economic grievances of Moros, is to create a string of Free Ports in the Bangsa Moro areas or establish the future Bangsa Moro homeland as a Free Trade Zone as suggested by one magazine article.
[118] The earlier experience of the Americans in administering the Moro Province showed that because of open and free trade through so-called “Moro Exchanges” and shipping connections with Borneo, Singapore and even Australia it became “completely dependent upon its own revenues”, so that from the perspective of revenue generation, which is conceded as a major feature of state-building, the Moro Province could have remained autonomous or semi-independent.[119] Even earlier, Hayase traced that the major reason that the sultans’ power declined was because their overseas activities, which were the basis of their political and economic power were suppressed by the European colonialists using steamboats and unequal treaties.[120]

For the U.S. the lesson as one former White House official under the first President Bush, C. Boyden Gray, explained is that the U.S. should emulate the Venetian empire wherein he noted that "Whenever Venice won a naval battle, it asked not for territory, taxes or tribute but free-trade zones," and "As part of its commercial empire, Venice had to rely on extensive intelligence in order to avoid foreign troop basing. As a result, its intelligence service was unmatched and its diplomacy unrivaled."
[121] For more than a millennium, Venice was the shining triumph of the practice of the political-economy of security.

Ending Note

Nations rise and fall in the march of history. But the survival of a people as a distinct society is victory in itself. The Bangsa Moro in all their complexity of 13 ethno-linguistic groups has managed to survive the transition from an age when they were the “Lords of the Sea” and their decline to their current emerging status in the world stage.

Perhaps, as part of a wider security agenda in the Southeast Asian region it is now time to fulfill the desire of the Bangsa Moro people, which according to prominent Moro public intellectual Michael Mastura “is to be left free and sovereign having their own honored place in the community of nations…Their national aspiration is nothing more than to enjoy again the prerogative of chartering their own destiny with justice for all and to see the democratization of the wealth of their homeland.”
[122]



Bibliography

Abbas, M., “Is a Bangsa Moro State within a Federation the Solution?”, Ateneo Law Journal, Vol. 48 No. 2, September 2003

Abinales, P., Making Mindanao: Cotabato and Davao in the Formation of the Philippine Nation-State, Ateneo de Manila University Press, Manila, 2004.

Abinales, P. & Amoroso, D., “The Withering of Philippine Democracy”, History Current, Sept. 2, 2006.

Abuza, Z., Balik Terrorism, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, September 2005.

Bacani, B., “Building a Constituency for Resolving the Moro Ancestral Domain Question”, Autonomy and Peace Review, Vol. 2, Issue 2, April-June 2006.

Bacani, B., “MNLF Loses the ARMM: A Setback for Peace?”, Autonomy and Peace Review, Vol. 1, Issue 1, October-December 2005.

“Bangsamoro: Make It a Freeport Zone”, Newsbreak, November 13, 2006.

Barnett, T., “The Pentagon’s New Map”, Esquire, March 2003 at
http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/published/pentagonsnewmap.htm

“Battling the Abu Sayyaf, batting for extra measures”, Interview with Armed Forces of the Philippines spokesman Gen. Edilberto Adan with INQ7.Net at
http://www.inq7.net/exclusive/2001/june/30/adan_30-1-1.htm

Bergensen, A. and Lizardo, O., “International Terrorism and the World System”, Sociological Theory 22:1, March 2004.

Collier, K., “Islands of Prosperity: Synergising Free Trade, Border Security and Conflict Resolution in the Sulu Zone”, Report for the Workshop on Security for Economic Growth of AusAID East ASEAN Initiative, March 12-13, 2007.

Cook, M. and Collier, K., Mindanao A Gamble Worth Taking, Lowy Institute Paper 17, Lowy Institute for International Policy, New South Wales, Australia, 2006,

Cook, M. and Collier, K., “The Philippines’ Sanctuaries of Terror”, The Korea Herald, May 5, 2006.

Copley, G., The Art of Victory, Strategies for Personal Success and Global Survival in a Changing World, Threshold Editions, New York, 2006, p. 107.

Corrado, M., “The Programme of Rehabilitating Internally Displaced Persons and Communities in the Southern Philippines (GOP-UNDP-EC): The Role of the European Union in the Protection of Human Rights in Third Countries”, federalismi.it n. 10/2006.

Davis, A., “Philippine security threatened by small arms proliferation”, Jane’s Intelligence Review, August 4, 2003 at
http://www.janes.com/security/international_security/news/jir/jir030804_1_n.shtml

De La Costa, H., The Jesuits in the Philippines 1581-1768, Harvard University, Cambridge, 1967.

Dela Cruz, J., “U.S. Oil Interests Behind Bill on Sulu Sultanate”, Bulatlat.com, Vol. VI No. 20, June 25 – July 1, 2006 at
http://www.bulatlat.com/news/6-20/6-20-oil.htm

Docena, H., “When Uncle Sam comes marching in”, Asia Times Online, February 25, 2006 at
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/HB25Ae04.html

Duffield, M., “Human Security: Development, Containment and Re-territorialization” Chatham House ISC/NSP Briefing Paper 05/02, The Globalization of Security, October 2005.

Feickert, A., U. S. Military Operations in the Global War on Terrorism: Afghanistan, Africa, the Philippines, and Colombia, Congressional Research Service, The Library of Congress, February 4, 2005.

Fianza, M., “Contesting Land and Identity in the Periphery: The Moro Indigenous People of Southern Philippines”, Working paper prepared for the 10th Biennial Conference of the International Association for the Study of Common Property, August 9-13, 2004, held at Oaxaca, Mexico.

“From the editor’s desk”, Peacework, American Friends Service Committee, February 2002 at
http://www.peaceworkmagazine.org/pwork/0202/020201.htm

Guerin, B., “New terrorism front opens in Indonesia”, Asia Times Online, March 14, 2007 at
www.atimes.com

Gutierrez, E., “In the Battlefields of the Warlords” in Kristina Gaerlan and Mara Stankovitch (eds.), Rebels, Warlords and Ulama, A Reader on Muslim Separatism and the War in the Southern Philippines, Institute for Popular Democracy, Quezon City, 2000.

Hayase, S., Mindanao Ethnohistory Beyond Nations, Maguindanao, Sangir, and Bagobo Societies in East Maritime Southeast Asia, Ateneo de Manila University Press, Manila, 2007.

Hayden, R., “What next for the Moro?”, 6 Foreign Affairs 637, 1927-1928.

Hearn, K., "US military presence in Paraguay irks neighbors", Christian Science Monitor, December 2, 2005 at
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/1202/p25s02-woam.html

Hughes, C., A Multidimensional Approach to Security: The Case of Japan, Matthew B. Ridgway Center for International and Security Studies, University of Pittsburgh, 2006.

Ignatius, D., “From Venice, a Lesson on Empire”, Washington Post, September 20, 2006.

Kaplan, R., Imperial Grunts: On the Ground with the American Military from Mongolia to the Philippines to Iraq and Beyond, Random House, New York, 2006.

Korteweg, R. and Ehrhardt, D., Terrorist Black Holes, A study into terrorist sanctuaries and governmental weakness, Cligendael Centre for Strategic Studies, The Hague, November 2005.

Kramer, P., The Blood of Government, Race, Empire, the United States, and the Philippines, Ateneo de Manila Press, Manila, 2006.

Kreuzer, P., Political Clans and Violence in the Philippines, PRIF Report No. 71, Frankfurt, 2005.

Kurlantzick, J., “Beijing’s Big Push”, Newsweek International, April 9, 2007.

Laarhoven, R., The Maguindanao Sultanate in the 17th Century, Triumph of Moro Diplomacy, New Day Publishers, Quezon City, 1989.

Lind, W., “Understanding Fourth Generation War”, January 15, 2004 at
www.antiwar.com

Lindborg, J., presentation at “Security Cooperation and Governance in Southeast Asia: Responding to Terrorism, Insurgency and Separatist Violence in Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines”, Report of a Conference organized by IDSS and the Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies, September 26-28, 2006.

Long, J., “The Pentagon’s Strategy Towards Southeast Asia: The Disconnected States”, IDSS Commentaries, Singapore, March 16, 2005 at
http://se2.isn.ch/serviceengine/FileContent?serviceID=PublishingHouse&fileid=F6735C40-B709-CC59-F040-FE99414CCF42&lng=en

Mastura, I., “The State of Moro Self-Determination”, lecture at United States Institute of Peace, November 17, 2006 at
http://www.usip.org/events/2006/mastura_talking_points.pdf

Mastura, M., Muslim Filipino Experience: A collection of essays, OCIA Pub., Manila, 1984.

Martin, E., “Current Issues Briefing: Crunchtime for the Mindanao Peace Process?”, February 8, 2005 at
http://www.usip.org/philippines/reports/mindanao_martin.html

“MILF: 2007 make or break for peace talks”, Luwaran.com, January 1, 2007.

“MILF praises Bush for new commitment to peace process”, Luwaran.com, December 10, 2006.

Niksch, L., Abu Sayyaf: Target of Philippine-U.S. Anti-Terrorism Cooperation, Congressional Research Service, The Library of Congress, January 4, 2007.

Naim, M. Illicit, How Smugglers, Traffickers and Copycats are Hijacking the Global Economy, Random House, New York, 2005.

Ott, M., “Southeast Asian Security Challenges: America’s Response?”, Strategic Forum No. 222, Institute of National Strategic Studies, National Defense University, October 2006.

Philippine Human Development Report 2005, UNDP.

Rogers, S. “Beyond the Abu Sayyaf, Lessons of Failure in the Philippines”, 83 Foreign Affairs 18, 2004.

Rushford, G., “The Morass in Mindanao”, Far Eastern Economic Review, December 2006.

Santos, S., Delays in the Peace Negotiations between the Philippine Government and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front: Causes and Prescriptions, Working Paper No. 3, East-West Center Washington, January 2005.

San Juan, E., “Ethnic Identity and Popular Sovereignty: Notes on the Moro Struggle in the Philippines”, Ethnicities; 2006; 3; 391, p. 413 at
http://etn.sagepub.com/cgi/content/abstract/6/3/391

“Security Cooperation and Governance in Southeast Asia: Responding to Terrorism, Insurgency and Separatist Violence in Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines”, Report of a Conference organized by IDSS and the Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies, September 26-28, 2006.

Shultz, R. and Dew, A., Insurgents, terrorists, and militias: the warriors of contemporary combat, Columbia University Press, New York, 2006.

“Smile Diplomacy, Working magic along China’s periphery”, The Economist, March 31 – April 6, 2007.

Southern Philippines Backgrounder: Terrorism and the Peace Process, International Crisis Group Asia Report No. 80, Singapore/Brussels, July 13, 2004.

Stofft, Gen. W. and Guertner, G., Ethnic Conflict: Implications for the Army of the Future, U.S. Army War College, March 14, 1994.

Storey, I., “China and the Philippines: Moving Beyond the South China Sea Dispute”, China Brief, a journal of analysis and information, The Jamestown Foundation, Washington D.C., Vol. VI, Issue 17, August 16, 2006.
Support Package for Peace and Stability in Mindanao at
http://www.mofa.go.jp/region/asia-paci/philippine/pv0212/mindanao.html

Tan, A., Southeast Asia as the Second Front in the War Against Terrorism: Evaluating Threat and Responses, Terrorism and Political Violence, Vol.15, No.2 (Summer 2003).

Taylor, V., “Ups and down in Sulu peace work”, Philippine Daily Inquirer, September 3, 2006.

“USAID to pour $145-M into Mindanao in next 5 years” March 20, 2007 at
www.mindanews.com

Vatikiotis, M., “Brain not Brawn the key to winning the War on Terror”, April 4, 2007 at
http://www.opinionasia.org/BrainnotBrawn

Warren, J., The Global Economy and the Sulu Zone, Connections, Commodities and Culture, New Day Publishers, 2000.

Wolters, W. “Muslim rebel movements in the southern Philippines: recruitment area for al-Qaeda terrorists?”, Focaal –European Journal of Anthropology, No. 40, 2002.

* The author is the Regional Cabinet Secretary of the Department of Trade and Industry of the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao since 2002. He has a Master of Laws in Petroleum Law and Policy from the Centre for Energy, Petroleum & Mineral Law & Policy of the University of Dundee, U.K. This paper was written on April 10, 2007 as background material for bidders for the Growth with Equity in Mindanao Program 3 of USAID, who interviewed the author in Cotabato City as resource person. For comments he may be reached at ishakmastura@hotmail.com

[1] Hayden, R., “What next for the Moro?”, 6 Foreign Affairs 637, 1927-1928.

[2] Mastura, I., “The State of Moro Self-Determination”, lecture at United States Institute of Peace, November 17, 2006 at http://www.usip.org/events/2006/mastura_talking_points.pdf

[3] Long, J., “The Pentagon’s Strategy Towards Southeast Asia: The Disconnected States”, IDSS Commentaries, Singapore, March 16, 2005 at http://se2.isn.ch/serviceengine/FileContent?serviceID=PublishingHouse&fileid=F6735C40-B709-CC59-F040-FE99414CCF42&lng=en

[4] Barnett, T., “The Pentagon’s New Map”, Esquire, March 2003 at http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/published/pentagonsnewmap.htm

[5] Supra note 3.

[6] Lindborg, J., presentation at “Security Cooperation and Governance in Southeast Asia: Responding to Terrorism, Insurgency and Separatist Violence in Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines”, Report of a Conference organized by IDSS and the Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies, September 26-28, 2006.

[7] Feickert, A., U. S. Military Operations in the Global War on Terrorism: Afghanistan, Africa, the Philippines, and Colombia, Congressional Research Service, The Library of Congress, February 4, 2005.

[8] Kaplan, R., Imperial Grunts: On the Ground with the American Military from Mongolia to the Philippines to Iraq and Beyond, Random House, New York, 2006.

[9] Ibid.

[10] Mastura, M., Muslim Filipino Experience: A collection of essays, OCIA Pub., Manila, 1984, p. 71.

[11] Kramer, P., The Blood of Government, Race, Empire, the United States, and the Philippines, Ateneo de Manila Press, Manila, 2006, p. 341.

[12] Abinales, P., Making Mindanao: Cotabato and Davao in the Formation of the Philippine Nation-State, Ateneo de Manila University Press, Manila, 2004, p. 54.
[13] Martin, E., “Current Issues Briefing: Crunchtime for the Mindanao Peace Process?”, February 8, 2005 at http://www.usip.org/philippines/reports/mindanao_martin.html

[14] Philippine Human Development Report 2005, UNDP, p. 65.

[15] De La Costa, H., The Jesuits in the Philippines 1581-1768, Harvard University, Cambridge, 1967, p. 541.

[16] Supra note 14.

[17] Supra note 7.

[18] Supra note 7.

[19] Lind, W., “Understanding Fourth Generation War”, January 15, 2004 at www.antiwar.com

[20] Wolters, W. “Muslim rebel movements in the southern Philippines: recruitment area for al-Qaeda terrorists?”, Focaal –European Journal of Anthropology, No. 40, 2002, p.159.

[21] Shultz, R. and Dew, A., Insurgents, terrorists, and militias: the warriors of contemporary combat, Columbia University Press, New York, 2006, p. 264.

[22] Ibid.

[23] Abuza, Z., Balik Terrorism, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, September 2005, p. 38.

[24] “Terrorism in Southeast Asia: The Threat and Response”, Report of an International Conference organized by IDSS and the Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism, U.S. Department of State, April 12-13, 2006.

[25] Copley, G., The Art of Victory, Strategies for Personal Success and Global Survival in a Changing World, Threshold Editions, New York, 2006, p. 107.

[26] Cook, M. and Collier, K., Mindanao A Gamble Worth Taking, Lowy Institute Paper 17, Lowy Institute for International Policy, New South Wales, Australia, 2006, p. 38.

[27] Supra note 21, p. 268.

[28] Abinales, P. & Amoroso, D., “The Withering of Philippine Democracy”, History Current, Sept. 2, 2006.

[29] Ibid.

[30] Ibid.

[31] Rogers, S. “Beyond the Abu Sayyaf, Lessons of Failure in the Philippines”, 83 Foreign Affairs 18, 2004.

[32] Stofft, Gen. W. and Guertner, G., Ethnic Conflict: Implications for the Army of the Future, U.S. Army War College, March 14, 1994.

[33] Ibid.

[34] Ibid.

[35] “Security Cooperation and Governance in Southeast Asia: Responding to Terrorism, Insurgency and Separatist Violence in Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines”, Report of a Conference organized by IDSS and the Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies, September 26-28, 2006.

[36] Cook, M. and Collier, K.., “The Philippines’ Sanctuaries of Terror”, The Korea Herald, May 5, 2006.

[37] Corrado, M., “The Programme of Rehabilitating Internally Displaced Persons and Communities in the Southern Philippines (GOP-UNDP-EC): The Role of the European Union in the Protection of Human Rights in Third Countries”, federalismi.it n. 10/2006.

[38] Supra note 36.

[39] Supra note 36.

[40] Vatikiotis, M., “Brain not Brawn the key to winning the War on Terror”, April 4, 2007 at http://www.opinionasia.org/BrainnotBrawn

[41] Prendergast, J. and Thomas-Jensen, C. “Blowing the Horn”, 86 Foreign Affairs 74, March/April 2007.

[42] Ibid.

[43] Korteweg, R. and Ehrhardt, D., Terrorist Black Holes, A study into terrorist sanctuaries and governmental weakness, Cligendael Centre for Strategic Studies, The Hague, November 2005, p. 51.

[44] Kreuzer, P., Political Clans and Violence in the Philippines, PRIF Report No. 71, Frankfurt, 2005, p. II.

[45] Ibid.
.
[46] Gutierrez, E., “In the Battlefields of the Warlords” in Kristina Gaerlan and Mara Stankovitch (eds.), Rebels, Warlords and Ulama, A Reader on Muslim Separatism and the War in the Southern Philippines, Institute for Popular Democracy, Quezon City, 2000, p. 74.

[47] Davis, A., “Philippine security threatened by small arms proliferation”, Jane’s Intelligence Review, August 4, 2003 at http://www.janes.com/security/international_security/news/jir/jir030804_1_n.shtml

[48] “Battling the Abu Sayyaf, batting for extra measures”, Interview with Armed Forces of the Philippines spokesman Gen. Edilberto Adan with INQ7.Net at
http://www.inq7.net/exclusive/2001/june/30/adan_30-1-1.htm

[49] Southern Philippines Backgrounder: Terrorism and the Peace Process, International Crisis Group Asia Report No. 80, Singapore/Brussels, July 13, 2004, p. 26.

[50] Supra note 14, p. 80.

[51] Supra note 14, p. 80.

[52] Supra note 14, pp. 80-81.

[53] Abbas, M., “Is a Bangsa Moro State within a Federation the Solution?”, Ateneo Law Journal, Vol. 48 No. 2, September 2003, pp. 290-368.

[54] Ibid.

[55] Ibid.

[56] The author learned about this development from Deputy Assistant Secretary Eric John last November 14, 2006 at a meeting in the U.S. State Department in Washington, D.C.

[57] Supra note 53.

[58] Supra note 26, p. 18.

[59] “MILF praises Bush for new commitment to peace process”, Luwaran.com, December 10, 2006.

[60] Bacani, B., “Building a Constituency for Resolving the Moro Ancestral Domain Question”, Autonomy and Peace Review, Vol. 2, Issue 2, April-June 2006, p. 58.

[61] “MILF: 2007 make or break for peace talks”, Luwaran.com, January 1, 2007.

[62] Taylor, V., “Ups and down in Sulu peace work”, Philippine Daily Inquirer, September 3, 2006.

[63] Santos, S., Delays in the Peace Negotiations between the Philippine Government and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front: Causes and Prescriptions, Working Paper No. 3, East-West Center Washington, January 2005, p. 5.

[64] Bacani, B., “MNLF Loses the ARMM: A Setback for Peace?”, Autonomy and Peace Review, Vol. 1, Issue 1, October-December 2005, p. 33.

[65] Ibid.

[66] With the entry of U.S. forces in the Bangsa Moro areas specifically in the Sulu Archipelago, we can expect the presence of U.S. oil companies there to grow. In fact, the first exploration wells drilled in the Sulu Sea Basin were made by UNOCAL (now Chevron). However, now that the U.S. super-major ExxonMobil has just farmed-in into one of the Malaysian-operated Service Contracts in the Sulu Sea Basin last December 2006; other U.S. oil companies will certainly take a second look at the acreage.

[67] Docena, H., “When Uncle Sam comes marching in”, Asia Times Online, February 25, 2006 at http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/HB25Ae04.html

[68] Santos, S., Delays in the Peace Negotiations between the Philippine Government and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front: Causes and Prescriptions, Working Paper No. 3, East-West Center Washington, January 2005, p. 5.

[69] Supra note 26, p. 61.

[70] Supra note 28.

[71] San Juan, E., “Ethnic Identity and Popular Sovereignty: Notes on the Moro Struggle in the Philippines”, Ethnicities; 2006; 3; 391, p. 413 at http://etn.sagepub.com/cgi/content/abstract/6/3/391

[72] Ott, M., “Southeast Asian Security Challenges: America’s Response?”, Strategic Forum No. 222, Institute of National Strategic Studies, National Defense University, October 2006.

[73] Ibid.

[74] Rushford, G., “The Morass in Mindanao”, Far Eastern Economic Review, December 2006.

[75] Supra note 31, p. 20.

[76] Niksch, L., Abu Sayyaf: Target of Philippine-U.S. Anti-Terrorism Cooperation, Congressional Research Service, The Library of Congress, January 4, 2007.

[77] Supra note 74.

[78] Supra note 31.

[79] Supra note 71, pp. 405 and 411.

[80] Supra note 72.

[81] Hughes, C., A Multidimensional Approach to Security: The Case of Japan, Matthew B. Ridgway Center for International and Security Studies, University of Pittsburgh, 2006, p. 3.

[82] Ibid, p. 4.

[83] Ibid, p. 13.

[84] Ibid, p. 17.

[85] Support Package for Peace and Stability in Mindanao at http://www.mofa.go.jp/region/asia-paci/philippine/pv0212/mindanao.html

[86] “USAID to pour $145-M into Mindanao in next 5 years” March 20, 2007 at www.mindanews.com

[87] “Smile Diplomacy, Working magic along China’s periphery”, The Economist, March 31 – April 6, 2007.

[88] Dumlao, D., “Neda OKs projects worth P49B”, Philippine Daily Inquirer, March 31, 2007, page A4.

[89] Storey, I., “China and the Philippines: Moving Beyond the South China Sea Dispute”, China Brief, a journal of analysis and information, The Jamestown Foundation, Washington D.C., Vol. VI, Issue 17, August 16, 2006, p. 7.

[90] Ibid.

[91] Kurlantzick, J., “Beijing’s Big Push”, Newsweek International, April 9, 2007.

[92] Supra note 72.

[93] Duffield, M., “Human Security: Development, Containment and Re-territorialization” Chatham House ISC/NSP Briefing Paper 05/02, The Globalization of Security, October 2005.

[94] Supra note 1, p. 643.

[95] Supra note 72.

[96] Supra note 72.

[97] Guerin, B., “New terrorism front opens in Indonesia”, Asia Times Online, March 14, 2007 at www.atimes.com

[98] Hayase, S., Mindanao Ethnohistory Beyond Nations, Maguindanao, Sangir, and Bagobo Societies in East Maritime Southeast Asia, Ateneo de Manila University Press, Manila, 2007, p. 18.

[99] Tan, A., Southeast Asia as the Second Front in the War Against Terrorism: Evaluating Threat and Responses, Terrorism and Political Violence, Vol.15, No.2 (Summer 2003), p. 123.

[100] Warren, J., The Global Economy and the Sulu Zone, Connections, Commodities and Culture, New Day Publishers, 2000, p. 4.

[101] Ibid.

[102] “From the editor’s desk”, Peacework, American Friends Service Committee, February 2002 at http://www.peaceworkmagazine.org/pwork/0202/020201.htm

[103] Dela Cruz, J., “U.S. Oil Interests Behind Bill on Sulu Sultanate”, Bulatlat.com, Vol. VI No. 20, June 25 – July 1, 2006 at http://www.bulatlat.com/news/6-20/6-20-oil.htm

[104] Supra note 98, p. 72.

[105] Supra note 98, p. 51.

[106] Supra note 98, p. 142.

[107] Laarhoven, R., The Maguindanao Sultanate in the 17th Century, Triumph of Moro Diplomacy, New Day Publishers, Quezon City, 1989, Ibid, pp. 37-38.

[108] Supra note 98, p. 56.

[109] Supra note 98, p. 142.

[110] Naim, M. Illicit, How Smugglers, Traffickers and Copycats are Hijacking the Global Economy, Random House, New York, 2005, pp. 142-143

[111] Hearn, K., "US military presence in Paraguay irks neighbors", Christian Science Monitor, December 2, 2005 at http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/1202/p25s02-woam.html

[112] Bergensen, A. and Lizardo, O., “International Terrorism and the World System”, Sociological Theory 22:1, March 2004, p. 49.

[113] Ibid, p. 50.

[114] Ibid.

[115] Collier, K., “Islands of Prosperity: Synergising Free Trade, Border Security and Conflict Resolution in the Sulu Zone”, Report for the Workshop on Security for Economic Growth of AusAID East ASEAN Initiative, March 12-13, 2007.

[116] Ibid.

[117] Ibid.

[118] “Bangsamoro: Make It a Freeport Zone”, Newsbreak, November 13, 2006.

[119] Supra note 12, pp. 20-21.

[120] Supra note 91, p. 140.

[121] Ignatius, D., “From Venice, a Lesson on Empire”, Washington Post, September 20, 2006.

[122] Fianza, M., “Contesting Land and Identity in the Periphery: The Moro Indigenous People of Southern Philippines”, Working paper prepared for the 10th Biennial Conference of the International Association for the Study of Common Property, August 9-13, 2004, held at Oaxaca, Mexico, p. 18.

21.3.07

Calling Mindanao Peace Mediators To Account I: A Failed Peace Agreement

FROM THE PLAINS OF KUTAWATO
By: Atty. Zainudin S. Malang

CALLING PEACE MEDIATORS TO ACCOUNT
(Part I – A Failed Peace Agreement)

In a few weeks from now, early February, a tripartite meeting between the Government of the Republic of the Philippines (GRP), the Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF), and the Organization of Islamic Conference (OIC) will be held in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia in order to sort out the problems in the implementation of the 1996 peace agreement between the two. The fact that this meeting has to be held only highlights the problem the 1996 peace agreement encountered in its implementation.

At this point, to call the agreement successfully implemented, rather than describing it at the very least as having a problematic implementation would be the height of chutzpa. In 1996, people within and outside the autonomous region were expecting the agreement to herald in an era of peace and prosperity not seen in decades. Instead, ten years hence, the component provinces of the region are still the poorest among all of the Philippines’ provinces. Its regional government has the lowest of fiscal allocations of all regions. Its residents have the lowest infant mortality, life expectancy, educational attainment, etc. Moros outside the region are still subjected to all forms of discrimination both by public and private institutions.

On the security side, the region is also the most militarized. Large-scale fighting between the MNLF and the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) still occur. Terrorist groups like the ASG still operate. And if that is not enough to convince anyone of the failure, the MNLF’s signatory to the peace agreement is under arrest. The tri-partite meeting itself had to be postponed several times and that in itself an indication of that failure. How can a meeting be held between the GRP and the MNLF when the latter’s signatory won’t be able to attend because he is being incarcerated by the former?

Thankfully, during ceremonies marking the 10th year of the agreement on September of last year, no one dared to refer to those ceremonies as anniversaries or celebrations, not even the government. People are not that blind or insensitive after all.

Thus, the most obvious question on everyone’s minds is why the failure? Under whose watch did it fail? Who dropped the ball in settling the Mindanao conflict?

Analysts of the Mindanao peace process have not been remiss in addressing these questions. There are those who point out the government’s lack of sincerity as well as fiscal support for the regional government. Some even point to the constitutional and democratic limitations faced by the government in implementing the agreement. On their peace partner’s side, others point to the MNLF’s inability to transform itself from a revolutionary organization into one that is more political and administrative. I also heard someone observe the MNLF’s exclusivism in running the affairs of the ARMM and seemed to have forgotten that it fought not for the sake of its members and officers but for the sake of the Bangsamoro.

Most of the existing analyses, however, only look at the responsibility of the GRP and the MNLF in the failure of the agreement. For sure, there is so much blame to go around for these two. However, few look at the responsibility of the mediator, the OIC or more particularly the Committee of the Eight. The MNLF-GRP Peace Process after all is a tripartite peace process - there are two main protagonists (GRP and MNLF) plus the supposedly neutral mediator (OIC).

For purposes of simplicity, one may say that a mediator has two roles. The first is to facilitate the parties’ coming to an agreement as to how they will settle their differences. Success in this aspect is evidenced by a peace agreement. Once that agreement is signed, the mediator’s second responsibility kicks in and that is to make sure that the signatories live up to their end of the agreement. What evidence shall we look for success in this regard? Peace, or lack of fighting, and steady even if slow progress on the development side. In short, everything that is not in the autonomous region now.

Given these two roles, how do we now assess the OIC’s performance? The answer is obvious so perhaps so we should just ask ourselves how did the OIC fail dismally? To answer this question, we may need to look at who in the OIC actually oversaw the GRP-MNLF peace process. In other words, under whose watch did the process fail? Who dropped the ball?

For the unfamiliar, the OIC had delegated to six (now eight) of its member countries the responsibility of mediating the resolution of the conflict, hence the name “Committee of the Eight”. During the crucial 10 year period after the signing of the ’96 agreement, this committee was chaired by Indonesia. Libya is an influential member of the committee simply because it brokered the much-earlier 1976 peace agreement.

Last year, the OIC sent a senior adviser to its Secretary-General to Mindanao on a fact-finding mission to find out what went wrong with the agreement. During several forums and meetings he held with civil society groups, he pointedly told his audience to be candid and frank with their views and to relay those views to him directly. I took that to mean that the Secretary-General’s office suspected the Committee of the Eight was sanitizing its previous reports to the OIC about the status of the agreement to the OIC by downplaying serious problems or disagreements over its implementation. I still recall a statement by the Libyan Ambassador a few years back to the effect that there are no such problems with the agreement. He said this even as widespread fighting broke out between the MNLF and AFP, on a scale not seen since the 1970s.

True enough, the subsequent report of the Office of the Secretary-General itself, as opposed to the Committee of the Eight, was blunt in its assessment. There was none of the sugar-coating of or silence over serious problems or the glowing praises for the implementation of the agreement that was typical of statements coming from the Libyan or Indonesian missions here in the Philippines. A quote from the Secretary-General’s report makes one wonder if the current conditions of Moros would exist if the problems in the implementation of the agreement were not that serious:

“Muslims in southern Philippines, whose population is estimated at 8 to 10 million, are still living under deteriorating political, economic, and social conditions, which are evident in the extreme backwardness and acute lack of educational and health services. These conditions are in fact due to the central government’s control of natural resources in the Muslim areas, in addition to the political marginalization of Muslims that is manifest in the absence of fair representation in government and judiciary posts. Moreover, military operations have continued, leading to the displacement of more and more Muslims from their villages and towns on top of the continued demographic reengineering that has encouraged the migration of non-Muslims to the south in order to turn the Muslims there into the minority.”


(Part II next week - The Mediator’s Accountability)